1/n
Meet Jo. Jo is a 20-something MPH who works for the CDC. Jo’s model is being used to decide who gets vaccinated in the U.S. Jo is a proud American who lives on “occupied Mvskoke land”.

cdc.gov/vaccines/acip/… ImageImage
2/n
Jo is a scientist, but rather than use the reported vaccine efficacy (90-100%), Jo’s model used an estimate of 70%. Jo's model also doesn't take into account the highly age-stratified risk of COVID published by the CDC.

cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
3/n
The CDC says the risk of death is 270x higher for 70+ as those aged 18-50. Jo’s model ignored the highly lethal nature of this disease to the elderly, so Jo was able to recommend that younger essential workers be prioritized above the elderly, because the elderly are whiter.
4/n
The NYT explained why this was fair, and now many states are implementing vaccination plans based on Jo’s model—resulting in hardly anyone over 70 being vaccinated.

nytimes.com/2020/12/05/hea… Image
5/n
Based on our current death rate, every month that those over 70 are not vaccinated, another 50K people will die. Another 12K from 50-70. Not only are these deaths tragedies in themselves, these deaths will be used by the media and unions to keep schools and businesses closed.
6/n
Jo probably doesn’t think they’re a grandma killer, b/c Jo probably always wears a mask, ignoring once again the CDC’s own research that shows that neither masks nor hand-washing have any real impact on a virus’s ability to spread.
wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26…
7/n
Jo is a perfect example of following The ScienceTM. Jo probably already got their vaccine & is feeling very virtuous. Not only would Jo be helping to “stop the spread,” Jo is ensuring that a more deserving (if lower risk) trans-person gets it rather than some old white person
8/n
Jo’s work shows the deadly consequences of ignoring data and perverting science to serve an agenda.
9/n a follower pointed out Jo’s model is based on only 35% efficacy over 65. The trial data (small n) shows 100%. With such high efficacy in the at-risk pop, it is lunacy (murder?) not to start there.

fda.gov/media/144434/d… Image
CDC data for model: Image

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More from @Emily_Burns_V

22 Jan
@DLeonhardt 1/n
Don’t you find it even a little odd lecturing other states on how to handle COVID, when NYC, where your publisher resides, has the highest death count in the world 3170/million? That is almost 3x the national average of 1271.
@DLeonhardt 2/n
It is more than every single state. In fact, it is more than double every single state except, NJ, NY, MA, RI, MS, CT, SD, ND, LA, AZ, and IL. It is 3x higher than 20 states.
@DLeonhardt 3/n
It is 4x higher than 10 states: NC, OK, KY, NH, VA, WA,UT, OR, MA, AL, VT, and HI. It is more than double every single country in Europe—and NYC has a larger population than 28 out of 48 countries.
Read 15 tweets
20 Jan
1/n
Over the weekend, I experienced a truly amazing thing—a functioning society. I left dystopian Massachusetts for Utah, and in Utah I found a packed airport and the closest thing to normal I have experienced in 10 months.
2/n
I went to busy restaurants every night, and two of the three nights got to listen to live music, including—gasp—live singing and a band! After skiing, we sat around a firepit drinking, and met new people.
3/n
I met a friend whom I haven’t seen in a year and gave her a hug, without either of us giving a second thought. I met family and extended family; all greeted us with a warm embrace, a wide smile, and quickly ushered us inside.
Read 26 tweets

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