Marta Victoria Profile picture
Mar 30, 2021 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
(22/n) An extra common question regarding PV (usually this is not a problem in IAMs): Do we have enough space? Yes, generating the world current electricity consumption with PV would require 0.3% of the available land. More detailed calculations confirm this result, see SI
(23/n) In some specific regions (highly populated) space could be a problem. Innovations at the plant level include also dual use of infrastructure/land: rooftop PV, agrivoltaics, floating PV, irrigation channels ...
bbc.com/future/article…
ingenioer.au.dk/en/current/new…
(24/n) Another common question: Do we have enough materials? Silver used to manufacture contacts is the most critical material for Silicon solar cells, but again the technology is learning fast: less mg Silver/W are required every year. Image
(25/n) We are witnessing rapid changes. In 2010, no large power system existed with more than 3% of solar PV. In 2019, solar PV supplied 9% of electricity demand in Germany and 19% in California. How will this look like in 2030? Some countries have ambitious plans! Image
(26/n) In October 2020, South Australia operated for an hour with 100% PV electricity. Of course, this is only a short-time record, but one of the many that are to come.
reneweconomy.com.au/solar-meets-10…
(27/n) Finally, we identify 4 challenges for a sustained scaling up of solar PV: 1⃣ adequate regulatory frameworks that reduce soft costs, 2⃣ reducing capital expenditure via industrial innovations,
(28/n) 3⃣ untapping the demand for PV by enabling electrification of other energy sectors assisted by proper tax schemes, 4⃣ and strengthening research on improving efficiency and reliability of PV systems.
(29/n) Many thanks to co-authors and those reading the draft and providing feedback.
Paper: authors.elsevier.com/a/1cpj3925JEG7…
Data and scripts to plot the figures: github.com/martavp/pv-is-…

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More from @martavictoria_p

Oct 4, 2022
How much time needs a solar panel to save as much CO2 by making green electricity as it cost to produce it?
Less than 5 years! (and its lifetime is >30 years)

This thread aims at debunking incorrect information recently published at @klimamonitor and @AvisenDanmark
The thread is a reflection on how IMPORTANT is to use up-to-date information for solar panels to avoid incorrect results!
A few months ago, a report by Alborg University @BUILDaau concluded that some solar panels are not worth it (they save less CO2 by making green electricity that was emitted in their production). This is NOT true and is heavily impacted by their assumptions
vbn.aau.dk/en/publication…
Read 14 tweets
May 18, 2022
We know that Europe is committed to reaching GHG neutrality by 2050. In our new paper in @Joule_CP, @nworbmot, @lisazeyen_lz and I explore the consequences of using different cumulative emissions (co2 budgets) to get there. A thread on what we learnt doi.org/10.1016/j.joul…
1/N The motivation is simple. If Europe manages to use a lower carbon budget, its contribution to temperature increase will be lower and/or Europe could compensate for higher historical emissions than other regions. Image
2/N We run myopic transition paths in 5-year steps with an open model including electricity, heating, land transport, shipping, aviation, energy and feedstock demand in industry and a detailed accounting of CCUS. We use: 37 nodes-network + 370 wind and solar regions ImageImage
Read 17 tweets
Feb 17, 2022
There are several key assumptions (usually hidden as too technical) in many IAMs that have strong impacts on the results. The problem is that all of them overstress delayed climate action and CDR and undermine the economic benefits of early climate action, e.g with wind and solar
QUESTIONABLE ASSUMPTION 1⃣ Out-of-date exogenous costs for solar PV and wind together with poor modelling of flexibility options for these technologies underestimate their potential. This has been discussed previously

Also: and
doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.…
The problem is that this flaw makes early climate action in the models looks more expensive than it is in reality.
Read 15 tweets
Sep 7, 2021
In our recent paper, we investigate the changes in hydro operation due to 1⃣ increasingly wind and solar penetration in the grid (tweets 1-7) and 2⃣ climate change impact on inflow (tweets 8-18). Results from a great MSc project by Ebbe Gøtske @iScience_CP
doi.org/10.1016/j.isci…
1/ First, a disclaimer. We use PyPSA-Eur-Sec to model the sector-coupled European Energy system. The model assumes perfect foresight for the entire year, which entails an optimal operation of hydro reservoirs. How realistic is that?
2/ To answer that question, we compared the modelled hydro dispatch in 2020 with historically observed data. Modelled daily operation is within observed ranges, but modelled seasonality is a little more extreme than observed ranges.
Read 20 tweets
Mar 30, 2021
We have just published a perspective in @Joule_CP. Main message: Although underestimated by many models, solar PV has a large potential for mitigating climate change in the next decade which is key to remain on a path compatible with the Paris Agreement. authors.elsevier.com/a/1cpj3925JEG7…
As stated in the summary, our aim is to open a constructive discussion among PV experts, modellers, and policymakers regarding how to improve the representation of this technology in the models, and how to ensure that manufacturing and installation of solar PV can ramp up on time
Summary threat (a long one, so you may select what you are interested in)
Tweets 1-7: how solar become so cheap so fast
Tweets 8-9: innovations in the pipeline
Tweets 10-20: why some models have underestimated the potential of PV
Tweets 21-29: challenges for a fast ramping up
Read 25 tweets

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