Ireland winter seasonal resurgence now beginning to move up from the trend line of prior years
-this is the best data possible as it is all-cause mortality and has very little lag
(it based on funeral announcements so excellent correlation to actual mortality released much later)
-this is the best data possible as it is all-cause mortality and has very little lag
(it based on funeral announcements so excellent correlation to actual mortality released much later)
https://twitter.com/seamuscoffey/status/1349292577498009600
So the question now is to what extent Ireland will have "seasonally split wave" phenomenon (see tagged segment here from my last update):
This RIP.ie data will let us know almost by the day - but caution that full season needs integrating
This RIP.ie data will let us know almost by the day - but caution that full season needs integrating
...Note that Ireland had a substantial mortality hump back in the epidemic (April)
- but it did not affect the seasonal mortality at all versus prior years (when full season analysed):
- but it did not affect the seasonal mortality at all versus prior years (when full season analysed):
Another view of the April epidemic in Ireland - no mortality impact over full season - interestingly didn't even rise up to compensate for the very soft 2019 season:
Closing point - Ireland has 85+ population increased by 5% (3,900) from 2019 to 2020. It increased by 11% (8,200) from 2018 to 2020. And overall mortality 2020 mild. So resurgence could have substantial impact yet - we shall be tracking... (thanks to @GrahamNeary for latter data)
@threadreaderapp unroll please
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
