Do gym shutdowns really have a positive cost-benefit?

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Earlier this year, I posted a study showing a very low corona transmission rate in gyms, at least in Norway, in an infection with a low infection rate.

#COVID #COVID19Ontario #COVID19Canada
Public Health England's data show only just over 1% of infections can be track-and-traced to gyms.

In Canada, COVID19 Science Advisory Table reported that only 3.3% of outbreak-related transmissions were related to gyms and sports.
Also, in Canada, many health and fitness professionals pleaded to the government to keep gyms open. As the Toronto Sun reported:

"The group wants to partner with government and public health to safely keep gyms open during COVID.
The doctors involved highlighting the importance of exercise in keeping heart and stroke ailments, diabetes, certain cancers and other ailments at bay — the very comorbidities that contribute to negative COVID-19 outcomes."
The Dutch government has decided during the second lockdown to keep gyms open for precisely this reason: they provide important physical and mental health benefits.

I would stress, in particular, the importance of reducing obesity.
Many studies have found that obesity is a massive health risk if you catch corona (no pun intended). And even if you don't, for that matter: remember my recent post that body composition is one of the strongest of all predictors of preventable deaths.
Multiple studies have already reported weight gain resulting from the lockdowns, so what will be the health repercussions if we keep shutting down repeatedly until there's a vaccine if that ever comes out?
We know that the health risks of the corona itself for the average non-elderly, non-obese, exercising individual are in the ballpark of the flu, so is the solution here to close gyms, or should we put more emphasis on the protection of true at-risk populations?

Menno Henselmans

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