Thread by @DataDrivenMD

1/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery
Trying something new: I’ll spend 30-45 min going through the day’s COVID-19 data while making real-time observations

If you want me to look at specific locations, reply and I’ll add it to a running queue.

If this goes well, I’ll do it nightly.

2/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery
Los Angeles (1/x) I like to start big picture. Let’s look at California.

CA is doing *a lot* of testing, which is why it has 9.4% positivity but
case rate of 698 per 100K.

s: @CodersCovid
u: reports.codersagainstcovid.org

3/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Los Angeles (2/x)

In the last 21 days, Los Angeles has reported 3.5X as many cases as the next closest county (San Bernardino)

4/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Los Angeles (3/x)

Los Angeles County has reported nearly 6X as many cases as the next closest county (San Diego)

5/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Los Angeles (4/x)

For the week ending Jan 7th, Los Angeles County hospitals admitted nearly 3X as many COVID-19 patients as the next closest county (Orange)

It also had over 16K ED visits for COVID-19.

6/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Los Angeles (5/x)

Last note Los Angeles County: for the week ending Jan 7th, several hospitals admitted at least 3 children with COVID-19, and there’s an upward trend in pediatric hospitalizations.

Work keeping an eye on.

7/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Ventura (1/x)

LA County is definitely experiencing a wave-on-top-of-a-wave-on-top-of-a-wave

Ventura in just starting to feel it. It’s in the “swell” phase at the moment. Case rates are climbing precipitously.

8/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Ventura (2/x)

Death rates are climbing, too.

And while the absolute number may not seem that high, it’s worth noting that

1 in 3 COVID-19 deaths in Ventura County have been reported in the last 3 weeks.

9/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Ventura Co (3/x)

Hospitalizations are rising even faster than in LA County — that’s problematic because Ventura Co. doesn’t have nearly as much hospital capacity:
🔸7 hospitals
🔸1 in 3 patients are COVID patients

10/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Oklahoma (1/x)

Big picture:
🔸Not enough testing
🔸1 out of every 4 tests are coming back (+)
🔸Case and deaths rates are going from worse —> worser

11/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Oklahoma (2/x)

Mobility (anonymous cell phone data) suggests:
🔸Summer was a free-for-all

🔸Folks buckled down late October

🔸Folks did NOT stay home for Christmas

Read: the current wave is likely due to holiday gatherings.

12/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Oklahoma (3/x)

🔸Case rate jumps on Jan 2nd and remains higher, which further argues that Christmas gatherings are driving the current wave

🔸In the last 3 wks, Oklahoma *County* is responsible for 1 out of every 6 cases in the state.

13/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Oklahoma (4/x)

I’m worried about the hospital situation.
🔸As of Jan 7, there were only 157 ICU beds available in the state
🔸1 in 5 hospital patients have COVID

If you’re 65+ yrs, visit vaccinate.oklahoma.gov to sign up for a vaccine.

14/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Richmond, VA (1/x)

State-level:
🔸Case rate is very high and rising
🔸Deaths high, but falling week-over-week
🔸Adequate testing — that’s good,
🔸Mobility shows increased activity for 12/24 (grocery stores) and 1/3 (parks)

15/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Richmond, VA (2/x)

Local level:
🔸Case rates in Henrico, Chesterfield, and Richmond City are high across the board, and rising
🔸Deaths are stable (silver lining)

16/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery — Richmond, VA (3/x)

Local level (cont.):
🔸Alarming that pediatric hospitalizations are rising so quickly. Some of that has to do w/ patients being transferred into the children’s hospital, but even so this stands out…keep an eye on it 👀

17/😷 Daily #COVID19 Data Discovery

This was fun, but my brain is fried ATM. Let’s pause here and pick this up tomorrow evening with:

Eastern Washington
Colorado
Collin County (north of Dallas)
Dallas-Fort Worth

#WearAMask #StayHome #GetVaccinated

/😷

*Updated list for tomorrow (1/12)*
Eastern Washington
Colorado
Collin County (north of Dallas), TX
Dallas-Fort Worth, TX
Orange County, CA
Inglewood, CA

😷 Oh boy, let’s add Tuscaloosa, Alabama to the list of places to watch.

H/T @OmarJimenez

https://twitter.com/james_benedetto/status/1348860386930552833

Adding this for reference:

https://twitter.com/datadrivenmd/status/1349201920397774849