Some of my friends from IIT Guwahati conducted a survey for upcoming Assam election. As they want to remain anonymous ,I posted their survey here. It is based on public interaction, demography ,past results and possible alliance between Congress and AIUDF.
This survey will be Loksabha wise.
1-Karimganj loksabha- There are 8assembly seats there.
NDA is expecting to win-
1-Ratabari
2-Patharkandi.
Four seats are in 50:50 condition,they are.
1-karimganj north.
2-Hailakandi.
3-katlicherra.
4-Algapur.
Karimganj south and Badarpur-lost
2-Silcher Loksabha-There are 7assembly seats.
NDA is winning
1-silcher
2-Dholai
3-Udarbond
4-Lakhipur
2seats ,Barkhola and Katigora, are in 50:50
Sonai is lost.
3-Autonomus district loksabha-5assembly seats are there.
NDA is winning all 5
1-Haflong.
2-Bokajan
3-Howraghat
4-Diphu.
5-Baithalangso.
4-Dhubri -10assembly seats are there.
NDA is winning
1-Golakganj.
50:50 situation
1-Golpara east
2-Bilasipara east.
Lost-
1-Mankachar
2-salmara south.
3-Dhubri
4-Gauripur.
5-Bilasipara west.
6-Golpara west
7-jaleswar.
Till now ,NDA is winning 12/28 and 8seats in 50:50.
5-Kokrajhar -10 assembly seats
NDA means UPPL and Naba sarania too
Except sidli,Bijni and chapaguri, NDA is ahead on all 7 ,kokrajhar east and west,Gossaigaon,Barama,Tamulpur,Bhabanipur and sorbhog.
6-Barpeta- 10 assembly seats.
NDA is ahead on
1- Bongaigaon
2-Patacharkuchi
3-Dharmapur.
50:50 on
1-Barpeta
2-Abhayapuri north.
7-Nowgong- 9 assembly seats.
NDA is ahead on
1- Jagiroad
2-Marigaon
3-Barhampur
4-Hojai
5-Lumding
6-Nowgong
50:50 - Raha.
8- kaliabor - 10 assembly seats.
NDA is ahead on
1-Golaghat
2- Dergaon
3-Bokaghat
4-kaliabor
5-khumtai
50:50- Sarupathar and Batadroba.
It's 33/69 confirm seats and 16 in 50:50 category
9-jorhat- 10 assembly seats.
NDA is ahead on
1- jorhat
2-Mariani
3-Teok.
4-Amguri
5-Mahmara.
6-sonari.
7-Thowra.
50:50- Nazaria and sibsagar.
10-Dibrugarh- 9 assembly seats.
NDA is ahead on all 9 seats. Moran,Dibrugarh,Lahowal,Dulaijan,Tingkhong,Naharkatia,Tinsukia,Digboi,Margherita.
11-Lakhimpur- 8 assembly seats.
NDA is ahead on
1- Majuli
2-Lakhimpur.
3-sadiya
4-jonai.
5-Dhemaji
6-Dhakuakhana.
50:50 in Doom dooma and Naoboicha.
It's 55/96 confirm seat while ,20 in 50:50 category.
12-Gauhati- 10 assembly seat.
NDA is ahead on-
1-jalukbari,biggest margin will be here.
2-palasbari.
3-Dudhnai.
4-Dispur.
5-Gauhati east.
6-Gauhati west.
50:50- Hajo and Barkhetry.
13-Tejpur-9 assembly seats.
NDA is ahead on-
Dhekiajuli
Barchalla
Tezpur
Rangpara
Behli
Gohpur
Bihpuria
Biswanath.
50:50- sootea.
14-Mangaldoi- 10 assembly seats.
NDA is ahead on
Kamalpur
Rangiya
Nalbari
Kalaigaon
Sipajhar
Mangaldoi
50:50- majbat and panery.
Total 75 confirm seats now. There are 25 ,50:50 seats ,out of which 14-15 ,NDA will win ,So around 90 will be final score.

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More from @Pinkesh80864128

14 Jan
Johar friends.
First of all understand the context that why BJP lost assembly election. There were 4reasons.
1- Break up between AAJSU and BJP.
2-JMM stiched a better alliance of jmm+Cong+RJD.
3-Factionalism in BJP state unit as many leaders have personal problems with Raghubar.
4-Tribal and non tribal issue,BJP first time gave a non tribal CM.
Despite all these odds ,BJP won 25 seats and lost 3-4 seats just by margin of 500-1k votes. Currently it has 26 MLAs including Babulal. AAJSU having 2mla supporting it.
Saryu Roy also supporting BJP now. Another ind from Hazaribagh dist is supporting BJP. So Total support for BJP is 30. It needs 12 more to form government in 81 mla assembly. Madhupur seat is vacant and BJP is all set to win this seat.
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