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More from @OBusybody

21 Oct
1/7 This would be laughable if it wasn’t so sad.

The University of Michigan is now under a “stay in place order.”

Why don't you take a walk through insanity with me: Image
2/7 First off the order is in place due to…. you guessed it, cases.

Not hospitalizations, not deaths, but plain old cases:
cnn.com/2020/10/20/us/…
3/7 So why would cases be up? Well the county health department thinks it’s all those maskless college parties.

Call me crazy, but I’ve got another theory... maybe it’s because they’ve tested more people in the last 2 weeks than they tested From March through August: Image
Read 7 tweets
11 Oct
1/5 I tried to ignore the political theatre of the Rose Garden event since I find it a ridiculous use of resources.

Now, however, that Fauci is using it to suggest an outdoor event without masks could cause a large outbreak, it needs to be addressed.
aljazeera.com/news/2020/10/1…
2/5 The first obvious issue is that the event was not only outdoors; it was an indoor/outdoor event.

This makes tying an outbreak to “rose garden” impossible to determine and irresponsible to suggest.
3/5 Next, of the 11 positive cases (out of 107) 5 are constantly around each other in a variety of other indoor situations.

In other words there is no evidence that being near each other in the rose garden was the cause of spread for Trump, Melania, Christi, Conway, or McEnany.
Read 5 tweets
7 Oct
1/6 There is a lot of media hyperventilating about Wisconsin because their hospitalizations are up.

The thing is, Wisconsin's recent rise merely puts them at the same level as neighboring "safe" states.
2/6 Well, maybe their ICU's are close to being overwhelmed?

Nope, the state doesn't appear to be near concerning levels.
3/6 But @GovEvers has said field hospitals will be opened next week, so there must be imminent danger, right?

Though possible, it's probably unlikely given how the "need" for field hospitals turned out in the past:
apnews.com/article/virus-…
Read 6 tweets
7 Oct
1/5 Here is a case study on Covid-19 privilege and politics.

City: Urbana, IL
Population: 42,000
CV19 % positive: 0.6%
CV19 Hospitalized: 2
Poverty Rate: 27.3%

The Decision: No in-person classes until 2021:
news-gazette.com/coronavirus/co…
2/5 By any metric Urbana is safe to reopen given their testing levels and low positive %/hospitalizations.

Also, they need to reopen:
“It troubles me that we’re backing off of in-person attendance when these truancy rates are way beyond what we’ve experienced in the past,”
3/5 Urbana's poverty rate is 16.4% higher than the state average; many families need in-person class

“I know we didn’t hear from very many of those families in our public statements, but I hear from them quite often — parents who are begging us to bring our kids back to school”
Read 5 tweets
6 Oct
1/10 IS TESTING WORTH THE PRICE?
The Univ. of Illinois (@Illinois_alma) has been hailed by many as a model of how we should handle testing.

Students are tested twice weekly, and anyone who enters a building must show a negative test.

Are their outcomes worth the cost?
2/10 I compiled data for 7 universities in Illinois along with data from their counties.

Of note is that UIUC's testing level is as much as 60x larger than the other institutions.
3/10 The theory promoted by many is that increased testing finds more cases and helps prevent the spread of CV19 in a community.

Thus more testing should result in less hospitalizations, less ICU issues, and less death in a community.
Read 11 tweets
2 Oct
1/6 THE QUIET PROFESSIONALS
These are the researchers who often get lost in the noise of Twitter. Their important work at times runs counter to the accepted Covid-19 dogma and thus does not get amplified.

Read their work, share it with others, and seek out more. Image
2/6 @mgmgomes1
Gabriela found the potential herd immunity threshold for CV19 and could be much lower than predicted. Her research was rejected because it could impact public policy and influence a relaxation of strict CV19 lockdown mandates.
3/6 @WesPegden
Wes and others proposed age-based CV19 mitigation strategies given the small impact CV19 has on younger populations.

This would allow schools to open and younger populations to live relatively normally while protecting vulnerable groups.
Read 6 tweets

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