1336 new cases for Alberta today. 8% hospitalization rate means 106ish from today alone. 2% ICU means 26ish from today alone. 3.5% mort means 46 from today alone. In case you are wondering why AB health care workers are freaking out. And the #s are only going up.
some people have pointed out I've used Canadian data instead of Alberta data. It is true the Alberta data looks better... 3.5% hosp, 0.6% ICU, 1% mortality, or 48 hospitalizations, 8 ICU, 13 deaths from today alone
Our #s may be better than the national numbers for 2 reasons: 1) demographics (we are the youngest province) and 2) we are earlier the curve than ON QC and MB which all had increases earlier than us, and hence have already seen their hosp/ICU and deaths earlier than us.
Probably a combination of both. But I suspect things will be catching up to us soon. About 13000 of our 45000 cases (or 28%) have occurred in the last 2 weeks... so watch this space.
I'll just underline it is not because we are superhumans, or our docs have some special talent that others do not. Statistics will eventually catch up to us.

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More from @jvipondmd

30 Jul
With a mandatory mask bylaw starting in Calgary on Saturday, I thought it would be an interesting exercise to compile my thinking on the early days of the mask advocacy. Seems so long ago... 1/x
Back in mid-March, COVID was rearing its head on the horizon in Calgary. Probably like every other health professional, I started reading voraciously on the topic. And the most powerful bit of information was the copious amount of asymptomatic patients, and transmission. 2/x
I began suggesting to our medical leaders that we really needed to do universal masking in the ER, for fear of it becoming a main source of transmission, and that our MD and nursing colleagues were at high risk. I didn't gain much headway. 3/x
Read 26 tweets
7 Apr
A rare Joe twitter thread, on universal masking, covid, and public health: A natural population level science experiment occurring in real-time in Central Europe, that anyone can follow at home. 1/13
One of the arguments for universal masking is that those countries that have successfully tamped down the curve are the countries in East Asia that also have instituted mandatory masking: China, South Korea, and Taiwan, predominantly. theguardian.com/world/2020/mar…
The reality is this is pretty simplistic as these countries have also instituted a variety of other policies which impact transmission, such as mass testing, mandatory lockdowns, and rigorous contact tracing. So which policy worked? Was it the whole suite of actions? or one? 3/
Read 16 tweets

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