My interactive precinct map for Florida is live - showing the Presidential swing and including demographic data of the ballots cast. You can change the basemap, zoom in, and see all the details of the precinct or precincts-group

Link: arcg.is/1WXuTr

#flapol #sayfie
The 2020 map can also be found here - notice the difference in the pop up windows (aka I spent the last week learning coding to make the pop-up more colorful #flapol
For most Florida counties, precinct borders did not change between 2016 and 2020. However, major counties like Duval, Palm, Hillsborough, Manatee did see changes from modest to large. So you will at times see multiple precincts grouped together. #flapol
One of my frustrations with the NYT map (not throwing shade) was that I saw some swings were incorrect because they were not factoring in precinct border changes. The only solution to that is to group precincts into a collective #flapol
You will see major collectives around St Cloud in Osceolo, or the NW corner of Collier. This is because border changes were so extreme that the only option was to form a hub precinct - total them all up, and treat it as one large unit

Luckily, this was only needed a few times

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More from @mcimaps

23 Feb
Rick Scott hates Ron DeSantis. If he thinks he can't beat him in a 2024 primary, he'll run for re-election but divert huge PAC money efforts to torpedo DeSantis (if he can)

Scott's view is - "if I can't have it, Ron can't either"

He is that petty and that rich
Why does Scott hate DeSantis, because Scott hates anyone who stands in his way. Scott ran for Senate purely to keep him in the mix for a Presidential run in 2024, and when he got dragged into a close recount and DeSantis had a bigger margin, it made him jealous
After both victories were affirmed, Scott did little to help DeSantis in the transition and acted like a child - really only Trump was worse. Scott also made a point to leave DeSantis' inauguration early as a deliberate snub
Read 4 tweets
15 Feb
Catalonia's regional elections told two stories. The headline is the Socialists (PSC) won the most votes - a win for the Spanish Prime Minister.

However, the pro-Independence parties secured over 50% of the vote and seats - up from 2017. #Eleccions14F #Catalonia Image
The Socialists surged in the polls as the Citizens Party (Cs) collapsed as the main anti-independence party. They lost some of their votes to the farther-right VOX and other parties.

Meanwhile, the Republican Left and 'Together' both came in right behind the socialists
The independence parties have ruled out a governing coalition with the Socialists (who are federalists) - so despite the first place finish - they will not form a government

Expect the independence parties to form a government in quick order #Catalonia
Read 5 tweets
15 Nov 20
THREAD! Democratic Congresswoman @DebbieforFL lost re-election by 3% to Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez in #FL26 - which covers south Dade and the FL Keys

Powell's loss, however, was a stronger showing that Joe Biden's performance in the district - which he lost by 6 #flapol Image
DMP was strongest in steadfast Democratic areas - namely Key West, West Perrine, Florida City-Homestead, and the FIU campus

Gimenez was strongest in the Cuban precincts like Kendall West, University Park and the upper Keys #flapol
Biden's 6% loss in the district, a seat Clinton won by 16%, represented the biggest swing to the GOP in the entire state. #flapol Image
Read 5 tweets
12 Nov 20
An open thread to #ElectionTwitter

As many of you begin to debate and argue about the best pathway for the Democrats, you should remember that groups and causes are not chess pieces.

They are people with needs and concerns. It is not your place to decide who's rights matter.
This is doubly true for the Democratic white men (myself included) who have the most influence in the community. Debates about framing and persuasion are valid. But outright calling for any party to abandon issues to win over hostile groups is a betrayal of the party's principle
Discussions about rhetoric or wording is fair. But be specific. Think "defund the police" was bad wording? Then make it clear you support police reform, but you think the message needs to be better. Don't just go after the message and offer no alternative or position stance.
Read 9 tweets
7 Oct 20
Ok folks. Its time for a thread about Kyrgyzstan. If you have read any of the international news, you will know a possible revolution is brewing there against President Sooronbay Jeenbekov, who was elected in 2016 as the favorite of the ruling elite.
As I should point out right away, despite the reputation for the region, Kyrgyzstan is considered a democratic nation. It has flaws to be sure, but its not authoritarian and its elections can (but aren't always) legit
The country has had a rocky government since the collapse of the USSR. Its longtime President after independence was Askar Akayev. He was a dictator that won "elections" that he was guaranteed to never lose in 1991, 1995, and 2000. He was ousted in the Tulip Revolution
Read 14 tweets
8 May 19
South Africans are about to head to the polls for National Assembly elections. There is no doubt that the African National Congress will win the most seats, but the margin of victory and the other parties could have major effects on the next five years. THREAD #SAElections2019
Since apartheid ended in 1994, the African National Congress, at the time led by Nelson Mandela, has won the most seats, always a majority, in the national assembly. With control of the assembly also comes to the selection of President - and Mandela was President till 1999
The ANC, long supported by the people for its role in ending apartheid, has seen its support weaken in recent years. One party rule has led to common issues - corruption and scandal that have eroded public trust. In 2018, President Jacob Zuma was forced out by corruption
Read 22 tweets

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