Meet Ben everyone, he thinks that leaving the single market and the customs union, part of his Brexit plan, is not why fish exporters are facing massive challenges with exporting,so is he correct or is this a bit fishy? A thread 1/ #BrexitDeal
Well Ben is a huge fan of the UK exiting with absolutely no trade deal at all on WTO terms, this would of course mean that as well as all the customs and non tariff barriers to UK exports he would also be piling tariffs on top as well. 2/ #BrexitDeal
So would things be better for the UK fisherfolk under a no deal exit to WTO terms? Well, no, because on top of all the customs paperwork and added red tape of the Johnson deal you would also have significant tariffs, and this would also be a product of Brexit 3/ #BrexitCarnage
In his video Ben talks about exchanging access for fishing grounds for 'unfettered access' to the single market. He could have had that, but not on WTO terms, or the hard Brexit of Johnson, he would have needed a different route, a bit like Norway and Iceland 4/ #BrexitDeal
Now you have to remember that Ben has no skills or experience in international trade, none whatsoever, as evidenced by this comment, after all, Norway and Iceland are in the single market and both do trade deals with other countries #BrexitReality 5/
So what do fishing nations like Iceland and Norway do that means that @june_mummery is a huge fan of the success of those industries? Well, they are members of the EEA & EFTA & participate in the Single Market, & they can still do trade deals, Iceland has an FTA with China! 6/
So if the UK was still in the single market the UK fisherfolk would find trade much easier than under the Johnson deal, or the madness of WTO terms. No more SPS checks, vet signatures and other NTB's, only simplified customs formalities. Not frictionless but much closer 7/
Being in the single market would solve a lot of other problems, for touring bands, for financial services, for fresh meat exporters and pretty much every other aspect of UK trade as it stands today, everyone is a winner! 8/ #BrexitReality
So in summary, and to answer @benhabib6 the problems with exports and imports, the current trade issues which mean zero fish exports are entirely down to Brexit, because Brexit took us from entirely frictionless trade to the highest level of friction possible 9/ #BrexitReality
Could it have been different, of course, but that would need the people in charge having a basic understanding of how trade works, and none of them do, they are completely clueless, hence the current #BrexitCarnage 10/
And like all good threads, this one goes upto 11/ #BrexitReality

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More from @nathansldennis

29 Sep 20
Meet Tom everyone, Tom doesn't know the difference between production cost (farm gate) and shop price. So lets talk about why he remains consistent in being wrong on so many subjects, a thread. /1
Lets take US chicken as an example, per KG its a few pence cheaper than chicken that meets UK standards for animal welfare, production standards and food safety. So what do US farmers do differently? 2/
Cheap US chicken isn't 'free range', the animal will spend its life in a warehouse, living in a lake of chicken faeces and surrounded by the corpses of its friends, often with wounds from being pecked due to overcrowding, this isn't exactly sanitary. 3/
Read 11 tweets
16 Sep 20
Sounds great doesn't it, back to 2004 levels per 100,000 people. Except this is a classic case of small meets big and why even though its measurable Ice cream sales do not cause sunburn......
In 2004 the UK population was 59.8 million people so having 877 per 100,000 die of 'all causes' meant you had (59.8 million/100,000) x 877 Deaths = 524,446

Now in 2020 we have 67.88 million people (67.88m/100,000)x877 = 595,307 deaths

Thats 70,000 excess deaths!
So whats this guy proven? (nothing but humour me)

Well, the excess death estimates from Covid at circa 70,000 fit the absolute difference between 2004 and 2020

And thats before you consider that 'all causes' has varied year on year, in 2020 less people died on the roads so far
Read 5 tweets
14 Sep 20
Ok, so you have a variety of options in the modern world of software, some of it dealt with contractually, some of it stategically and some of it because developers are a law unto themselves. 1/
2/ Lets start with contractually, its common for a contract between parties to have an escrow clause on the source code in case the supplier goes bust, this is even more important in the world of cloud software as you don't install anything and have less control.
3/ Then we have strategy, if you want your software product to be sticky with customers you want them building it into the ecosystem they use so you have API's (Application Programming Interface) to let people build stuff to work with, or in place of some of your product.
Read 6 tweets
23 Jul 20
Here's the thing, @GregHands is correct on this point, but lets dig a little deeper from personal experience of the power of living overseas and learning a language.
I first lived overseas in 1973/1974 just after the UK joined the EEC as my Mum had found work in Spain, it was a grim time in the UK, and as a single parent she didn't have a lot of opportunity back home.
I then did the same in 1992 after leaving Liverpool Poly and 'getting on my bike' ala Norman Tebbit. I learnt French and how to herd thousands of confused tourists at Lyon and Chambery Airports.
Read 7 tweets
23 Jul 20
You won't need all day Peter @ClarkeMicah , in return can you explain why the German lockdown was so successful despite a higher population and easier cross border movements of people? Call it a quid pro quo.... a thread
Prior to the UK finally locking down in late March people had already started taking children out of schools and also limiting contact, often driven by employers moving faster. What this does is start to limit unnecessary travel and contact, and they are key vectors
Prior to that the UK risk increased massively at the end of half term when thousands of school children returning from Austria, France and Italy got stuck all day at Calais Port due to storms, this was a great infection vector and seeded the spread across the whole of the UK.
Read 8 tweets
29 Apr 20
1/ Without bringing politics into it this is the danger of people with zero skills and qualifications in a subject area peddling #fakenews to fit a narrative. At least it isn't a fake NHS account this time!
2/ So should we carry out post mortems on every death to be sure? Or would that be a massive waste of resources? Should all fatalities be tested for presence of Covid-19 just to be sure? All reasonable questions in an idea world with limitless resources
3/ So if none of that is happening then how are the figures being calculated? Well every hospital death is tested so that stands at 21,000 and excess deaths calculations put the estimated total at around 47,000, so we have 26000 unproven ones in the mix.
Read 7 tweets

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