What SAGE Has Got Wrong – Lockdown Sceptics

It’s Easier to Fool People Than It Is to Convince Them That They Have Been Fooled.” – Mark Twain

Dr Mike Yeadon has a degree in biochemistry and toxicology and a research-based PhD in respiratory... lockdownsceptics.org/what-sage-got-…
... pharmacology. He has spent over 30 years leading new medicines research in some of the world’s largest pharmaceutical companies, leaving Pfizer in 2011 as Vice President & Chief Scientist for Allergy & Respiratory. That was the most senior research position in this field...
... in Pfizer. Since leaving Pfizer, Dr Yeadon has founded his own biotech company, Ziarco, which was sold to the worlds biggest drug company, Novartis, in 2017.

I’ve reposted my mini biography. I’m the scientific equal of anyone on SAGE. I even worked in an adjacent lab to...
...Dr Pat Vallance when we were both about 30.
I’m simply saying & you can easily confirm or refute (show to be false) anything I write or say, because my writings take the form in a “scientific paper” (I’ve published around 60, peer-reviewed journal articles on research in my specialist fields over about 35y).
I’m tweeting..
...because something dreadful is ongoing in our country.
Spring was real. Covid19 is real & killed over 40k people, mostly very elderly & with 2 or more chronic illnesses. This virus is for the most part, easily tolerated. There’s no evidence that’s after effects are more...
...common or more severe than they are after flu. Both real, both normal. We saw a large excess deaths signal, easily visible in the public record. But by end June, the virus had swept the country from Lands End to John O’Groats.
In this one wave (for viruses do not do waves!) there was very tight linkage between cases & deaths.

This process, for annual flu, takes 3-4 months max. This newish virus is apparently slightly more infectious than flu. So it’ll sweep across the country as fast or faster.
In the real spring pandemic, the number of Covid19 deaths & of excess deaths were VERY tightly linked. That suggests they’re the same thing.

That’s no longer true. Now there’s NO LINKAGE between the number of claimed Covid19 deaths & of excess deaths, became there are no excess.
Respiratory deaths were large (Orange, to the left of the graph you’d have seen the familiar peak). But through summer to this very week, no abnormal respiratory deaths.
In fact, no excess deaths at all.
How can this be? It’s simple, but I have to tell you plainly, our Govts advisors, SAGE, are lying to us daily, frightening us deliberately, for reasons I do not understand.
It’s not necessary to know they’re put motivations to prove their words & recommendations are wrong.
In my piece “What SAGE got wrong” I recommend you go to the pie chart. Huge errors by SAGE. They assumed no prior immunity in the population against this virus. That’s odd, because all viruses have ancestors & many of us will have had these, like common cold causing...
... coronaviruses. That prior exposure made 30% of us already immune. SAGE recently said that 93% of us were STILL susceptible. That’s a straight lie. The value is under 40%. The evidence is crisp & clear.
Please don’t get hooked on the finer points of the second decimal. The key point is essentially SAGE says nothing material has changed. Oh, yes it has. The right hand chart is absolutely standard human immunology at work.
Check the predictions under each chart. You’ll see the left chart says now = spring. Right chart says, at most, last places least well mixed & infected in spring is now going through a #SecondaryRipple though I’m not sure there is ANYTHING at all happening. No excess deaths...
So coming to today: why all these “cases”? I am telling yiu that I’m the person who, working with Julia Hartley-Brewer, forced Hancock to admit the PCR test had a false positive rate (FPR) of just under 1%. At the time, prevalence per ONS was 0.05%. I am aware that only people..
...with symptoms were supposed to go to Pillar 2 test centres. But there was already copious evidence that this wasn’t the most common reason for getting tested. Some were told by employers, there’s been a case at work, don’t come back unless you’ve a negative result.
And just added emphasis, just been chatting with someone with sight of intensive care beds. Exactly normal occupancy 82% for end October. 40% have a positive PCR test, More later, but they’re NOT there BECAUSE of Covid19.

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More from @MichaelYeadon3

31 Oct
In U.K. in spring there was an v strong relationship between covid19 deaths & excess deaths. Correlation isn’t causation but it’s strong evidence - in spring - that the one is responsible for the other. In formal terms it’s consistent with that hypothesis. We’d expect it, too. Image
In recent weeks this has completely broken down. It’s no longer possible to stand up the claim that covid19 deaths & excess deaths are causatively linked. In formal terms the data are not consistent with the hypothesis that covid19 deaths are the cause of any excess deaths. Image
I forgot to say, the most likely explanation for this inconsistency is that our measurements are wrong.
The PCR test for Covid19, like all such tests, is capable of ‘producing a misdiagnosis’.
Technically we call it false positives. When a testing system is overstretched and...
Read 56 tweets
30 Oct
Thank it JOEL. Please everyone, take a look. Weekly death rate England. It’s entirely NORMAL. There aren’t more deaths than usual. There aren’t more respiratory deaths than normal. Govt claims there is a lethal respiratory virus at large, killing 100s per day.
It is misdiagnosis.
Because there aren’t excess respiratory deaths - and Govt KNOWS there aren’t, there is NO need for any further ‘measures’ that are hurting families, killing people & destroying the economy. This isn’t opinion or forecasting. It’s right in front of your eyes. If you don’t object..
....in the strongest terms and just say “we the people of U.K. are not doing this; the virus killed people but it’s months ago stopped; your unchecked, error-prone test is lying to us all, cease immediately”, our country & lives are all in peril. With no exaggeration, I’ve....
Read 4 tweets
30 Oct
@J_CD_T Interesting, thanks.
I have a major using seroprevalence to guide us in any way. The process of forming antibodies is long, yet the apparent half life varies so much as to render seroprevalence as uninterpretable. Mild & asymptomatic infections result in too little if any...
@J_CD_T ...antibodies. If we come back a month, or 6 or 9 months later then, depending on the sensitivity of immunoassay used, you could get more of less any numbers.
I do not believe on this basis that seroprevalence is useful in guiding us. Admissions & deaths coupled with properly-...
@J_CD_T ...conducted PCR testing, is the way forward.

By the way: really key point. What is the excess deaths profile in Italy over the last 4 weeks? Remember that Covid19 kills mostly old & very old people with two or more serious chronic illness, they’re typically respiratory...
Read 11 tweets
28 Oct
“About 10% of the global population may be infected by October 2020. Global infection fatality rate is 0.15‐0.20% (0.03‐0.04% in those <70 years)”

You can make an estimate of the % of U.K. population infected by reference to Covid19 fatalities to date & the IFR. It’s not...
...a perfect method, but it yielded around 32% (that’s using the higher IFR; it would be closer to 40% using the lower value).

However you do the maths, even if 100% of us were initially susceptible (as SAGE said), you don’t get “more than 90%” when subtracting 32% from 100%.
Worse, our population never was 100% susceptible. That would have been truly astonishing because viruses tend to be related to other viruses.

Indeed, that rather radical journal, the BMJ, now recognised that around 30% of us had prior immunity to this virus, before it arrived,
Read 10 tweets
27 Oct
Sometimes it’s useful to revisit basic concepts. We appear to have forgotten that immunity after viral infection is the rule, not the exception.

“In this chapter, we highlight the principal means by which the host achieves immunity following infection by viruses”.
“Table 27.1 presents an overview”.
“In humans, viral infections are rarely lethal, even if they are highly cytolytic to individual cells. Mortality commonly occurs when viruses jump species (eg. Ebola or HIV), when virus undergoes major antigenic change (i.e., influenza) or when host immunity is compromised”.
Read 12 tweets
27 Oct
@js100js100 What exactly do people expect? Antibodies are costly molecules to make. They occupy a lot of solute space which you don’t have much of in serum. I asked some bright people questions & the conclusions they reached were that you must have circulating forever high levels of...
@js100js100 ...antibodies to everything to which you have immunity. We did some back of the envelope calculations are it was realised that if all your blood cells were removed, there still isn’t enough room for that to happen. QED that isn’t how immunity works.
Why is our national...
@js100js100 ...broadcaster putting up experts whose job appears to be deliberately misleading & thereby to stoke fear?
Allow me to reassure you. While we cannot be certain that the duration of immunity after SARS-CoV-2 will resemble that after SARS, it is likely. The two viruses are 80%...
Read 7 tweets

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