SUNDAY, OCTOBER 18th: 1️⃣.0️⃣5️⃣ (ONTARIO COVID-19 Rt)

⭐️⭐️Toronto Neighbourhood Risk Assessment Table Coming this Afternoon ⭐️⭐️

🌆 Hamilton & Halton may avoid a rollback (Rt << 1 )
🏙 Eastern looking like the next region to rollback
🇳🇱 Netherlands with crazy case growth

...1/4
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 18th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🚦 REGIONAL METRIC 🚦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
🚑 Sporadic Community Transmission

⚠️ RISK ASSESSMENT ⚠️
🏫 Schools
🎊 Gatherings

...2/4
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 18th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

👶👴 AGE BREAKDOWN 👵 👦
☠️ Monthly Death Projection
📊 Case Distribution by Age

...3/4
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 18th: CANADIAN & GLOBAL COVID-19 UPDATE

⭐️ Quebec’s Rt back up to 1.0 ⭐️

🇨🇦CANADIAN PROVINCES🇨🇦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita

🌎WORLD🌎
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
📈 Growth Percentage

• • •

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More from @imgrund

20 Oct
TUESDAY, OCTOBER 20th: 1️⃣.0️⃣2️⃣ (ONTARIO COVID-19 Rt)

🎂🥳 Please join me in wishing a happy birthday to my wife @imgrund_sara who puts up with my COVID calculations EVERY DAY 🎉🎂
🇮🇹🇨🇭 Italy and Switzerland seeing BIG case growth 🇨🇭🇮🇹

...1/4 ImageImage
TUESDAY, OCTOBER 20th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🚦 REGIONAL METRIC 🚦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
🚑 Sporadic Community Transmission

⚠️ RISK ASSESSMENT ⚠️
🏫 Schools
🎊 Gatherings

...2/4 ImageImageImageImage
TUESDAY, OCTOBER 20th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

👶👴 AGE BREAKDOWN 👵 👦
☠️ Monthly Death Projection
📊 Case Distribution by Age

...3/4 ImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
19 Oct
MONDAY, OCTOBER 19th: 1️⃣.0️⃣5️⃣ (ONTARIO COVID-19 Rt)

🌆 Québec’s Rt down to just above 1.0
🏙 Eastern still looking like the next region to rollback
☠️ 300+ monthly deaths predicted

...1/4 ImageImageImageImage
MONDAY, OCTOBER 19th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🚦 REGIONAL METRIC 🚦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
🚑 Sporadic Community Transmission

⚠️ RISK ASSESSMENT ⚠️
🏫 Schools
🎊 Gatherings

...2/4 ImageImageImageImage
MONDAY, OCTOBER 19th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

👶👴 AGE BREAKDOWN 👵 👦
☠️ Monthly Death Projection
📊 Case Distribution by Age

...3/4 ImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
18 Oct
@anthonyfurey Let’s start with the headline. “Going just fine.” 145+ Ontario schools with multiple active cases; 1200+ cumulative cases in Ontario schools. And that’s just the CONFIRMED positives. I guess we have a different definition of “fine.” Should I keep going? Image
@anthonyfurey “451 schools that have...” Actually, about 900 have. Maybe you meant to say 451 have an ACTIVE case. But you didn’t say that. Can we expect a correction? And should I go on? Image
@anthonyfurey “Most recurring number is 1.” Why report a mode? And then accentuate it? Most people in Ontario haven’t had COVID. So do we say NO CASES? As I said, irresponsible. Anyone with an undergrad math degree would tell you that too. Image
Read 7 tweets
17 Oct
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17th: 1️⃣.0️⃣4️⃣ (ONTARIO COVID-19 Rt)

☠️ Expect to continually see an average of 8-10 deaths every day, as predicted by modelling
📊 Graph included of Rt and cases by date of symptom onset since February... Rt is a great predictor!

...1/4
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🚦 REGIONAL METRIC 🚦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
🚑 Sporadic Community Transmission

⚠️ RISK ASSESSMENT ⚠️
🏫 Schools
🎊 Gatherings

...2/4
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

👶👴 AGE BREAKDOWN 👵 👦
☠️ Monthly Death Projection
📊 Case Distribution by Age

...3/4
Read 4 tweets
16 Oct
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16th: 1️⃣.1️⃣2️⃣ (ONTARIO COVID-19 Rt)

🛑 York should be going to “stage 2 modified” today
⚠️ Halton / Hamilton have the numbers to support a rollback, but have a lower Rt & >50% of cases with an epidemiological link
☠️ Expect a daily avg of 8-10 deaths

...1/4
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🚦 REGIONAL METRIC 🚦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
🚑 Sporadic Community Transmission

⚠️ RISK ASSESSMENT ⚠️
🏫 Schools
🎊 Gatherings

...2/4
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

👶👴 AGE BREAKDOWN 👵 👦
☠️ Monthly Death Projection
📊 Case Distribution by Age

...3/4
Read 4 tweets
15 Oct
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15th: 1️⃣.1️⃣5️⃣ (ONTARIO COVID-19 Rt)

🧪 Test positivity at 3.0%; 10,000+ UNDER capacity for 3 days... So 900+ missed cases 🧪
🇨🇦 Québec the only Province with an Rt under 1 🇨🇦
⚠️ Regional Risk Assessment chart below for gatherings and schools

...1/4
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

🚦 REGIONAL METRIC 🚦
🦠 Effective Reproduction Number / Rt
📊 Weekly Cases Per Capita
🚑 Sporadic Community Transmission

⚠️ RISK ASSESSMENT ⚠️
🏫 Schools
🎊 Gatherings

...2/4
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15th: ONTARIO & REGIONAL COVID-19 UPDATE

👶👴 AGE BREAKDOWN 👵 👦
☠️ Monthly Death Projection
📊 Case Distribution by Age

...3/4
Read 4 tweets

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