I kind of expected this day to come, but still surprised that it actually arrived.
I'm going to do a quick FAQ🧵 for the public (both scientists & non-scientists) who are just hearing about the possibility of COVID-19 / SARS-CoV-2 having emerged from lab or research activities.
Is it racist to ask whether COVID-19 emerged from a lab or from the wildlife trade in China? No.
Have racist people asked the question above? Yes.
More importantly, will people call you a racist if you ask whether COVID-19 emerged from a lab or from the wildlife trade in China?
Unfortunately, yes, it is quite likely they will call you a racist and more.
And yes, even if you're Asian, you could be called a race traitor.
If COVID-19 / SARS-CoV-2 actually emerged from research activities, does it mean that it is a bioweapon?
No.
Actually, the vast majority of pathogens that have leaked from labs worldwide are natural ones initially collected from natural hosts.
Not bioweapons. Very important.
Similar question: If COVID-19 / SARS-CoV-2 actually emerged from research activities, does it mean it was designed or created in the lab, like magic, NOT based on similar natural viruses that were collected & studied by labs?
No. Scientists don't have those awesome powers yet.
If COVID-19 actually emerged from research activities instead of a natural spillover, does that impact today's public health measures and vaccines?
No.
So today, someone tweeted at me, suggesting that if the virus actually came from a lab, then we must lock down now.
This is not true.
We're 1+ year into the pandemic now. Knowing if it came from a lab or wild animals shouldn't dictate public health strategy.
Knowing the origins of a virus is most important at the beginning of the outbreak so you can track it down - it's quite likely that the index cases may not have been in the city of detection.
If it came from a lab, that's useful to know because there could be data describing it.
Knowing the origins of COVID-19 is also important for future outbreaks.
If we know which origins scenarios are plausible, then we can act to mitigate the risk of COVID-19 happening again - anywhere in the world, in any lab or market, any time in the future.
This is the kind of dangerous FAQ:
Will finding out that COVID-19 emerged from research activities or wildlife trade in China lead to massive geopolitical consequences?
And also more racism?
I can't predict the answer. And this is why it is so scary for some experts and scientists to venture into this territory.
It would be the first time we're dealing with the possibility of a lab escape as the world together in real time (not decades later as an academic thesis).
But what I believe is, if we do not properly investigate the origins of COVID-19 and fail to implement measures to prevent such a pandemic from occurring again, then we are doomed to repeat this accident - whether by wildlife trade, environment destruction or research activities.
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Senior advisor to Anthony Fauci finally charged for concealing federal records following a criminal referral from former House COVID Subcommittee Chairman Brad Wenstrup.
“I can either send stuff to Tony on his private Gmail [sic], or hand it to him at work or at his house,” Morens wrote in one April 21, 2021, email. “He is too smart to let colleagues send him stuff that could cause trouble.”
"Information in the indictment indicates the co-conspirators are Dr. Peter Daszak, the president of Manhattan-based non-profit EcoHealth Alliance, and Dr. Gerald Keusch, an associate director of Boston University’s National Emerging Infectious Disease Laboratory..."
In 2023 emails shared by @gdemaneuf, Daszak of EcoHealth Alliance and Gerald Keusch from Boston's high containment pathogen lab conspired to recruit prominent friends to push back on calls for increased oversight of research that can kill millions of people.
David Morens (the above charged senior advisor to Fauci) and Peter Hotez are cc'ed on these emails.
Listened to 'Privatizing the Apocalypse', a conversation on the dangers of virus hunting & pandemic resurrection between @Rob_Reid & Sam Harris @MakingSenseHQ
The number of people capable of causing pandemics is growing. Governments are not tracking & regulating this research.
The @BrookingsInst event on the media's role in investigating Covid origins is livestreaming: brookings.edu/events/the-rol…
@BrookingsInst "I don't think I've ever investigated a story where there were as many obstacles as this." - @KatherineEban @VanityFair on Covid origins reporting.
@BrookingsInst @KatherineEban @VanityFair "It was incredibly hostile on social media... I was called every name in the book. I was very lucky to have a publication and editor who they were like 'We don't care what people think and what they say. We just care if we're right and our story is accurate.'" - @KatherineEban
Jeremy Farrar, the scientist who orchestrated the Proximal Origin letter was not named as an author or acknowledged. He was the director of the Wellcome Trust and had funded one of the authors.
@WHO None of these major funders who funded the Proximal Origin authors were acknowledged in the paper although Kristian Andersen privately thanked them for their advice and leadership as they worked on the letter.
The executive order signed on Monday was not a ban or moratorium on risky pathogen research with the potential to cause pandemics.
It was a charge for OSTP and other agency heads to come up with a new policy & strategy for governing and tracking such research in under 180 days.
I do not see any wording in the executive order asking scientists to pause their research if it falls under the definition of dangerous gain-of-function. whitehouse.gov/presidential-a…
The executive order is a step in the right direction and I hope that @WHOSTP47 will come up with an improved policy and strategy for pathogen research with catastrophic risks.
But right now, the executive order is not a ban or even a moratorium.
Regarding the possibility that Covid may have spread at the Oct 2019 Wuhan military games, my main question is why noone across multiple countries had the presence of mind to collect & store samples from patients till tests were available.
There should be changes going forward.
According to Under Secretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness: "Service members were not tested... as testing was not available at this early stage of the pandemic." freebeacon.com/wp-content/upl…
"athletes noticed that something was amiss in the city of Wuhan.. described it as a “ghost town.”"
"athletes from several countries.. claimed publicly they had contracted what they believed to be covid.. based on their symptoms and how their illnesses spread to their loved ones" washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…