Arwyn Profile picture
22 Oct, 16 tweets, 4 min read
1. For those wondering about this whole "England subsidises Wales" rubbish doing the rounds recently ... a thread👇
2. There is a deficit attributed between government spending and revenues in Wales.

It's not Wales' deficit. It's an estimate for the internal accounting of the UK state. It's the deficit of UK state spending and revenue attributed to Wales.

cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/…
3. I repeat, it is not our deficit. How can it be? We don't have significant borrowing powers. We don't have significant powers over taxation. The Welsh Government budget is decided via the Barnett formula according to England's spending plans.
4. We don't have a significant say in macroeconomic policy at a state level. We don't decide on large scale capital expenditure outlay (which is substantially lower in Wales than the UK average).
5. We aren't allowed to issue bonds, do quantitative easing or exercise any of the normal fiscal/economic powers of state. And yet we're told that WE run a deficit. No WE do not. A deficit is run IN OUR NAME.
6. And if the UK runs a deficit on our behalf, if it leaves us with productivity at 70% of the UK average & the attendant low average wages through a lack of capital expenditure, if it puts in-work families in poverty and a growing 30%+ of children with them, it has failed Wales.
7. And this must be seen as a failure of government and of policy. Despite this handicap Wales has a GDP/head grater than that of Spain and a tax take per person greater than that of New Zealand. Our wealth per person is close to the UK average.
8. No, it is not Wales that runs any deficit as the nascent Nation State of Cymru/Wales is yet to be birthed by this moribund United Kingdom. The UK is so badly misgoverned by it's upper classes that it runs a deficit here and in its own right. It does so by it's own choice.
9. Wales' influence over the UK economy is miniscule, our MP's a mere 6% of the total at Westminster. It is largely England's elitist public school cabal that runs the UK govt. It has made a dreadful mess in hot pursuit of its own self interest & awful anglo-British ideologies.
10. The Tories long ago built a centralised political/economic power structure which they and those whom they represent milk for their own enrichment. This they believe to be their own entitlement, their natural position in society.
11. But rather than dismantle this central power structure that put Wales at its periphery, Labour have sought to perpetuate this status quo whilst merely attempting to redistribute a greater share of the proceeds and astonishingly call this solidarity.
12. It isn't money that Wales needs to take off Westminster. It isn't even wealth. It's the power to make wealth and monetise it ourselves. It's the means to organise our society according to our values and the democratic mandate we afford a govenment of OUR choosing.
13. Only statehood sets Wales free. We have the people, we simply need the means. It's time for us to plan how we will govern ourselves, organise our resources and society for our benefit and how we will run our economy for the sake of our people and communities.
14. #indyWales #Annibyniaeth is the first step on that path. We are not dependent. We are misgoverned. Break the cycle. Rebuild our Country. Make it better. It's up to us.
15. If you feel that you wish to contribute to our future as a fully fledged and empowered Nation State, you could support @YesCymru.
16. If you want to make a difference at the ballot box, please consider voting for @Plaid_Cymru. Only when we have a Welsh Government with a democratic mandate for independence will we be able to begin the process of #DissolveTheUnion. Let's begin that noble task in 2021.

End.

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More from @Anianegwr

18 May
1/ The Right is far more at ease with it's conception of the Nation State than the Left. Their narrative seems to go almost unchallenged. "Patriotism not Nationalism." They have a bunch of people convinced that flag waving support for a state isn't nationalism. Labour included.
2/ Well, here's 3 very different definitions of the word:

a) Devotion, especially excessive or undiscriminating devotion, to the interests or culture of a particular nation-state.
3/
b) The belief that nations will benefit from acting independently rather than collectively, emphasizing national rather than international goals.

c) The belief that a particular cultural or ethnic group constitutes a distinct people deserving of political self-determination.
Read 20 tweets
8 May
1/ Thought.

Wales' economy lacks linkages and requires development policies/spending.

It's treated as a component of a developed economy.

Consequence 1: low capital expenditure leads to lower productivity & limits potential for new growth.
2/ Consequence 2: Low productivity limits competitiveness so limits inward flow of money locking Wales in a vicious circle.

Conclusion 1. Wales is locked in a suboptimal economic/constitutional arrangement in which the currency is too strong relative to its economic performance
3/ Conclusion 2: Inability to adjust capital expenditure restricts the creation of new linkages in the economy that leads to growth.

Conclusion 3: Scale comparison and electoral calculus makes the Welsh economy a low priority for the UK government.
Read 13 tweets
3 May
Been mulling over some moderate reasons against #IndyWales.

In the end they just boil down to one of two options

1. Preference
2. Indy Anxiety

Because I'm really struggling to understand how anyone can defend a state running a 35% deficit with v poor socio-economic outcomes.
Too poor.

Both Labour and Conservative governments favour an economic and constitutional model that's responsible for Wales' current performance. If we are poor isn't it time to change the model?
England subsidises Wales.

The UK state has allowed Wales' economy to lose ground with roUK to the point of running a £13.7Bn govt spending deficit. Don't blame Wales. Blame the governments, the political parties whose policies failed Wales. A prosperous Wales is good for England
Read 11 tweets

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