Yes Bank’s additional Tier 1 bonds, written off. Lakshmi Villas Banks Tier 2 bonds, written off. Understand what & why of ATI and Tier 2 bonds in this thread.
Do ‘re-tweet’ and help us benefit more investors (1/n)
As a bank, you are in the business of borrowing & lending where the difference in the rate is the banks profit. So if the bank borrows under savings account, current account, FD etc at an average of 6% & lends at 8%, the difference of 2% is the banks profit. (2/n)
But there is a problem here,
If 100 is borrowed by the bank & 100 is lent & assuming there is a 10% NPA, the deposit holders will lose 10% of their deposits which is not a good sign and RBI surely does not like it (3/n)
To avoid this, banks r expected to invest their own capital + raise risk capital from the market. Risk capital is when the investor knows there is capital/investment risk like Equity & AT1 bonds etc. (4/n)
So now if 80% is deposits & assuming 20% is risk capital & 10% NPA takes place, the 10% will be a loss borne by the risk capital holders/investors & not the deposit holders. That’s the basic premise of running a bank. (5/n)
What is this risk capital requirement 4 the banks?
Banks r expected to maintain a minimum 11.5% capital adequacy ratio (CAR). This means that vs the lending the banks do, the banks will have to maintain a minimum 11.5% capital to be able to manage any NPA situation. (6/n)
The riskier the lending the bank does, the lower will the CAR ratio become and hence higher the need to raise more capital. This is to make sure banks don't lent recklessly and if they do, they need to keep bringing in more capital (7/n)
The 11.5% CAR is broken down as below,
1.Tier 1 Capital – requirement is 9.5%
a)Common Equity Tier 1 - requirement is 8%
b)Additional Tier 1 - requirement is 1.5%
2.Tier 2 Capital requirement is 2% (8/n)
(1) Tier 1 capital – requirement is 9.5% & further broken down into 2,
a. Common Equity Tier 1 capital – This is the capital mainly raised by issuing shares. This includes shareholders equity + Reserves & Surplus. Minimum requirement is 8% (9/n)
b. Additional Tier 1 capital – This is the capital raised by issuing perpetual bonds/AT1 bonds (Yes Bank case). This can form part of the remaining 1.5% requirement (9.5% - 8%) (10/n)
If the bank keeps making losses, this capital will be at risk and will keep coming down and hence more capital will need to be raised either by selling equity of the bank or by issuing AT1 bonds (11/n)
(2) Tier II capital – Requirement is 2%
This is raised by issuing Tier 2 bonds (Lakshmi Villas Bank). In case of liquidation of a bank, this capital will be at risk. (12/n)
Whats the risk in AT1 bonds?
First lets understand how does the AT1 bond work – Here’s an older thread on the same -
a. Banks can skip paying the coupon if either, the bank is making losses & does nt have reserves 2 pay 4m or the banks common equity tier 1 capital falls below the minimum 8% requirement. This will nt b considered a default neither does it get accumulated 2b paid next year(14/n)
(b) Banks will write off the principal if the common equity tier 1 capital falls below 6.125% (15/n)
Whats the risk in Tier 2 bonds (Lakshmi Villas Banks case)?
Banks can write off Tier 2 bonds if the common equity tier 1 capital falls below 4% (16/n)
Suggestion to investors?
These products are not FD replacement. They are meant for sophisticated investors who understand the risk and can track the CAR, CET1 and profitability ratios of the banks. Don’t get carried away with the higher yields they offer. (17/18)
For a detailed analysis, please click the link to read our article by @stepbystep888. And do re-tweet if you like the content :)
Bond markets are expecting higher inflation with trump winning & hence the yields are going up, not a good sign for India equity. Let me explain (1/4)
(1) If Trump increases duty, it is inflationary as the imports will become costly & hence yields are going up
(2) If trump reduces corporate taxes, it means more stress on the government finances, more borrowings & hence higher yields (2/4)
While FED main continue to lower rates, the rate cut cycle will reduce in an inflationary situation. Remember FED can only impacts the shorter end of the curve with rate cuts. The longer end of the curve is market determined & hence the yields are up because markets feel inflation is coming back with Trump (3/4)
Continuing our Mutual Fund Education Series, here’s the 3rd thread; this will demystify the Hybrid Mutual Fund categories for you.
Do ‘re-tweet’ & help us educate more investors to make the right investing decisions (1/9)
(Q1) What are Hybrid Funds?
Hybrid funds are funds, which invest in multiple asset classes like
- Equity
- Debt
- Gold
- Preference Shares
- REITs & InvITs
With an objective to reduce volatility (vs pure equity funds) & try an generate better risk adjusted returns (2/9)
(Q2) Types of Hybrid Funds?
- Conservative Hybrid Fund
- Balanced Hybrid Fund
- Aggressive Hybrid Fund
- Dynamic Asset Allocation (DAAF) or Balanced Advantage Fund (BAF)
- Multi Asset Allocation Fund
- Arbitrage Fund
- Equity Savings Fund (3/9)
Continuing our Mutual Fund series, this thread will focus on ‘Demystifying the Debt Mutual Fund Categories’
Do ‘re-tweet’ & help us educate more investors (1/10)
Debt Mutual Funds have 16 different categories & these categories are differentiated on 3 major parameters,
(1) Average Maturity (2) Mac Duration (3) Credit Risk (2/10)
What’s Average Maturity?
Average maturity is similar to your tenure in FD. If your FD has a 3-year tenure, you expect the FD to mature in 3 years. Similarly, if the average maturity of a debt fund is 3 years, it means that all the bonds in which the scheme has invested, their weighted average maturity is 3 years. Open ended mutual funds do not mature as such but Average Maturity gives you an idea that 3 years is atleast what you should have as a time horizon if you want to invest in this scheme with a 3 years of average maturity. (3/10)
"Should we invest or wait now that the markets are at an all time high?" - an investor asked.
I dint want to sound technical & hence told him about India's liquidity story. Do 're-tweet' this quick small 🧵, retail will benefit I think (1/8)
- I remember in the early days of my career, I was told markets fell ~60% during Lehman crises because FII's withdrew $2B
- Go back 10-15 years & FII's were a major reason markets moved in India
- Not any more
- Today FII's have only 16.5% holding in India, a decadal low (2/8)
The biggest reason market falls in India are shallow is the domestic money now,
- $2B is the monthly SIP book of the MF industry (remember Lehman?)
- Plus lumpsum investments in MF
- Plus Insurance & pension money
There are 1500+ schemes in mutual funds spread across multiple categories. To build the right portfolio, you need to understand the categories well. It’s less about the scheme & more about the category you choose in Mutual Funds.
This 🧵 is all about the Equity Category. Do ‘re-tweet’ & help us educate more investors (1/11)
As per SEBI guidelines, mutual fund schemes are classified as,
(1) Equity Schemes - Investing in Large, Mid & Small Cap Equities (2) Debt Schemes - Investing in Bonds (3) Hybrid Schemes - Investing in a mixture of Equity & Debt (4) Solution oriented Schemes - For retirement & Children planning (5) Other Schemes - Index Funds, ETF’s & Fund of Fund (2/11)
In this post, we will focus on Equity Schemes. In Mutual Funds there is a clear definition of what is called a large cap, mid cap & small cap.
- Large Cap Stocks are the top 100 stocks by market capitalization
- Mid Cap Stocks are stocks from 101 to 250 by market capitalization
- Small Cap Stocks are 251 & below in market capitalization (3/11)