What could go wrong?

'The ministry has examined and approved the construction of three biosafety level-4 labs [on top of already 3], or P4 labs, and 88 biosafety level-3 labs, or P3 labs, in China'
globaltimes.cn/page/202104/12…
Well, first and foremost, Chinese experts have been very concerned about the lack of qualified biosafety personnel, adequate budgets, and proper regulation for years.

See:
gillesdemaneuf.medium.com/evaluation-of-…
Yes you read it correctly:

[…] several high-level BSLs have insufficient operational funds for routine yet vital processes. Due to the limited resources, some BSL-3 laboratories run on extremely minimal operational costs or in some cases none at all.
It's a typical case of scientists and experts forced to pick up the pieces of a decision coming from Beijing.

Never mind they are not ready and that the institutional factors are wrong.

What Beijing wants, Beijing must have.
The key institutional factors are:
a. Administrations Transparency
b. Gov. willingness to learn from mistakes
c. Free press that can contribute to transparency

In China all these 3 are now totally missing.

At least during the 2004 Beijing SARS leaks we still had (c). All gone.
So instead we are getting a Wuhan Show - a local remake of the Truman show.

That's not the right conditions in which to build more labs

...while Chinese experts keep decrying the fact that China is not ready to build and manage so many labs:
And by the way, for a proper count of BSL-3 labs in China, you need to use #DRASTIC work. Because no one else will give you the right number.

We counted 112 labs over 62 complexes. Most likely there are about 120 BSL-3 today (plus 3 BSL-4).
researchgate.net/publication/34…
And #DRASTIC can also show you multiple examples of bad practices and errors in Chinese labs:
Last, I must add that I am fed up with the lying habits of some of the people involved with these labs.

Shi Zhengli, Yuan Zhiming and the WHO joint study team told us that nobody tested positive at the WIV.

Fat chance: 1/10th of a billionth of it being true!
Yes: 0.0000000001 chance of it being true.

You can check it, it's fairly easy maths: pihabeach.micro.blog/2021/04/08/chi…

Will someone eventually call these white lies before it is too late?

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Gilles Demaneuf

Gilles Demaneuf Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @gdemaneuf

16 Apr
Here is an interesting article worth discussing.

This was published in 2016 in the journal of Military Medical Research, a Springer Nature journal which is edited by the PLA.

[Nature and its pangolins papers, the PLA... Yes, I know!]
mmrjournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11…
The paper is about the positive role the PLA is playing in infectious disease prevention and control.

The 2nd sentence of the paper gives you the theme, praising the contribution of the PLA to the prevention of SARS.
Maybe they have in mind keeping secret military files that made it impossible for the WHO to control and monitor the spread of SARS in Beijing in 2004.
Read 11 tweets
15 Apr
Nice words from @Ayjchan .

One aspect that is missed here is that many of these improvised analysts (i do not like the word sleuths) are actually very qualified in their fields and have top academic backgrounds.
That's why they succeeded. Make no mistake.
What will eventually dawn on people is how masterful the setup of DRASTIC was.

It's an informal organisation that is very open, very resilient and flexible by design.

It allows for a mix of styles, from the rebellious taunt to the peer reviewed article.
DRASTIC people worked the coal mine, jumped into the mudbath.

But they were also able to interface with top media (Washington Post, WSJ, Spectator, Le Monde, etc) without forgetting the more mainstream ones (TVs, Daily Mail, Sun, etc).
Read 6 tweets
14 Apr
Let's talk about BSL4 positive pressure suits.

Here is Shi ZhengLi in her Delta (French) suit, manufactured by Sperian Protection (Honeywell).
Also called the 'white' suit.
Basically you have the choice between the White, Blue and Yellow suits.
Practically they all suck in one way or another, and are prone to breaking.

"The Delta (Sperion) suits just don't last long - even with lighter use"

The Delta suit is the suit used at the WIV.
That's where the positive air pressure comes in otherwise it would be really lethal.
Read 15 tweets
10 Apr
The SCMP makes for some very interesting reading this morning.
I cannot fail to recall that Beijing is forcing Jack Ma to sell the SCMP and more of his media assets.

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
These are the best pieces:
Read 12 tweets
9 Apr
A courageous article by @ParkSuAm1996 in the HK South China Morning Post.

Well done Eduardo and the SCMP, the questions of transparency and willingness to oppenly learn from mistakes are essential.

archive.is/ECbSC
It is also very nice to see Tony Della Porta, one of the foremost experts on lab safety, stepping in.

His work on the 2003 Singapore and Taiwan SARS lab leaks set the standard.

Unfortunately he was not selected for the bad Beijing SARS leak in 2004.

researchgate.net/publication/34…
We cannot keep going back to the same transparency failures.

This is really starting to feel like a Truman Show.

We need to escape that silly staged world which is totally uncompatible with a country running many (and building many more) labs.
Read 6 tweets
8 Apr
@China__Focus Sorry @China_Focus, but you have been caught lying.

The 700 tests ILI samples from the Wuhan Xiehe Hospital - not from the WIV (which anyway has 590 staff and students).

#DASTIC @franciscodeasis @Tantalite
From Annex D7 of the China-WHO study report:
@China__Focus @china_focus @franciscodeasis @Tantalite The WIV did test some lab staff in April 2019 and March 2020.

It should have tested all 590 staff and students, plus construction workers.

Given that the prevalent IgG+ rate in Wuhan was about 4.4% at the time then there would have been positive tests.
@China__Focus @china_focus @franciscodeasis @Tantalite First let's be clear that the prevalent IgG+ rate was around 4.4% in urban Wuhan around April 2020
(95% confidence interval: 4.0%-4.8%).

See jamanetwork.com/journals/jaman…
Read 11 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!