AukeHoekstra Profile picture
Nov 2, 2020 5 tweets 3 min read Read on X
German quality newspaper @handelsblatt reports on new anti-EV study by German society of engineers VDI (@VDI_News).

VDI states that electric vehicles emit more CO2 than combustion engine vehicles due to battery production.

But VDI uses wrong numbers for...
battery production. Image
For those who don't know me: I research energy systems & mobility at the @TUeindhoven and specialize in comparing CO2 emissions of electric vehicles and combustion vehicles.

My recent study about that in German:
dropbox.com/s/2gwq0yslascu…

and English:
dropbox.com/s/xblk4g7zeboa…
My main problem with the VDI study is that they use wrong numbers for battery production.

They assume producing a 48 kWh battery emits 8,9t of CO2.

That means 185 kg/kWh (8900kg/48kWh). Image
As I show in my study, emissions per kWh have plummeted in recent years and are now around 75 kg/kWh.

I call this the first of six errors that many anti-EV studies make.

Every real expert in the field knows this by now.

So 8.9t becomes 3.6t. (4.5t worst case.) Image
Before you go "But... but... production in China using coal" you should read my report and understand that the drop is mainly due to factory processes becoming much more efficient as we learn and scale up.

I dug up a footnote in a study I debunked that nicely illustrates this. Image

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More from @AukeHoekstra

Apr 14
Five of the Fossil Fuel Industry's Biggest Disinformation Tactics

@guardian article by @WesterveltAmy and @kylepope

Very recognizable for me too, so allow me to summarize the five points and add some observations/examples.
theguardian.com/us-news/2024/a…
1 "FF provides Energy Security"

In reality FF cause(d)(s) many INsecurities.

From the climate crisis, to "Dutch disease", to the end of democracy in Iran, to the war in Ukraine. [My examples]

Renewables are not scarce and last forever.
That sounds more secure to me. Image
2 "You must choose the economy or the environment"

The article gives great examples of this claim.
I hear it daily.

But the reality is that speeding up the transition to renewable SAVES money. Yes, really.

Don't be fooled by their delaying tactics!
cell.com/joule/pdf/S254…
Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 13
The European Union just came out with an official report:
REAL-WORLD emissions versus the new WLTP cycle.

The results are
*UNBELIEVABLE!!*

PHEVs emit on average
THREE AND A HALF TIMES MORE
than the official test claims!
climate-energy.eea.europa.eu/topics/transpo…
Image
Remember my complaints about @Toyota's misinformation claiming PHEV's are better than full EV's because they need smaller batteries?

Well, @Toyota actually scores WORSE than average with a gap of OVER FOUR TIMES the official value.

(Although their cars are more frugal.) Image
Researchers know since 2012 or so that EU tests are bollox and only useful as an illustration of "regulatory capture".

In my texts explaining how to calculate CO2 emissions I refer to it as "Error 4" (of 6).


sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
researchgate.net/publication/37…
Image
Read 10 tweets
Apr 12
GEOTHERMAL
Just saw a fascinating webinar and you should too if geothermal interests you.


It explains how techniques from fracking are creating a game-changer in the last few years that can reduce the cost of energy systems without fossil fuels.

🧵
Image
The webinar by prof. Roland Horne from @Stanford is about Enhanced Geothermal Systems or EGS that he defines as using fracking to make the area between the infusion and extraction well permeable for water. Image
He focuses on @fervoenergy, a company founded by two @Stanford alumni (one from his program) that has for the first time in history used the horizontal boring technique from fracking in geothermal.
Image
Image
Read 12 tweets
Apr 5
OVERsupply for lithium batteries is looming!

It will bring battery prices down, helping the transition to EVs and clean energy, but create headaches for the lithium industry

Let me give some perspective, showing the long term trend is clear and e.g. @Toyota should be ashamed
🧵
This eviscerates the last credibility of @Toyota regarding EVs.

They (esp. Gill Pratt) have been pushing the story we should buy their hybrids instead of full EVs because lithium batteries are and will stay the bottleneck

BNEF shows that's simply untrue
The energy transition is the largest project in the history of humanity. OFF COURSE there will be some hickups when developing new industries.

But we should stop freaking out anytime some false doom prophet provides clickbait to push their agenda.
Read 10 tweets
Mar 23
How to look at our impact on life on earth in 3 graphs:

1) Humans are just 0.01% of all biomass. (The graph is gorgeous!)

2) Humans + domesticated animals have almost completely displaced wild mammals.

3) We use 45% of habitable land for agriculture.
I *love* how well this graph was designed and how well it shows how small we are in the grand scheme of things.

Fun facts:
- Life is 0.00001% of the earth by weight
- Earth is 0.0003% of the weight of the sun

So we are insignificant right?
Well...
weforum.org/agenda/2021/08…
If we look at the mammals at the top of the food chain the opposite is true: we have completely taken over.
(ht@bennettpeer - other source unknown) Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 16
Grid congestion is THE bottleneck for economic growth and sustainability in the Netherlands.

But it doesn't have to be!

When we combine Dynamic Line Rating with Peak Shaving we could move three times more electricity with the current grid!
🧵 Image
What is Peak Shaving?

Peak shaving means that you take measures to lower the peaks in electricity usage. Peaks are what limits use of a power line. In the example graph below you can see the demand is too high a few yours per week. But there is more than enough capacity overall Image
Adjusting only the 2.5% of electricity demand that causes the biggest peaks adds 25% of capacity.

Removing 17% of energy from the peaks (e.g. with dynamic pricing, batteries, smart charging, etc. etc.) provides 50% more capacity.

But now we add dynamic line rating! Image
Read 15 tweets

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