Just so. My October 1 prediction was predicated on stuff like the reject rate for absentee ballots and the PA election code. That case has grown dramatically stronger since. We've also heard of Powell's allegations—a nice cherry on top if they pan on, but little depends on them.
People are now rushing to "retfute" Powell, based on nutpicking largely, in order to discredit the side of the case for which they have no answer, even though the two have no logical connection and even though Powell has not yet filed her case and promises she will soon.
The routine fails to convince of anything beyond the likely motives and standards of the performers.
The effort to dismiss Trump's efforts wholesale based on a premature assault on Powell brings to mind the old behavior econ studies showing that people are bad at conditional logic. The reality here is that we've gotten info on the boring side of the case, and info on the sexy
side. On the boring side, we see stuff like the SCOTUS Amicus brief by state SG's and the work of @MattBraynard and his team. On the sexy side, allegations about the CIA and voting machines, etc. Declaiming the latter is CRAZY does nothing to vitiate the former.
Just to head off the critique that this is some new thing, I'll note that I've been giving this same shpiel for a while. Could multiply examples like the below:

*refute Powell

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Derek (Doomscroll Dark & Deeper'n'y Sea Dingle)

Derek (Doomscroll Dark & Deeper'n'y Sea Dingle) Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @PereGrimmer

22 Nov
My sister apparently has a bet running with my mom for $1k at 10-1 that Trump will win. (I'm guessing she reads my feed and is sick of me always being right about crazy shit and then bragging? Neither mom nor sis are Trump fans by any stretch.)
The bet, to be clear, is 10-1 AGAINST Biden winning. Utter insanity given market odds. As I told my dad, it's a fun anecdote since it demonstrates a scenario where putting up skin in the game makes you seem less credible, since you did it as objectively crazy odds.
That is, when people have asked me to bet them that Trump will win at _even odds,_ I've of course said no, since the whole point of coming up with unusual predictions is to _make money from the current market odds,_ and so it would be nutty to sign over my profits to doubters.
Read 6 tweets
22 Nov
Time for a soft news story: whom did Trump recently unfollow? Image
Huh! It's funny how there is a total media obsession with Trump yet I somehow miss this beef.

Read 4 tweets
22 Nov
There is no chance Kyle would have been charged were he Muslim and Brown. This is a racial prosecution: he's being wrongly charged for murder and smeared as a Nazi because he's the Great White Defendant.
It's not so much that he's white as that he's Badwhite. The distinction is identical to

Badwhites must put up with this since they lack explicit class/racial consciousness and the litigation skills to play the Mau Mau game. I would suggest it's rather a bad idea to induce them to develop same.
Read 5 tweets
22 Nov
If Biden becomes the next President, I think we are going to find ourselves looking back fondly on Trump's management of Covid within a few months.

I have heard this from several independent sources with knowledge of hospital administration stats.

Dry tinder burned up, better therapeutics and treatment algos, etc., I take it?

Read 6 tweets
22 Nov
I like Rudy, I think he's a great character, very personable guy, but please please please do not have him do the appellate argument. He just is not an appellate lawyer.
I'd do worse than Rudy. OK not really, but ideally they would get a Kathleen Sullivan type. (Not that she'd take the rep, but if she did, jeez, game over.)

I would do a bunch of E before the argument so I could match his flop sweat.

Read 5 tweets
22 Nov
As predicted, expedited appeal to the Third Circuit coming.
IS there any reason to read the lower court opinion? I'm thinking no. I get that libs are looking for any ray of sunshine right now, but they seem to be conflating the opening pawn sacrifice in the KIA with "CHECKMATE".
(Yes, now that there's a prestige drama about chess, I am going to be using so many chess metaphors you'd think I was Yasser Seirawan.)
Read 24 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!