1/6 Interesting. When the US pulled out in 2017 the idea of China joining was floated. I'd just written a thesis on the SOE chapter (17), and felt sufficiently skeptical to write a short op-ed about why China was unlikely to join at that time: eastasiaforum.org/2017/02/11/why…
2/6 During and after negotiations, a lot of people argued that the SOE disciplines (and other aspects of the TPP) were were written with China in mind. See, eg,

1 - Bhala (2017) bit.ly/33405dA (and others in this special ed)

2 - Corning (2018) bit.ly/2IUsZWw
3/6 This contributed to the idea that the TPP was an instrument for 'containing' or 'encircling' China. For a recent Chinese perspective reflecting that logic, see Wang (2019) bit.ly/3pHfeei
4/6 Implementing rules on non-commercial assistance (art 17.6), regulatory bias (art 17.4), transparency (art 17.10) etc would pose real challenges. Signing up would help progress reforms in the sector, but could equally complicate Xi's goal of making them 'stronger and bigger'.
5/6 For further reading, the best thing I've seen on this recently is a 2020 WTR article by Matsushita and Lim: bit.ly/35Nxz1h. Worth noting that they think the idea of China accepting SOE disciplines at this stage is "far-fetched"!
6/6 That said, there are other aspects of TPP that would create complications too - provisions on IP, enviro and labor protections, even exchange rate policy (although NB). Should be interesting to see if this goes anywhere, and how it might interact with Biden's TPP aspirations.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Victor Ferguson

Victor Ferguson Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!