Let's start this alternate EC scenario with the first (alphabetical) state: Alabama. Using 2018 data, the state gets 19 congressional districts with an average pop. of 256,136 and 10 winner-take-all EVs by the Wyoming Rule. Here is a possible 12R-7D map (but... dummymander?)
Might have been better to make sure Birmingham got two solidly D seats instead of three lean ones. Also, Alabama is sadly one of the states in DRA that only has 2012/16 PVI + 2008 results. Maybe these would hold, who knows, the state is very inelastic and its metros moved left
DRA stats: only two of the districts actually being >50% black (the other five relying on a few white dems in metro areas to push them over) is probably concerning. But there was probably no way to get a VRA district out of Huntsville/Mobile anyway, see aforementioned Bham pt tho
North Alabama: AL-18 to salvage a lean D district here. 2008 Obama +8.3, PVI 2012/16 D +1.4. Countervailing trends: leftward shift in Huntsville and suburbs, but a rightward march in the rest of the district. Whitest D district (34% Black), far from safe in GOP wave
Birmingham area: Again, two safer districts might have been the move here. 13th is solid especially with recent shifts despite being 57% white, not completely sure about the other two.
End result is likely 12R-7D in the last four elections, which happens to be very proportional to Alabama's actual two-party vote share. Flip side of this is that it would be easier to lose than to gain for Ds as the 7th is the only remotely competitive Rep seat. EVs: 22 T / 7 B

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