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Fraser Nelson Profile picture
@FraserNelson
Apr 7, 2021 • 7 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
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The setback for AstraZeneca vaccine today need to be set in context. By being easily-stored (and made here) UK has protected more people than any comparably-sized country...
The AZ success is reflected not just in trials but antibody studies. Vaccine success has helped 55% of population acquire Covid antibodies: a figure that rises all the time...
This has helped push Covid cases for the over-60s down markedly faster than those of other age groups...
...Daily Covid cases now 94% below peak...
...UK now has lowest Covid deaths in Europe....
... Covid deaths in UK falling faster even than in fully-vaccinated Israel.
All of these charts are updated daily on The Spectator's data hub: data.spectator.co.uk

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More from @FraserNelson

Fraser Nelson Profile picture
Jan 3
The most overlooked fact in UK politics: migration is plunging.

It could hit tens of thousands this year. Perhaps even net-zero.

This would be a political game-changer – and Starmer has all the tools to make it happen.

My Times column:- times-comment.com/mig3
My colleague Tom Calver looks at the collapse in visa numbers here - and how Warwick Uni's James Bowes joined the dots.

As ever with migration numbers, huge uncertainty. But given Oct25 work visa applications, the net-zero scenario is very plausible. thetimes.com/comment/column…
Net migration has already fallen lower than OBR thought it would go this parliament. And that was the year to Jun25.

So net figures could already be running at lowest for decades.

Below from the new Times data hub: thetimes.com/dataImage
Read 5 tweets
Fraser Nelson Profile picture
Nov 20, 2025
This is extraordinary from the Covid inquiry. No modelling “established” that 23,000 lives would be saved if lockdown had happened a week earlier - that was a notorious and debunked Ferguson claim… Image
…the flawed assumptions behind that claim were examined here. spectator.co.uk/article/covid-…
The crucial part of Prof Wood's analysis - exposing the flawed assumptions used to cook up the ~20,000-death figure - was published in this peer-reviewed paper. And never refuted by Ferguson or Imperial.

journals.plos.org/plosone/articl…
Read 5 tweets
Fraser Nelson Profile picture
Jun 3, 2024
I'm not sure Tories will win over many people when they use so many porkies in this short video... [1/4]
"Taxes are being cut" - no, they're rising and the Tory plan is to increase them to a 74-year high [2/4] data.spectator.co.uk
Image
"Waiting lists are coming down" - they may well do soon, but they aren't yet... [3/4] data.spectator.co.uk/health
Image
Read 5 tweets
Fraser Nelson Profile picture
Mar 22, 2024
Sunak’s furlough scheme was a lifeline , created at breakneck speed. It was a case study in how the civil service can innovate and launch a successful product for millions.

But as Sunak knew, its longer-term effects were deeply uncertain. Would it really facilitate a jobs bounce back?

Things are clearer now…

telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/03/2…
When it comes to post-Covid jobs recovery, the UK has done worse than almost any other developed country… Image
The dismal jobs recovery comes in spite of an unprecedented jump in immigration…
data.spectator.co.uk
Image
Read 5 tweets
Fraser Nelson Profile picture
Sep 13, 2022
One of biggest UK economic problems is exit of almost 650,000 workers from the economy since the pandemic.

Figures today show the number long-term sick (in red, below) now up 350,000 data.spectator.co.uk/category/labou…
The same graph, split by age
So the “jobs miracle” under Cameron - that saw a million more join the economy, took a big hit - and things are now getting worse…
Read 6 tweets
Fraser Nelson Profile picture
Sep 12, 2022
Is Sweden about to have a Conservative Prime Minister? Right now Ulf Kristersson's coalition leading the red-greens 176-173. Result may not come until wed svd.se/a/eEVAgy/valet…
Latest below - NB things can take days to settle in Swedish elections. But Conservative PM (a historical rarity) currently looks like the most likely outcome
With 92% votes counted, Sweden’s conservative coalition leads the red-greens by just one seat. So; too close to call, but Ulf Kristersson still has the advantage (even though his own party is now in third place after showing by the Sweden Democrats) svd.se/a/EQW8da/valet…
Read 6 tweets

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