Robert Duigan Profile picture
Mar 29, 2021 15 tweets 6 min read Read on X
People can't decide what CR is. Puppet or zealot?

At a personal level, he is a communist. And yet he is very comfortable cutting lucrative deals with major industry to secure a personal capital legacy.

His closest followers are progressives, internationalists and communists.


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To understand this, understand Cicero's idea of a commonwealth - a political community with a common understanding of interests and identity, law and justice.

South Africa is not a commonwealth. It is a province within a global empire, and has no ethnic identity.
As an urbanised Venda, CR is without a natural ethnic base to draw from. Consequently he has to cut dozens of ever-changing deals with various factions of the political and economic elite.

So unlike Zuma or the Xhosa elite, his strategies are necessarily more multi-faceted.
He partners with think-tanks to consolidate patronage ties between intellectuals.

He brokers deals between big business, unions and trad leadership through party-centric BEE mechanisms for resource extraction. This shuts out popular voices, and led to Marikana.
CR is showing every side of SA a different face.

Anti-white racism and EWC for the black national-socialists, prosecution of his political enemies in RET faction for the anti-corruption appetite. Feet-dragging and tenders to placate "WMC". Unlimited looting for supporters.
Everybody knows the party is over. As @poplak noted in his book on the 2014 election campaign, people already knew the party was drawing to an end then. The money tree is bare.

Now nobody believes in the future, and only CR's ambiguity allows people to hold together.
CR is the only politician capable of uniting SA, but his capacity is drawing to an end. Consequently he must seek a coalition for 2024.

A DA/CR-faction alliance will produce a Russian/Iraqi style shock doctrine looting spree as the state is liquidated to pay for state debt.
But an ANC-EFF coalition is just as likely, and it comes with the total collapse of the country and potentially the secession of the Cape as ethnic violence and enclave militarisation proliferates.

Either way, we are going down.
We could blame "corruption", but the reality is that maintaining a state that has no natural commonwealth of society requires either factional corruption, or repression by a dominant ethnicity. Or both.

And So South Africa was cursed from the beginning.
And so now the final logic of Jan Smuts's philosophy will be judged once and for all. Our leaders have imbibed the ideals of the Western Enlightenment, and use them to control a population of traditionalists and conservatives in the name of holistic global unity.
Smuts, who conspired with Rhodes's Round Table society to consolidate a unitary SA through evolutionary government, wrote the nation's constitution, and governed it for almost half a century, saw at the end his project was doomed.
He granted segregation to placate the whites, while incremental migrant labour was used to weaken the white state and produce an evolution to a unitary whole.

In the same way, the West pursued mass immigration to engineer global society and benefit international capital.
This gradual system of universal, homogeneous integration became the model of the world, as nationalism is replaced with progressive global governance.

No values or voices or interests of ordinary people are heard at the top. No culture is respected, all are deliberately erased.
But this is unsustainable, and conflict is emerging everywhere.

No state can exist for long without common identity, and South Africa was never more than a territory, an administrative zone of the first global empire, soon to be a province of the global republic we live in now.
These failures are linked. The US is crumbling because what made it a commonwealth was destroyed to make way for a global empire, necessitating social engineering at a grand scale.

This is slowly tearing every nation in the west apart. But South Africa will break first.

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More from @uMarhobane

Jun 22
The ANC did not end apartheid

The NP decided to wind down apartheid and embargo Rhodesia in 1977 after Kissinger visited them in late '76 and told them the game was up

Then the ANC went scorched earth on all other liberation orgs with USSR backing, killing 20k people
The education department admitted defeat after the BCP-organised Soweto uprising (backed by US infiltrators)

And the NP began dismantling the colour bar in the labour market after 77, and commissioned the Wiehan Report to legitimise it
Then they tried to go for a federal system with a consociational govt in 1983

Started resource-sharing between b&w in muni govts in 1984 through integrative redemarcation

Ended enforcement of group areas act and abolished miscegenation laws in 85
Read 6 tweets
May 30
"We can fix South Africa together as one"

Okay, what policy program could everyone unite around?

Well, 2/3rds want black nationalism that gets more radical every electoral cycle, so your options as a minority are:

A) submit
B) flee
C) fight
What does the DA do? Transparently sell A to people who want C while planning for B

You buy this precisely *because* you see through it - "sure it's cynical, but I'm voting strategically, best-worst option"

You think the prostitute smart because she knows she's getting screwed?
You all knew the ANC would win

You all knew the DA's only route in was supplicating to the ANC

You all know this won't change a thing

You know an ANC reunion coalition is more likely anyway

But you wouldn't want to look silly to that imaginary audience in your head
Read 5 tweets
Oct 29, 2023
Makhanda is to me one of the greatest ironic stories in the history of our country.

I'll explain:
Makhanda (aka Nxele - "left-handed") lived at the time of the Christianisation of the Xhosa. He was a contemporary of the prophet Ntsikana (img right), who brought Chistianity into the heart of the people.

Ntsikana gave the name uThixo (Xhosa creator god) to God in translation.
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Makhanda was also a prophet, but turned away from Christianity out of hatred of the white settlers.
He became an advisor to several local chieftains, and eventually raised his own anticolonial following with a new religion, which inverted Christianity. Image
Read 7 tweets
Sep 23, 2023
My father told me a story from an old polish colleague last night

The guy was an engineer who came to South Africa after the fall of the USSR

He mentioned the many African students brought to Poland under communist scholarship programs
The African students would not study, and would often just stare off into space during exams instead of writing.

But they all passed in three years anyway.

The Pole got angry and went to complain to his lecturer.
"we bust our arses to pass these degrees, and these African guys can just skate by?"

Professor replied bluntly:

"Bridges can fall down in Ghana, but they will not fall down in Poland"
Read 6 tweets
Aug 11, 2023
Last year, Helen Zille proposed a picture of SA since 2014, in which there is a "battle for the soul of South Africa".

In her picture of our system, she saw it as between "Rule of Law & Constitutionalism" (?) and black-national-socialism.

I think this frame is wrong. Image
What Zille's little story implies, in her famous little Triangle speech at BizNews, is that the two main opposition parties (EFF and DA) should compete for the ANC's attentions come coalition negotiation once they lose their majority.
Those two corners represent, on the one hand black-national-socialism, and progressive liberalism on the other.

But both of these ideas are already part of the ANC's "broad church", and so they can be readily absorbed.

But for each, the ANC has a coping mechanism.
Read 13 tweets
Aug 5, 2023
I think there are interesting comparisons between three kinds of extreme, identity-defined crimes in South Africa.

There are Farm Murders, "Gender Based Violence" and Cape gang violence.
Farm Murders are specifically when someone invades a farm, usually torturing, raping and killing the inhabitants, and often stealing something.

Only 1.2% of these cases are related to workplace disputes, employees seldom do this.
Last time the government published stats (2003), it was found that 66% of all rural homicides (never mind farm murders) were of whites, despite them being only 5% of the rural population.

The state responded by erasing racial crime stats and disbanding rural security.
Read 11 tweets

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