Lillian Li Profile picture
Jan 2, 2021 18 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1) Let's talk about Meituan and its founder Wang Xing. The poster child of the Copy-to-China model. They beat out 5000+ other companies to win the group buying wars and catapulted Neil Shen of Sequoia China to the front of the Midas list.

Also pissed off Jack Ma on the way
2) Our story starts in 2004 when Wang Xing dropped out of his PhD program in University of Delaware to come back to China. Wang was the embodiment of Softbank's Time Machine theory, creating one US clone after the other
3) First it was Duoduoyou (Friendster) which died a quick death, then Xiaonei (Facebook) which fared better. The story goes that when Wang and his co-founders went to pitch Sequoia on this, they lost their prepared business plan in the taxi over.
4) They had to make do with a hasty draw set of notes as they waited for their meeting.

In their follow up meeting, Wang's beloved Linux system wouldn't connect to the projector, and he had to orally present in front of an empty screen.

They didn't get the Sequoia investment
5) Xiaonei struggled eventurally got brought out, it eventually becaome Renren and has been struggling ever since. And Wang started his next company Fanfou which was a copy of Twitter. In 2009, Fanfou got paused by the government for content issues and Weibo took over
6) In Wang's next venture, he finally settled on a Chinese version of Groupon which was Meituan.

When he went to Sequoia to pitch, he was fully prepared. However, he hardly got a word in edgeways as Neil Shen decided to fund their $20 million series A right in the meeting.
7) It was a great call, at their HK IPO in 2018, Meituan returned Sequoia a cool 510x on their initial investment, firmly placing Neil Shen on the top of the Midas list.
8) However, copy cat firms were springing up everyday. The battle royale of group buying had began and every tech firm wanted in.

At its peak, over 5000 companies were running around China in the group buying wars(I said 100 in my substack but have been informed it was crazier)
9) Meituan won out in 2012 from a mixture of focusing on field sales rather than marketing, good hiring and the incompetence of their competitors.

At this point, Wang got a new friend in the form of Alibaba, who had ploughed in money for Meituan's B to C rounds.
10) In the late stage of 2014, Dian-Ping (Yelp of China) pivoted into group buying, flushed with cash and traffic + support from Tenpay from Tencent. It became the new nemsis for Meituan.

Wang initially wanted support from Alibaba + Ant to help with the Tencent and Dianping duo
11) But was rebuffed by the Alibaba team. They had a dominate position in payment at the time and didn't need to subsidise traffic and usage as much as Tencent did.

The experience left Wang bitter as he realised he was just a pawn in the shadow wars between Alibaba and Tencent
12) Wang decided to start working with Tenpay and started to pivot towards food delivery as a new vertical.

Lots more drama happens and Meituan and Dianping merges. Which also gives Tencent a strong investment position in Meituan through Dianping
13)Meituan switched to Tencent's side and Alibaba was pissed.

Alibaba started to sell their shares in Meituan at half their cost on the private secondary market. And started to look for a new horse to back in the food delivery and offline space.
14) They acquired Elema and a new war for food delivery started.

But that's a tangent from Meituan. If you're interested in what happened in that war, let me know. But general context on Chinese startup wars lillianli.substack.com/p/the-shadow-w…
15) Meituan has become a super app along the way, now you can buy tickets to films, local attractions as well as for trains and flights on there. They've moved into hotels and payments (another jab at Alipay) and most recently Community Group Buying.
16) In the process, they've made enemies out of everyone. Wang's outspoken ways with the media hasn't helped. He's the go-to guy anytime anyone needs a quote on how terrible Jack Ma is.
17) That being said, Meituan's one of the most sticky apps on most Chinese consumer's phone. Their stock has 3x during 2020's lockdown as food delivery and then revenge tourism became must dos for most consumers.
Let me know if you found this interesting, if I get like 200 likes or something I'll write a deep-dive on Meituan.

I'll be writing threads like this for the rest of Jan, follow me if you want these to spam your TL.

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More from @lillianmli

May 25, 2022
1) A interesting thing I've been following recently is the uproar around voice actors' pay in the virtual idol group called A-Soul.

A-Soul - a joint venture between ByteDance and entertainment firm Yuehua - seemed to herald a new era in entertainment, but now, maybe not. Image
2) A-Soul was launched in November 2020, it's a girl group made of 5 virtual idols. Like other idol groups, each member fits a distinctive type.

Their breakthrough is the amount of technology that went into their production. Their actions are lifelike and state of the art.
Here's a sample of what they look like bilibili.com/festival/2022b…
Read 15 tweets
Apr 2, 2022
1) I always heard the advice to make better investment decisions and think better by writing more.

After being a VC for ~5 years and then writing solidly for 1.5 years with my newsletter, I finally grokked this advice.

Here are 5 ways writing has made me a better investor:
2) Writing makes you more focused

Writing for the public is output-driven - are you trying to explain? Are you trying to make a decision about a company? Are you trying to vibe?

What are you trying to say, and why are you saying it.
3) Writing makes you more logical

Once you realise you're being purposeful, writing helps you be more cognisant of what’s happening inside your head.

As sentences form, as evidence pill up, it allows you to examine the logic and critique it a bit of distance
Read 10 tweets
Mar 26, 2022
1) Let's talk about Hillhouse Capital, the heavy-weight PE house who are multi-stage cross-over investor in Tencent, JD.com, Perfect diary, Didi and Meituan before it was called that.

Some background and look at three deals that made them finance royalty:
2) Hillhouse is synonymous with its founder Zhang Lei.
Born in 1972 in Hunan, he was seen as somewhat of a drifter in his youth. When he graduated from the prestigious Renmin University, unlike his finance bound classmates, he opted to go into a mining firm.
3) Frequent contacts with international clients convinced Zhang to pursue a master's at Yale in international relations in 1998.
He interned at the Yale endowment under David Swensen and worked for NYSE post-graduation - it was a life of leisure he soon got bored off.
Read 17 tweets
Mar 16, 2022
1) A week of stockmarket freefall got the Chinese Financial Stability and Development Committee to host a special aka emergency session.

The post-meeting Shanghai and HK markets rebounds speak for themselves.

Key takeaways below:
2) On Chinese companies listing aboard:

The Chinese and U.S. regulators have maintained good communication and have made positive cooperative progress.

The Chinese government continues to support all types of enterprises to go public outside China.
3) On future regulations:

Any policy that has a significant impact on the capital market should be coordinated with the financial management departments in advance, to maintain the stability and consistency of policy expectations.

Aka better communications y'all
Read 7 tweets
Mar 9, 2022
1) Coming out of a year of tech regulations and against the backdrop of a trade tech war:

10 Chinese Tech takeaways from the Two sessions aka China's annual key objectives setting time.

Number 9 will not surprise you. None of these will surprise you.
2) Venture capital is good and encouraged

VC funding got some love at the meeting, Premier Li specifically said that China will 'promote the development of venture capital'. But will still be mindful of misaligned incentives caused by excessive returns seeking orgs.
3) Chinese stock exchanges will be further developed

Beijing Stock Exchange will be further developed (more listing restrictions have already been lifted since last year) to encourage more SME getting liquidity locally.
Read 11 tweets
Feb 28, 2022
1) With Russia being partly blocked from the SWIFT international payments system.

All eyes (in the Chinese financial system) are on the Chinese clearing and settlement system CIPS.

A primer on what it is and potential implications for the future of dollar hegemony:
2) In a nutshell, CIPS is China's version of CHIPS and potentially SWIFT. It settles international claims in RMB, but was been using SWIFT as its communication system since 2016.

It was created as a domestic alternative to the CHIPS + SWIFT system to bypass US scrutiny
3) Backed by People's Bank of China (PBOC), CIPS was launched in 2015 to internationalise yuan use. It allows global banks to clear cross-border yuan transactions directly onshore, instead of through clearing banks in offshore yuan hubs.
Read 10 tweets

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