Sadly it did. Prevalence among school age children *doubled* in Scotland since schools opened - as per the ONS data (the most accurate data we have on infection), and is the highest across all age groups. Why does the media consistently get this wrong?…
Can anyone look at this graph, and suggest that school openings in scotland didn't contribute to transmission? Yet, our media has consistently said this - despite the very clear evidence we have to the contrary. What is going on?
This isn't the only piece I've seen that claims this- several pieces over the past week make this completely false claim. This is the sort of misinformation that's entrenched in our media- and I honestly don't know how we address this.…
Just want to add for those asking about the data- this is the ONS data- so based on unbiased random population testing (not dependent on lateral flow tests etc.). And recent trends are unreliable, as this is modelling based.

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More from @dgurdasani1

7 Apr
Important study out from @TheLancetPsych on neurological & psychiatric manifestations across 236,379 people with 6 months follow up after COVID-19 in the US- examined using electronic health records.

What did it find?…
Important to note first that the study only included survivors- so people who had survived for at least 6 months following infection were included.

Several neurological and psychiatric outcomes were examined in electronic health record data from health-care facilities.
Healthcare facilities data were collected from including primary care facilities, hospitals, specialist units, ICUs. It's unclear from the study how representative these are of infection across the general population (i.e. who would have ended up in the study if infected)
Read 12 tweets
7 Apr
It's been rather disconcerting to have had false claims made about my conduct by someone I've never engaged with directly. I wrote about this earlier & bizarrely, since, even more false claims have been made.

While the claims are false, the targeting has been very real. 🧵
In the thread above I addressed a false claim made about me by another scientist @sailorooscout - the claim being I had engaged in 'name-calling' and 'degrading' conduct against them - when I hadn't engaged with them at all. I reasonably asked that this be corrected by them.
It became very clear that I didn't engage in the behaviour claimed by @sailorooscout
Rather than acknowledging the claim was incorrect, they suggested I 'forget quickly', linking to a tweet that hadn't been written/liked by me. It seems to have been by one of their followers. Image
Read 8 tweets
6 Apr
I'm seeing very concerning attacks against scientists seeking to provide accurate information around vaccine efficacy- especially in the context of new variants, or legitimately discussing the recent reports of thrombotic events associated with Astrazeneca. Short thread.
I'm sure many saw an exchange a few weeks ago, that was also platformed in the Spectator, which is quite odd given the context. In this exchange, a scientist urging pandemic control due to concerns about low efficacy of vaccines against the B.1.351 variant was met with attacks. Image
The account suggesting @devisridhar tweet was misleading complained they were blocked by her after the interaction. This was picked up by the Spectator & presented in negative light. This seems odd as this account has pre-emptively blocked me & others.…
Read 14 tweets
5 Apr
Some early thoughts on today's briefing from the PM and scientific advisors. Is the govt strategy sensible? And is it truly 'following the data', or evidence led? 🧵
First- this is not a policy of pandemic control. The govts plan out of lockdown makes clear that the focus isn't on controlling transmission as long as NHS capacity isn't breached. R/case no.s are not one of the govts tests, as long as our NHS doesn't break.

Is this sensible?
No. This is exactly the same strategy that brought us ~150,000 deaths and 1.1 million estimated people living with long COVID. We know that hospitalisations can remain just 'within capacity' while leading to tens of thousands of deaths, and hundreds of thousands with long COVID
Read 26 tweets
2 Apr
I'm hearing worrying rhetoric from scientists suggesting that children don't suffer from 'severe illness' so may not need vaccination. Let's look at the evidence around this. How severe in SARS-CoV-2 in children, and what are the impacts of transmission occurring among children?
We've heard repeatedly, even from scientists that children are less susceptible to infection or transmission- a narrative that seems to suggest children are less likely to get infected. We know now that this is simply not the case.
Indeed, as this point in time, young children have highest positivity rates in England & Scotland (shown below), with rises having occurred soon after school re-openings in both regions. We also know that infection rates were highest in primary & secondary age groups in December.
Read 20 tweets
1 Apr
ONS survey data out today- looking at the pandemic by age paints a heterogenous picture. We appear to be having two different pandemics- one accelerating among young children since schools re-opened, alongside declines in older age groups possibly due to vaccination/lockdown 🧵
Infection prevalence appears to have decreased slightly in England, level in Wales, with increases in Northern Ireland, and slight decrease in Scotland after increases the last few weeks.
Infection rates appear highest, and rising among primary school children, followed by secondary school children & 35-49 yr olds. While this is a general population, survey data, it seems consistent with what we're seeing in symptom-based case data from PHE as well (discuss later)
Read 13 tweets

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