Arieh Kovler Profile picture
Dec 21, 2020 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
On January 6, armed Trumpist militias will be rallying in DC, at Trump's orders. It's highly likely that they'll try to storm the Capitol after it certifies Joe Biden's win. I don't think this has sunk in yet.
These people are angry at the Democrats. They're angry at the GOP for not suspending democracy. They hate the media, and many consider police to be the enemy even as they fly the "blue lives" flag instead of the Stars and Stripes. Image
They are convinced that Congress will, somehow, declare Trump the winner on Jan 6. Maybe Pence will just refuse to count the Electoral Votes from states Biden won? Or the Senate will throw those votes out? Or Justice Thomas? Alternatively...
...some think Trump will win because *they* will ensure it. Maybe by forcing Congress to certify him as the winner at gunpoint. Maybe as backup forces to Trump's supposed military coup.
When Congress certifies Biden, these people will be shocked. Their worlds will collapse. And it'll happen while they're (illegally) armed and gathered in DC. It's the nitroglycerine of explosive mixtures.
How will January 6 be policed? We've already seen that the White House can effectively commandeer the DC police, and construct ad-hoc paramilitary forces out of prison officers and CBP. Will Congress get the protection it needs? ImageImage
The Capitol Police has 2200 officers, but I'm guessing they mostly aren't riot trained or SWAT types. The question here is if federal forces will be *allowed* to help them.
To be clear here, I don't think the 3%ers, Proud Boys, Oathkeepers or boogaloo types are going to seize the Capitol. But some of them are going try. And people will die.
How will US Conservatives react? Well, they made Kyle Rittenhouse into a hero. They ignored the Whitmer kidnap plot, except as a way of calling for more violence against her.
I note that @Robertwaldeck reckons I'm completely wrong here and that DC forces including the Capitol Police, DC police and Nat Guard, which he knows well, will be able to keep things completely under control.
@Robertwaldeck More than a year back, I wondered if Trump would be the first President to be impeached twice. Tonight, members of Congress are seriously considering it.

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More from @ariehkovler

Sep 4
This means a Russian intel agent was part of the internal conversations with Lauren Chen and Liam Donovan about how much to pay Benny Johnson and Tim Pool
Image
The Russians asked Chen to recruit Benny Johnson and Tim Pool to make some content and offered $2m a year each. Johnson said he wanted $5m. Pool demanded $100k per episode.

NB the indictment does not suggest that they knew the money was coming from Russia. Image
Tim Pool spoke to a Russian agent pretending to be a Hungarian businessman on a secure call. Image
Read 12 tweets
Apr 18
OK, so let's talk about this. The term "Ashkenormativity" is used *internally* in Jewish communal discourse to refer to discrimination against non-Ashkenazi Jews — like north African and Yemenite Jews.
In the US, for example, most Jews are Ashkenazi: their ancestors come from eastern or central Europe, and they follow the traditions, liturgy and religious rulings of the Ashkenazi communities.
Jews from north Africa and the Middle East follow different traditions, which get sort of politically lumped together as Mizrachi, "Eastern" even though Moroccan and Algerian Jews lived WAY west of, say, Polish and Russians.
Read 12 tweets
Jan 31
Why does the far Right hate Taylor Swift so much? Well, *partly* because they used to worship her as a secret White Nationalist 4channer and still feel betrayed that she wasn't actually any of those things.
4chan a decade ago was full of photoshopped pics of Swift in wehrmacht uniforms and excited posts about how her (then) political silence proved she was actually going to be the Aryan mother of the next generation of American Nazis. All total fantasy of course.
Here's an article from 2016 (ht: @SueSandersHere) that talks about the theory at the time.

At a certain point, op-eds in mainstream media started demanding she "speak out" to prove she wasn't a secret neo Nazi.

npr.org/sections/codes…
Read 6 tweets
Oct 7, 2023
I am reconnecting after a day offline. This is the worst single day of casualties Israel has suffered in my lifetime. Civilians massacred, reports of many kidnapped into Gaza. More than 100 dead and that total is rising.
Hamas launched this mass surprise attack into Israel, an invasion covered by huge rocket fire, without any escalation or specific trigger. They did it because they can and because they wanted to.
Horror stories are emerging from the towns near to Gaza of massacres, with Hamas cells going house to house. Hamas claims it has kidnapped 53 Israelis, but we'll have to wait to see how true that is.
Read 12 tweets
Sep 28, 2023
This is happening now. It's hosted by the Daily Wire and so far it's just Ben Shapiro interviewing Musk, asking hard-hitting conversations like "How do you stand up to the ADL and organizations that want to control speech?".
Image
Also, when talking about Chaya Raichik, Musk pronounces Chaya as if it rhymes with 'China'. Right now he's saying that he's going to find ways to let advertisers choose to advertise next to risky content if they want to.
Ben Shapiro is now praising Musk for "getting rid of the bots", therefore dramatically reducing antisemitism. This is not the typical experience of many Jewish users of this platform.
Read 22 tweets
May 31, 2023
This paid anti-Ukrain propaganda ad, in Hebrew, just popped up on my Facebook. The cartoon's message is hardly subtle, but let's see what we can find out. Image
First, the advertiser. It's a nothing Facebook page targeting people based in Israel who've interacted with content like graphic novels and consumer electronics. ImageImage
The page is running another ad too. Both use the same text:

"Israel should focus all attention on fighting the economic crisis. Supporting the conflicts of others is an unjustified luxury. Every shekel counts"

The ad text does't mention the Nazi stuff. Image
Read 8 tweets

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