A few weeks ago, we examined Florida's rising cases, especially among young people in a largely unvaccinated population. Quick thread on most recent trends:
1. Cases continue to grow in almost all of the age groups. Particularly concerning spikes are in 5-14 year olds (orange), 15-24 (yellow) and 25-34 (green). 55-64 cases are also quite high, which could be a result of slow vaccination in those age bands.
2. Cases in those 75+ now represent a small portion of total cases. 79.9% of Florida's seniors (65+) have received at least once dose.
3. Compared with 2 weeks ago, cases have continued to increase in all age groups, some more than others.
4. Where is case growth among the 15-24 year olds most present? Cases are rising among this age band on both coasts.
5. The number of sequenced B.1.1.7 cases continues to rise in Florida, above the national rate.
6. When it comes to vaccinations, Florida ranks:
- 33th in doses administered per capita
- 35th in the percentage of the population with at least 1 dose
- 36th in the percentage of the population fully vaccinated
- 20th in 65+ with at least 1 dose (most vulnerable)
Floridians need to continue to practice public health measures for a few more weeks while vaccines are rolled out. We also need to take steps to increase demand among the younger population. There are around 4.5 million doses delivered to Florida that have not been put in arms.
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Just out in @JAMANetworkOpen led by @jeremyfaust: Our accounting of racial and ethnic disparities in all-cause excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic period finds:
- >1.38 million excess deaths
- Pandemic exacerbated existing disparities jamanetwork.com/journals/jaman…
Crucially, we found that while the greatest number of deaths occurred in the elderly population, mortality was 20% above what could be expected in the working-age population (ages 25-64). This has major implications for lost economic productivity and life expectancy.
Another harrowing statistic: Although the Black population was 14% of the total <25 population, they accounted for more than half (51% of the excess mortality). In all age groups, we found a combined 23 million years of potential life lost.
What if we considered the fact that the least-vaccinated demographic group is not along age, racial/ethnic, gender, or political lines, and is instead those who are uninsured?
As fall boosters ramp up, we need to conduct better outreach to the uninsured. kff.org/coronavirus-co…
Latest NCHS report says 31.2 million (11.5%) Americans under the age of 65 are uninsured, many of whom are concentrated in Southern states (see map with HHS ASPE data here). Polling from last year showed that many were unaware the vaccine was free. nytimes.com/2021/06/01/ups…
We also see a moderate concordance with the percent of a county's residents who are uninsured and a county's social vulnerability index. In other words, many of these communities with uninsured individuals also have high social vulnerability.
New analysis: Over 77% of Americans (256 million) and 66% of Americans 65+ (45 million) are not up to date on their COVID-19 vaccines, making the population vulnerable to severe outcomes from future surges. There are wide disparities among states, from 11% in AL/MS to 36% in VT.
Our up to date calculator goes beyond simply counting the boosted population and accounts for people who are between doses according to CDC's up to date guidelines (old graphic from April here). We account for age groups and vaccine types. cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
Update on vaccines for kids under 5: Over 632,000 kids under 5 have received their first dose — up by around 92,000 from last week and now ~3.2% of this age group.
DC leads jurisdictions in uptake, with 17% of kids having received their first dose. Vermont leads states at 12%.
Despite a reasonably strong week the previous week, the pace of new doses being administered is showing signs of slowing (accounting for any possible data lag in recent days). More work on outreach and access is needed to sustain a high vaccination pace.
Over 42,000 kids — 0.2% of this age group — have received their second dose and are fully vaccinated. It is essential for providers and vaccination sites to remind parents to bring their children back for the second dose — critical to maintaining full protection.
New this morning: The White House has launched covid.gov, a one-stop website with information on tests, masks, treatments, vaccines and more. This tool provides useful resources for Americans to navigate this next phase of the pandemic. npr.org/2022/03/30/108…
The site is offered in three languages: English, Spanish and Mandarin Chinese. For those without internet access, there is also a phone number.
说中文的朋友们能搜索他们社区的新冠肺炎情况,寻找接种疫苗、检测的位置。
First, masks. The website links to a tool to find free high-quality N95 masks at pharmacies near you. cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
With today's announcement authorizing a second booster for individuals 50+, it is important to note that 16% (18.5 million) of these individuals are not fully vaccinated and 50% (59.2 million) have not received their first booster.
Data thread on this moment in the pandemic:
First, national trends. Cases and hospitalizations continue to decrease but are flattening out (excluding at-home tests). New cases are down to levels not seen since last May — ~26,000 per day.
However, as mentioned, the rate of declines in new case and hospitalization rates is slowing. The week-over-week percentage change for new cases is now close to 0% — showing that cases are flattening and could rise soon. We must remain vigilant.