1/21 Full preprint of Pub Hlth Scotland’s C19 vax analysis, “1st natl pop. level study,” claiming 85-94% ↓ in C19 hospitalizations, relative to unvaccinated controls, 4wks after single dose of Pfizer or AZ vaxes ed.ac.uk/files/atoms/fi…
2/21
3/21
4/21
5/21
6/21
7/21
8/21
9/21
10/21
11/21
12/21
13/21
14/21
15/21
16/21
17/21
18/21
19/21
20/21
21/21

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Andrew Bostom, MD, MS

Andrew Bostom, MD, MS Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @andrewbostom

21 Feb
1/ Implications for C19? Human coronavirus OC43, now circulating as a seasonal (winter) common-cold virus, but still capable of serious morbidity/mortality among the institutionalized elderly, emerged (from cattle) in 1889-90 & may have caused the “Russian flu” pandemic
2/ 2005 paper on ~1890 origins of OC43 & possible link to “Russian flu” epidemic ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
3/ 2019 paper on HCov OC43’s (primarily winter) seasonality ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
Read 5 tweets
20 Feb
1/ Instead of fearmongering about C19 "variants": We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April. Covid cases have dropped 77% in six weeks. Experts should level with the public about the good news
wsj.com/articles/well-…
2/ Dr. Makery:"Some medical experts privately agreed with my prediction that there may be very little COVID-19 by April but suggested that I not talk publicly about herd immunity because people might become complacent and fail to take precautions or might decline the vaccine."
3/ "But scientists shouldn’t try to manipulate the public by hiding the truth. As we encourage everyone to get a vaccine, we also need to reopen schools and society to limit the damage of closures and prolonged isolation."
Read 4 tweets
18 Feb
1/ Viral seasonality circa 1980 (h/t @carlheneghan) “The incidence of respiratory virus infections varies with the season. In temperate climates the rate increases as the cooler autumn weather develops and declines again as spring passes into summer”
2/Isolation/De-Isolation Effects: “Only extreme physical isolation seems to restrict circulation of these organisms; the inhabitants of Tristan da Cunha, apparently very little exposed to respiratory viruses, suffered badly from this type of infection when evacuated to Britain”
3/ On testing/causality: “The presence of a virus in a patient's throat does not prove that it is the cause of the illness”
Read 4 tweets
16 Feb
1/ Discussion 2/16/21 w/@wpro ’s #MattAllen debunking the panic porn about “C19 variants” sharing hard data showing NO increased mortality from the U.K., Belgium, Switzerland, & the U.S. spreaker.com/user/wpro/2-16…
Read 6 tweets
15 Feb
1/ More UK C19 “variant” panic porn DEBUNKED by the actual updated PRELIMINARY data: Absolute C19 mortality risk “differences” vs. earlier strains range from ZERO (0.17% v. 0.17%), to 0.02%↑ (0.07% v. 0.09%), to 0.10%↑ (0.10% v. 0.20%) assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
2/ Once these minute absolute risk differences are understood, much less important (albeit potentially more panic inducing) “relative risk” estimates vs. earlier strains range from 0.63 (37%↓) to 1.91 (91%↑), to 1.00 (equal or 0%↑)
3/ 3/ The U.K. govt summary of these pooled U.K. reports CAUTIONS about “the representativeness” of these data (i.e., potential lack thereof), & CONCLUDES “absolute risk of DEATH PER infection remains low”
Read 4 tweets
14 Feb
1/ Randomized (open label) controlled study of oral calcifediol (25OH-vit. D; total 1330 µg) in 930 hospitalized C19 pts (551 treated; 379 untreated) reduced ICU admissions by 82% (30/551 treated v. 80/379 untreated), and mortality by 64% (36/551 treated v. 57/379 untreated)
2/ Randomized Groups, Key Methods, & Study Ref papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
3/ Structure of Calcifediol vs. Calcitriol (“active” Vit. D)
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!