FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16th: 1️⃣.1️⃣2️⃣ (ONTARIO COVID-19 Rt)

🛑 York should be going to “stage 2 modified” today
⚠️ Halton / Hamilton have the numbers to support a rollback, but have a lower Rt & >50% of cases with an epidemiological link
☠️ Expect a daily avg of 8-10 deaths

...1/4
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🚦 REGIONAL METRIC 🚦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
🚑 Sporadic Community Transmission

⚠️ RISK ASSESSMENT ⚠️
🏫 Schools
🎊 Gatherings

...2/4
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

👶👴 AGE BREAKDOWN 👵 👦
☠️ Monthly Death Projection
📊 Case Distribution by Age

...3/4
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16th: CANADIAN & GLOBAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🇨🇦CANADIAN PROVINCES🇨🇦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita

🌎WORLD🌎
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
📈 Growth Percentage

• • •

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More from @imgrund

17 Oct
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17th: 1️⃣.0️⃣4️⃣ (ONTARIO COVID-19 Rt)

☠️ Expect to continually see an average of 8-10 deaths every day, as predicted by modelling
📊 Graph included of Rt and cases by date of symptom onset since February... Rt is a great predictor!

...1/4 ImageImage
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🚦 REGIONAL METRIC 🚦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
🚑 Sporadic Community Transmission

⚠️ RISK ASSESSMENT ⚠️
🏫 Schools
🎊 Gatherings

...2/4 ImageImageImageImage
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

👶👴 AGE BREAKDOWN 👵 👦
☠️ Monthly Death Projection
📊 Case Distribution by Age

...3/4 ImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
15 Oct
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15th: 1️⃣.1️⃣5️⃣ (ONTARIO COVID-19 Rt)

🧪 Test positivity at 3.0%; 10,000+ UNDER capacity for 3 days... So 900+ missed cases 🧪
🇨🇦 Québec the only Province with an Rt under 1 🇨🇦
⚠️ Regional Risk Assessment chart below for gatherings and schools

...1/4
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🚦 REGIONAL METRIC 🚦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
🚑 Sporadic Community Transmission

⚠️ RISK ASSESSMENT ⚠️
🏫 Schools
🎊 Gatherings

...2/4
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

👶👴 AGE BREAKDOWN 👵 👦
☠️ Monthly Death Projection
📊 Case Distribution by Age

...3/4
Read 4 tweets
14 Oct
WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 14th: 1️⃣.1️⃣6️⃣ (ONTARIO COVID-19 Rt)

⭐️⭐️ An Rt above 1 is NOT a “plateau” ⭐️⭐️

🎃 1200 by Halloween at current Rt

☠️ 250+ more deaths by November 15th

🛑 York & Halton continue to see numbers near Toronto/Ottawa/Peel level

...1/4
WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 14th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🚦 REGIONAL METRIC 🚦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
🚑 Sporadic Community Transmission

⚠️ RISK ASSESSMENT ⚠️
🏫 Schools
🎊 Gatherings

...2/4
WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 14th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

👶👴 AGE BREAKDOWN 👵 👦
☠️ Monthly Death Projection
📊 Case Distribution by Age

...3/4
Read 4 tweets
13 Oct
TUESDAY, OCTOBER 13th: 1️⃣.1️⃣1️⃣ (ONTARIO COVID-19 Rt)

🛑 York and Halton on verge of “modified stage 2” rollback 🛑
🌎 World-wide 7-day trend up 10.5% 🌎
👴 Troubling Ontario numbers for age 90+ demographic 👵
⚠️ Spin class outbreak in Hamilton has Rt 🎢 ⚠️

...1/4 ImageImageImageImage
TUESDAY, OCTOBER 13th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🚦 REGIONAL METRIC 🚦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
🚑 Sporadic Community Transmission

⚠️ RISK ASSESSMENT ⚠️
🏫 Schools
🎊 Gatherings

...2/4 ImageImageImageImage
TUESDAY, OCTOBER 13th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

👶👴 AGE BREAKDOWN 👵 👦
☠️ Monthly Death Projection
📊 Case Distribution by Age

...3/4 ImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
11 Oct
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 11th: 1️⃣.0️⃣8️⃣ (ONTARIO COVID-19 Rt)

DAILY HIGHLIGHTS

⚠️ 390 deaths modelled over next 30 days ⚠️

...1/4
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 11th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🚦 REGIONAL METRIC 🚦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
🚑 Sporadic Community Transmission

⚠️ RISK ASSESSMENT ⚠️
🏫 Schools
🎊 Gatherings

...2/4
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 11th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

👶👴 AGE BREAKDOWN 👵 👦
☠️ Monthly Death Projection
📊 Case Distribution by Age

...3/4
Read 4 tweets
10 Oct
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 10th: 1️⃣.0️⃣8️⃣ (ONTARIO COVID-19 Rt)

DAILY HIGHLIGHTS

⚠️ York and Halton Could be in “Stage 2” by Next Week ⚠️
🇬🇧🇨🇭Big Growth: UK / Switzerland

...1/4
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 10th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🚦 REGIONAL METRIC 🚦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
🚑 Sporadic Community Transmission

⚠️ RISK ASSESSMENT ⚠️
🏫 Schools
🎊 Gatherings

...2/4
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 10th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

👶👴 AGE BREAKDOWN 👵 👦
☠️ Monthly Death Projection
📊 Case Distribution by Age

...3/4
Read 4 tweets

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