Keval Ashar Profile picture
Dec 20, 2020 20 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Indian Investing Conclave Day 1 @IIC_2020

:Route Mobile
:Philip Carbon Black
:Borosil Ltd
:Arvind Ltd
:Hawkins Cooker
:Repco Homes
:Shaily Engineering Plastics
Route Mobile @ravidharamshi77

Investment Hypothesis in CPaaS companies

:Crossed the technology adoption chasm
:Huge addressable opportunity - Industry growth estimates 30-50%
:Profitable Unit Economics, Cash Generating, Incremental Cost Low

CPaaS growing at 40% Image
Route Mobile

:Applications served by route mobile - Facebook, Instagram, Whatsapp, Google Pay to name a few
:Route mobile platform used for : 2 factor authentication, Notification for customer engagement across portfolio of apps Image
Route Mobile Key points

:Scaled upto 1200cr of revenue from internal accruals
:Huge runway for growth
:Multi geography and Omni-Channel presence
:Cash available for M&A
:Scope of margin improvement
:Demonstrated ability to move up the value scale
Philips Carbon Black @sarkaraniruddha

:Indias largest carbon black manufacturer
:Where is carbon black used, Tyre Rubber(73%), Non Tyre Rubber (20%), Non Rubber Speciality Carbon (7%)

Industry Size & Capacity Addition
1.3 Million Tonnes capacity and PCB has 43% market share Image
Speciality Carbon : Joker in the Pack

:Launched 40 grades of speciality carbon
:FY 16 Sales : 4825 MT, FY 20 Sales : 19,378 MT
:Diversified Application : Consumer appliances, Packaging Industry, Food Packaging, Agriculture Pipes, Construction Pipes, Construction pipes
Innovation & Customer needs

:Company has spent 40cr over the last 3 years on R&D
:Company having almost all tyre companies in India as their customers
:Almost all major tyre companies to increase capacities over next 2-3 years
Borosil Ltd - Hitesh K (Aksa Capital)

Segments
:Glass & Microwave (Market Size 5.5 Bn, Growth 10%)
:Storageware (Market Size 7Bn, Growth 15%)
:Opalware (Market Sie 6Bn, Growth 15-20%)
:Kitchen Appliance (Market Size 90 Bn, Growth 10%)
:Cookware (Market Size 40 Bn, Growth 20%)
Scientific Segment : Huge Growth Scope

:Acquired Klasspack to leverage its reach with pharma companies & expand its glass expertise into everyday consumables
:Total Addressable Market Size : 10,000 cr

Borosil Vs Glassco (Laboratoryware) Image
Borosil Vs Competitors Image
Borosil Ltd Investment Thesis

:Leveraging on strong brand equity
:Protected its leadership in glassware segment
:Consistently expanding its products outside glassware
:Pharma Packaging is set for substantial growth
Hawkins @GreenEdgeWealth

Size of Opportunity
:Kitchenware market size : 15000 cr
:Hawkins addressable market size : 2500 cr, growing at 6%

Entry Barriers
:Duopoly market in cooker
:High supply chain costs
:New entrant to fight on pricing with higher costs and working capital
Long term demand drivers
:Introduction of LPG (Ujjwala Yojana)
:Nuclearization of families
:New product launches

Hawkins Vs TTK Prestige Image
Arvind Ltd

Business Segment

:Textiles - Denim, woven, voiles
:Technical Textile - Advanced Material Division
:Waste water treatment (Through Arvind Envisol)
:Suitings, Shirting etc.
Advanced materials Division (AMD)

:Demand for advance material growing at 10% CAGR
:Exports constitutes of 50% of total AM revenue
:Targeting to reach sales of 2500 cr in AMD by FY24/25
:Huge potential to generate valuable IP and has great domestic and export growth potential
Growth Drivers
:Domestically textile is expected to grow at 8-10% over next 5 years
:Rapid shift to branded apparels in India
:Possible textile orders from clients moving out of china

Revenue Segment Image
Repco Homes @MaximalCapital

Lending nature
:Affordable HFC (12 l ticket size)
:50% are non salaried
:Lending rates in double digit
:Location : Small towns and outskirts
Investment Rationale
:Best in class RoE player with PSU valuations
:Available at extremely cheap valuations
:New CEO is focused on minting balance between risks and growth

Valuation Study Image
Shaily Engineering Plastics Ltd.

Investment Rationale
:China +1 opportunity for growth on new verticals
:Introduction of new products - Complex polymers, Steel Furniture, Mixed Material
:Company seeking new growth areas with higher margin
:Pharma Packaging, Pharma Device
Revenue can grow substantially over next 3-4 years
:Pharma devices division can grow 2-3 x FY20
:Toys could be as big as their home furnishing segment over the next few years
:Signed 2of3 largest toy companies globally who are sourcing usd 4bn from china

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More from @KevalAshar

Aug 19, 2021
SmallCap Investing for Long Term 🧵

(SmallCap ➡️ MidCap ➡️ LargeCap)

Criteria to check for investing in SmallCap business for Long Term 👇

1. Management (CG & Capability)
2. Market Leader
3. Capital Allocation
4. Size of Opportunity
Investing in SmallCaps can lead to huge wealth creation but not all SmallCap businesses are worth holding for 5-10 years.

Following were SmallCap few years ago but now are LargeCap because they fulfilled above criteria :
1. HDFC
2. Infosys
3. PI Industries
4. Pidilite
5. Titan
1. Management

:Management plays the most important role while investing in SmallCap. They should be willing to create wealth for themselves as well as the shareholders.

World full of disruptions, management should be able to disrupt the industry instead of getting disrupted.
Read 8 tweets
Apr 10, 2021
EV Theme in India 🔦
"Electric Vehicle market in India is expected to reach $2bn by 2023"

Companies to checkout (2w & 3w market)

1. Hero MotoCorp (Ather Energy)
2. Greaves Cotton (Ampere)
3. Tube Investments
4. Atul Auto
2W EV Market

:E2W market in India has grown by a CAGR of 62% from
FY2016 till FY2020.
:34.5% of 2W market can potentially be EV by 2025
:Expected to be valued at $200 Mn by 2025

:2W EV sales of 1,52,000 units in FY2020 to about 34,50,000 lakh units by FY2025 (CAGR of 87%) 👇
3W EV Market

:0.7 Million units of E-Rickshaw manufactured yearly which has grow exponentially over last 5 years

:Market is expected to reach $ 1 Bn by 2030

:63% of 3W market can potentially be EV by 2030
Read 7 tweets
Nov 14, 2020
Acrysil Ltd *The Big Opportunity*

:Monopoly play, Ready to Expand its Wings

Market Cap : 420 cr
CMP : 157
Sales : 259 cr
PEG : 0.81
About Acrysil

:Acrysil is the pioneer in composite Quartz Technology in India and is one of the largest producers of quartz kitchen sinks in the world

Acrysil Brands
:Carysil
:Sternhagen
:Tek Carysil
:Homestyle Products (UK)
Product Segment

1.Quartz Sink
2.Stainless Steel Sinks
Press
Quadro
3.Tiles (3D)
4.Bathroom Sanitary
5.Kitchen Appliances
Chimney
Oven
Wine Chillers
Read 13 tweets
Oct 7, 2020
Syngene *The Big Decadal Opportunity*

:Journey from Export oriented unit to World-class company delivering innovative solutions

Market Cap : 22586 cr
CMP : 565
ROCE : 16.6%

@varinder_bansal @unseenvalue @punitbansal14 @VRtrendfollower
Global Footprint & Clientele

Partners range from largest global pharma and biotech firms to newest start ups in life sciences, to animal health.

BioPharma : Bristol Mayers, Sanofi, GSK, Amgen
Animal Health : Zoetis, Merck, Bayer
AgroChem : FMC
Consumer Products : Unilever
:Collaboration with Bristol-Myers Squibb for BBRC
:Syngene Amgen R&D Centre (SARC) for Amgen Inc.
:Herbalife’s first nutrition R&D centre in India
:Collaboration with Zoetis to develop and manufacture animal medicines
:Acquisition of bioinformatic assets of Strand Life Sciences
Read 11 tweets
Aug 28, 2020
Neuland Labs *The Big Decadal Opportunity*

:Journey from Commodity play to one of Leading CDMO player in India.

Market Cap : 1279 cr
CMP : 962
Sales : 787 cr
ROCE : 7.80% (97% growth over FY19)

@VijayKedia1 @varinder_bansal @unseenvalue @punitbansal14 @darshanvmehta1
CMS Business *Low Volume, High Margin*

Live Projects
2015 : 21
2020 : 76

Revenue
2015 : 55.8 cr
2020 : 188.3 cr

35.39% CAGR
Understanding CMS Business

:CMS is a very strategic focus vertical, which will contribute hugely to their growth

:Nature of CMS Business is such that cycle is very long, so order visibility is longer
Read 9 tweets
Aug 21, 2020
Smruthi Organics - Turn Around Story

Market Cap : 77.87 cr
CMP : 204.10
PE : 8.04
ROCE : 24.88%
ROE : 21.44%

@AnyBodyCanFly @unseenvalue @hiddengemsindia
About the Company

:API & Intermediate manufacturing company

:Key Clients - Cipla, Sun Pharma, Aristo, USV & Intas

:2 Manufacturing facility in Solapur

:22 acre land in Chincholi (50% occupied), ample free land available for further expansion
Financials

Domestic Sales : 81cr
Export Sales : 47.4cr

PAT
FY 17 : -3.2cr
FY 18 : 6.9cr
FY 19 : 8.4cr

EBIDTA Margins
FY 17 : 3.6%
FY 18 : 12.9%
FY 19 : 16.2%
Read 8 tweets

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