BREAKING! Do mask mandates work? Our analysis below.
We looked at cases on days where mask mandates were in place vs when they were not. We calculated the cases per day adjusted for population and:

27 cases per day per 100K people

17 cases

1/ Image
That's right. With mandates in place states say 10 more cases per 100K population. Here's the breakdown by state. Many states have had days with mandates (blue) and without (orange)

Drawn your own conclusions.
2/ ImageImage
Team Apocalypse will object and say: "well, states which put mandates in place were seeing surges in cases!" Perhaps... but our data shows that even AFTER the mandates went up... it did nothing.
h/t to our friend @ianmSC
3/ ImageImageImage
Another objection: "Well, we can never know for certain HOW MUCH WORSE it could have been without masks." First, that's not science - that's unfalsifiable nonsense.
Maybe consider that the virus is beyond your control. See these 6 states with different mandates. Up and down.
4/ Image
Another objection: "Well maybe people aren't really wearing masks!" We have you covered there. Here's an interactive tool allowing you to drill down on county-level covid cases mapped to a NYTimes survey on how people are wearing masks.
We also have numerous articles and studies demonstrating that mask mandates are not justified and that recent items cited by the CDC do not present strong evidence at all for mask mandates.
Our main purpose here is targeting elected officials who use masks as a distraction from bad lockdown policies which dramatically impact society. Until these politicians abandon those tactics ("Cases up! Mask harder!") we will continue to fight this.

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More from @justin_hart

19 Feb
Let's be clear: #LockdownsKill
Here are all the studies we've gathered showing the impact on lives beyond the challenges of #COVID19.…
2/ 1.4 million additional tuberculosis deaths due to lockdown disruptions. #RationalGround (pdf)
3/ 500,000 additional deaths related to HIV projected because of lockdowns.…
Read 16 tweets
15 Feb
video from the @ChefGruel tweet of a health inspector doing a happy dance that she had shut down another business.

It reminds me of the novel "The Betrothed" by Manzoni about the plague in Milan. He describes the 17th century "health inspectors" (read on!)
First the penalties were raised on everyone creating classes ("stations") for every part of society:

"The strictest orders were laid upon these people; the severest penalties threatened to them; stations were assigned them; and commissaries, as we have said, placed over them"
Then new power was placed in unelected officials to keep obedience:

"...magistrates and nobles were appointed in every district, with authority to enforce good government summarily on every opportunity."
Read 16 tweets
3 Feb
"Those who don't know history are destined to repeat it."

100 years ago the mask debate raged on and on just like it does today. One set of doctors came to this conclusion:
2/ That headline was in the Santa Barbara Daily News and the Independent, Nov 16, 1918. "The average person doesn't know how to take care of a mask... and it not cleansed the thing soon becomes a veritable bacteria incubator." - Looking around you... has anything changed?
3/ One doctor interviewed then states: "As a matter of fact, the common use of the mask tends to propagate rather than check influenza." Read the whole thing...
but that's not all...

Let's hop over to Iowa. Des Moines Tribune, Nov 30, 1918...
Read 19 tweets
27 Jan
We've lost our ever-lovin' minds.
I thought it was a parody. Nope... it's real.
Also - my favorite bit it where they use "Efficiency" in the graphic instead of "Efficacy"

@thenewsoncnbc & crew are SO SMART!
Read 4 tweets
24 Jan
Have you seen this level of detailed reporting ANYWHERE else? @jhaskinscabrera, editor of @AlachuaChronic1 and contributor to @Rational_Ground examined some 700 death certificates from the state of Florida:…

Here are some of the more interesting ones:
- 84M, PART 1: a. Cerebrovascular accident, b. atherosclerosis, PART 2: COVID-19 pneumonia
- 85M, PART 1: a. Ischemic cardiomyopathy, PART 2: Chronic kidney disease, COVID-19
- 57M, PART 1: a. Coronary artery disease, PART 2: asymptomatic COVID-19 positive swab

-88M, PART 1: a. Failure to thrive, b. dementia, c. type II diabetes, PART 2: COVID-19 positive
-79F, PART 1: a. renal cancer – 4 months, PART 2: COVID-19
-56F, PART 1: a. complications of paraplegia (non-traumatic), PART 2: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, ...COVID-19

Read 18 tweets
16 Jan
As @KevinKileyCA pointed out, @GavinNewsom put out a 51 page framework which will ensure that California schools remain essentially closed for 2021. It's nightmare.

Here are the key highlights which will drive you crazy…
1) "Weekly testing at schools in communities with high rates of transmission."

This will be the single greatest mistake. Cases will be found in a glass of water and those schools will remain locked and condemned. There is ZERO need to test asymptomatic people
2) "All staff and students in schools are required to wear masks. Furthermore, surgical masks will be recommended for school staff, and the Administration will distribute millions of surgical masks to schools at no cost."

We knew this was coming. So unnecessary. So ridiculous
Read 5 tweets

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