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John B. Holbein Profile picture
@JohnHolbein1
Jan 17, 2021 • 9 tweets • 7 min read • Read on X
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Does raising the minimum wage reduce the number of low-wage jobs?

No.

"We also find no evidence of disemployment when we consider higher levels of minimum wages."

academic.oup.com/qje/article/13… ImageImageImageImage
Minimum wage increases reduce crime.

nber.org/papers/w25116 ImageImageImageImage
When you increase the minimum wage, you decrease infant mortality among poor families.

pdfs.semanticscholar.org/1a26/542488b22… ImageImageImageImage
Increasing the minimum wage improves kids' health.

nber.org/papers/w26691 Image
The minimum wage reduces racial income inequality.

academic.oup.com/qje/article-ab… ImageImageImageImage
“We find that raising the minimum wage increases earnings growth at the bottom of the distribution, and those effects persist and indeed grow in magnitude over several years.”

"Overall the most up to date body of research from US, UK and other developed countries points to a very muted effect of minimum wages on employment...Importantly, this was
found to be the case even for the most recent ambitious policies."

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl… Image
"This [meta-analysis] finds no statistically significant aggregate adverse employment effect of the national minimum wage [in the U.K.] and also no publication bias in the minimum wage literature."

rand.org/content/dam/ra… ImageImageImageImage

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More from @JohnHolbein1

John B. Holbein Profile picture
Aug 6, 2025
Look at how having a child affects male and female happiness differently.

What do you notice? Image
Look at how having a child affects male and female labor force participation differently.

What do you notice? Image
Look at how having a child affects male and female self-reports of division of domestic work differently.

What do you notice? Image
Read 4 tweets
John B. Holbein Profile picture
Aug 5, 2025
BREAKING: new study just dropped that shows compelling evidence that cell phone bans cause student grades to modestly increase.

Grade increases are largest among low performing students. Image
Some other interesting findings from the cell phone ban study:

Students exposed to the cell phone ban were substantially more (!) supportive of phone-use restrictions.

The ban increased students' perceptions of greater benefits from these bans and reduced students preferences for unrestricted access.Image
Despite a mild rise in reported fear of missing out, there were no significant changes in overall student well-being, academic motivation, digital usage, or experiences of online harassment. Image
Read 7 tweets
John B. Holbein Profile picture
May 7, 2025
This figure is striking.

It shows the relationship between where people think they are in the income distribution and where they actually are.

Observations below the line indicate that people think they are poorer than they really are (and the reverse above the line).

What do you notice?Image
If you answered "people think they are poorer than they really are", you'd be right!

Source: "Richer (& Holier) than Thou? The Effect of Relative Income Improvements on Demand for Redistribution"

Paper uses data from 🇸🇪.

direct.mit.edu/rest/article-a…
Here's another way to see the "people think they are poorer than they really are" phenomena.
Read 6 tweets
John B. Holbein Profile picture
May 1, 2025
Studying economics and business in college makes students become much more conservative. Image
Image
Image
Image
Here are the estimated effects of individual majors on ideology.

What stands out to you? Image
"Changing Minds: How Academic Fields Shape Political Attitudes"

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…Image
Read 4 tweets
John B. Holbein Profile picture
Apr 6, 2025
Wow! This project looks amazing.

In it, three scientists at Columbia, Michigan, and Maryland introduce VRscores: a measure of the partisan leanings of employers in the United States.

The dataset is constructed by linking U.S. voter registrations to online worker profiles.

The dataset covers the 2012-2022 period. VRscores capture the political affiliations of 21.8 million workers across 2.6 million employers.

Wow!Image
Image
Overall, many employers in their sample have a distinct Democratic tilt. Look at how few sectors are dominated by Republicans!

{This could have something to do with what orgs are in their database, but their sample is quite large!} Image
Look at how liberal Universities {left screenshot} are relative to their entire sample of employers {right screenshot}. Image
Image
Read 9 tweets
John B. Holbein Profile picture
Nov 25, 2024
Look at the gender breakdown of who speaks in popular films! Image
If it's too hard to see, here's the takeaway: men dominate spoken work in popular films. Image
Male characters dominate the scripts of most popular Disney movies. Image
Read 5 tweets

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