“The trip from novel pathogen to familiar one is not a day at the beach—but it means that Covid will become one of those subliminal risks (like dying of the flu) that humans manage best by mainly removing them from their minds.”

wsj.com/articles/fourt…
The end of the pandemic, as we regular folk experience it, involves two separate phenomena: biological (the virus and its trajectory) and social (our individual and group behavior in response to it).

These two dynamics aren’t necessarily in sync.
In some places (Kristi Noem’s house?) the social pandemic arguably never started.

In others (hello from SF! 👋) avoidance of the virus has become monomaniacal and the virus itself almost mysticized, with fear ingrained far beyond what the biological pandemic might demand.
When the variables that made the virus inherently scary (exponential spread! health system collapse!) are gone, and hospitalizations and deaths neutered by vaccines, we need
to begin viewing risk in context.
In many places that will require a mindset shift.

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More from @bergerbell

2 Apr
Me: [Guttural screaming, at this point mostly unintelligible grunts]

Them: Stop being melodramatic, nobody is actually expecting zero risk

Science writing commentariat: 👋
Remember this? “I think it’s important to stress that it’s unlikely” (@sailorrooscout) is this spring’s iteration of “Be reassured the risk to your children is lower than that of seasonal flu” (@apsmunro) from last summer. It’s part of a greater pattern in pandemic reporting.
This has more or less been the law of pandemic journalism, especially in our panic economy: the most extreme interpretation of data must automatically be the one amplified, lest anyone Get The Wrong Idea or otherwise start Letting Their Guard Down.
Read 4 tweets
2 Apr
You see comments like this a lot, the base, reflexive desire to believe anything that affirms our existing view of the Bad Guys. We saw it when Michael Avenatti was (briefly) deified on the left.

@zeynep has one of the best takes on this phenomenon:

zeynep.substack.com/p/how-polariza…
Update: Not only is Florida engaged in a massive 🐊 conspiracy 🐊 to cover up deaths, they could very well have more deaths than anywhere else in the country! Because Rebekah Jones!!

Very normal thought process, not cognitive dissonance at all.
In order for partisans to square the circle on restrictions as empirical necessity, they must deny reality.

If restrictions-lax Florida (Florida!!) really is middle of the pack on covid, what does that imply about much of what was supposedly a moral imperative to “save lives?”
Read 4 tweets
1 Apr
I actually find this very sad. I’ve liked the guy for years.

His question is regarding a situation wherein **all adults are vaccinated**— a year of well-intentioned restrictions literalism has short-circuited understanding the spectrum of relative risk and transmission dynamics.
The public health establishment is the new clerisy. Many no longer trust themselves to make judgments; the logic is somewhat inaccessible, but most importantly the risks to ourselves and to the greater good are too great to mess around with directly.
Things like this reinforce the black-and-white thinking that has hampered us too often during the pandemic.

What metaphysical transformation happens at the moment that third family walks through the threshold which demands masks? (All adults here are vaccinated.)
Read 4 tweets
1 Apr
Let’s talk practical de-implementation. 🍳

Because of the seriousness of the situation, many individuals and institutions have been following all covid-related CDC guidance to the letter for over a year.

At some point, though, that mindset will shift. 1/4
CDC guidance is always ultra-conservative and overly cover-your-ass. That’s the nature of the beast. As a result, we don’t follow everything literally.

We don’t, for example, strictly adhere to CDC guidance on not eating eggs with runny yolks; we put that risk in context. 2/4
With covid, the CDC isn’t ever going to say, “It’s all good, fam!” That’s just not how they roll.

After all willing adults have been vaccinated and deaths drop, the scope of recommendations will scale back drastically. But some ultra-conservative guidance will remain. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
31 Mar
“In the suit filed in federal court, Collins seeks $3 million in punitive damages from each of the five school board members who supported the vote.”

sfchronicle.com/home/article/S…
Democracy is multi-million dollar lawsuits against people who don’t vote the way you’d like. This is exactly how it should be, yep. Everything is normal; any dissent is a right-wing conspiracy against progress and justice.
Read 4 tweets
25 Mar
What variant is this?
The sad part here is relative pediatric risk of death from RSV >>>>>> covid, especially for infants.
🎵 Everything is covid now 🎶
Read 5 tweets

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