croatia is open. no lockdowns, no curfews, no mask laws.

open.

life there is normal. people are trying to claim this is causing a covid spike. it's not.

they look, gasp, just like every other country around them most of whom are locked down, masked, etc.

NPI's do nothing.
that graph gets a little cluttered, so here is croatia w/ just the 4 countries with which it actual shares a border.

serbia looks to be a bit behind temporally and bosnia esp bad, but the clustering of hungary and slovenia (locked down, masked) and croatia (open) is striking.
there is no argument here that there is meaningful NPI driven divergence or, really, any divergence at all.

if anything, it's the neighbors swamping croatia/making it worse.

here's the traffic jam of slovenians fleeing to croatia.

this is all known and knowable. none of this ridiculous epidemiological LARP that has cost $10 trillion globally has done anything except inflict harm.

all the longstanding guidelines told us not to do it.

we just chose to ignore them.

2020 has been the year we abandoned science for superstition and progress for propaganda to take the lives, livelihoods, and mental and physical health of 6 billion people on an insane, authoritarian joy ride

it did not stop covid. same curves all over

all cause deaths were normal in sweden just as in norway.

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
(and isn't it fun watching academia catch up to where internet cats were 5 months ago.)

@HaraldofW has lots of great, up to date data on this.

it looks much the same.

there is even a strong argument that hard first lockdowns cause worse second waves by inhibiting the early formation of low risk community immunity.

this has been the most expensive purchase of non-wartime self harm since mao and stalin.

and it was and is totally avoidable

wake up and realize that this massive over-testing is both stupid (it's not epidemiological data, it's gibberish) and harmful.

it's projecting the shadow of a chipmunk onto the wall and making it look like a dragon

in our pants wetting panic we've grabbed onto a boat anchor to try to stop ourselves from drowning.

it's killing us. literally.

the good news is all we have to do it let go of it and we'll float back up.

stop being brave, you'll stop being free.

that's how it works.

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More from @boriquagato

19 Nov
i see we have reached the "aztek priest" stage of the mask superstition

demand sacrifice!

if the rains do not come, demand a bigger sacrifice!

if the rains do not come, bigger still!

eventually, it will rain.

claim you caused it and demand a promotion
breitbart.com/politics/2020/…
this is literally what epidemiology and public health has become.

just keep using bigger hammer theory and pretend that lockdowns and masks do anything at all to stop covid (they don't) and wait for the natural gompertz curve of community resistance/seasonality to bail you out
ignore the fact that lockdowns and masks are probably making it worse and that there is anything resembling a "cost" side to this cost-benefit equation and that it's massive to the point of "great leap forward" bad.

speak only in moral absolutes.
Read 4 tweets
18 Nov
the real world, randomized controlled DANMASK study is out.

it shows no meaningful efficacy in masks and a p value of 0.38 which is means it's really just noise.

it's pretty much a nothingburger.

but there is one thing that interests me:

what they left out
it looks to me like they nerfed this study.

the protocol had a significant number of measures for adverse events:

bacteria, psychological, full healthcare, sick leave, infection in the household, other hospital diagnostics, etc.

NONE are included in the study.
on its own, that's a comment-worthy matter, but in the current climate of suppression and propaganda, it becomes far more suspicious especially in light of comments from the folks who ran the study.

"as soon as there is a journal brave enough?"

this report is bland pablum.
Read 9 tweets
17 Nov
it staggers me that we're still having this argument.

the truth is utterly simple and perfectly clear:

anyone who still speaks of "cases" as "proven" by a positive PCR test at 40Ct (or even 30) is either virologically illiterate or seeking to mislead you

these are not cases.
these PCR tests are NOT suited to purpose

they are a preposterously over sensitive assay. w/ a sensitive enough detector, i can find traces of bacon in your kitchen from breakfast 2 yrs ago

this does not mean you have bacon contamination

it means you're using a stupid measure
this is why NONE of the vaccine trials accept this definition of "covid case." all require symptomatic conformation as well.

mass testing is NOT the cure to an epidemic. it's the progenitor of a fake one.

we've made this mistake before

Read 10 tweets
16 Nov
the great reset is not new in any way, shape, or form. it's just a critical race theory rehash of the club of rome policies with a better powerpoint deck.

mussolini cold have easily written it if someone had taught him the word "stakeholder".

it's classic fascism.
wilson would have recognized and applauded it instantly.

you get government, media, and big business all aligned to shape the economic, social, and moral spheres of the society from the top down "for its own good."

(pro tip: this never works out for "we the people")
this sort of dictatorial control is the seductive trap that smart people fall for.

"i'm smart so everyone would be better off if they all just did what i said" is some seriously powerful kool-aid to get drunk on.

always has been.
Read 11 tweets
15 Nov
this study looks important:

it was controlled, prospective study. it's showing a stunning 71% mortality benefit in moderate to severe covid-19 cases even in the very old.

remdesivir shows no morality benefit.

baricitinib is a widely available RA drug available in pill form.
601 patients in the trial at university of pisa and albacete hospital.

83 treated with baricitinib. 83 controls established at same time using propensity score matching.

patients also received standard of care medication.
this led to dramatic differences in outcomes.

composite endpoint of death or mechanical ventilation was 29 in control group (34.9%) vs 14 in active arm (16.9%). 52% reduction. p<0.001.

effects were rapid and sustained.

curve separation was almost instant.
Read 14 tweets
15 Nov
on friday, governor wanda "lockdown" vazquez announced a tightening of puerto rico's restrictions and a whole set of "BEHAVE OR WE'LL MAKE IT WORSE!" threats.

among them:

• The National Guard has been activated to enforce EO compliance.

photo from VSJ promenade this morning:
let's hope this is just an unfortunate coincidence, but when you hear this kind of absolutist talk that puts systems over people, well, it's not hard to imagine the sound of jackboots

“We will not under any circumstance allow our health system to be placed at risk,” she said
“If during this new order that ends on December 11, we do not see a response from citizens and businesses in compliance, we would have to take more severe measures. I trust that those who are not complying will reconsider ” , Vázquez warned.

("cackled gleefully" is more like it)
Read 5 tweets

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