GreyFox Profile picture
Apr 17, 2021 14 tweets 6 min read Read on X
@BadChinaTake Firstly, let me commend you for trying to have an evidence based discussion on this. In this thread, I want ask some clarifying questions. I hope we can keep things civil.
Satellite Imagery article: wokeglobaltimes.com/5d34bc453be548…

You say it would not be surprising if there are errors. Have you ascertained what is their error rate? Should we not double confirm sites as camps, before reporting them as such, i.e. “innocent until proven guilty” principle?
Detained Numbers piece: wokeglobaltimes.com/f8b64df5a00743…

Which do you think is the most accurate estimate, and why? Do you think it’s reasonable from a cost and logistical point of view for 25% of the entire Uyghur population to be in detention? What are the potential flow on effects?
Outsiders’ Accounts of Xinjiang piece:
wokeglobaltimes.com/bfdc56ea67d445…

Are you implying Jerry’s tweets, statements, photos and articles have ulterior motives? Any basis for this claim?
Suppression of Birthrates: wokeglobaltimes.com/d4b7ba7e7ed746…

You noted declines in Xinjiang are extremely unusual compared to worldwide data. Have you examined other similar declines and the reasons driving those declines? Is this indisputable evidence that nefarious things are happening?
In the same piece, you concluded that preventing excess births cannot account for the 48.7% decline in birth rate over 2 years. Have you tried to allow for the impact of other factors, such as China having 12% overall birth rate decline in 2018,...
...net migration out of Xinjiang (of mostly reproductive age workers), and rapid economic and transportation improvements allowing faster integration of urban and rural areas, and therefore faster convergence in behaviour?
I also note that you concluded genocide was "very much a possibility" in this piece, but subsequently you wrote a piece that said the evidence does not amount to genocide. Can you please detail what caused this change in conclusion?
International Law and Genocide piece: wokeglobaltimes.com/5b22ee3c12424a…

You note a puzzling disparity in population control rates between different parts of Xinjiang. Does this not show that population statistics are complex, and there are potentially unreliable statistics at play,...
...so further investigations are required before any conclusions can be drawn? Is this data also not more consistent with there been no wide-spread plan to target Uyghurs, but instead a sporadic application of birth-control laws on an as needed basis for each region?
I note you concluded there is no genocide, but there are many crimes against humanity. Can you please provide definitions and case law to support your conclusion that what’s happening amounts to these crimes?...
Further, you seem to say that governments would violate section (h) if they target separatists and extremists. Does it concern you that this interpretation effectively means governments will either be powerless to stop extremism or will have to commit a crime against humanity?
I note you advocate for an alternative charge of cultural genocide in Xinjiang. Can you please define what is “culture”? What is distinctive about Uyghur culture (i.e. “Uyghurness”)? And how is it being destroyed in China?...
If a culture allows polygamy, and the gov bans this practice, is it also “cultural genocide”? And so what if it is?

/end

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More from @GFPhilosophy

Feb 12, 2023
We often hear about China's "Century of Humiliation", with discussions on Western platforms being extremely superficial and lacking in any background.

I thought I'd share examples that illustrate why it still resonates with Chinese people.

1st up, Six Steeds of Zhao Mausoleum.
Zhao Mausoleum is where the 2nd Emperor of Tang Dynasty, Li Shimin, is buried.

He is a revered character in Chinese history, widely regarded as one of the greatest Emperors, who started one of the greatest dynasties, both in terms of material wealth and cultural impact.
He was also known for his bravery and valour in battle, personally leading armies and charges against enemy lines, even when outnumbered.

What do you think a person like this wanted to be buried with? Terracotta warriors? Servants and concubines? Self portraits?

No.
Read 9 tweets
Dec 3, 2022
With the recent relaxation of Dynamic Clearance controls in China, I see many posts concerned about what may happen.

Unsurprisingly, the Western media has now jumped on the "China's not ready" bandwagon, salivating at the prospect of a high body count.

Here are my thoughts.
First, let's set some parameters:
1. The overriding concern would be to "flatten the curve" (see graph). Arguably, the whole 3 year period of Covid 0 is an extreme form of flattening the curve. Lockdowns, mass testing and track & trace are very effective methods of doing this.
2. It's clear that vaccines help in many ways, but they are insufficient by themselves. Therefore, a debate over which vaccines are better is pointless, since a wholistic approach is needed.
Read 17 tweets
Nov 3, 2022
There's been much discourse about China's Covid policies.

This is a small thread to share Australian statistics on Covid mortality, as data to consider if you want to argue for full reopening.

Covid continues to be a health threat that requires responsible decision making.
As background, let's note that Australia is a top performer in the West when it comes to Covid management:
- It closed to tourists for 2 years
- It had one of the longest lockdowns (Melbourne, 262 days)
- It utilized extensive testing and quarantine practices during 2020/21
- Standard social distancing guidelines were implemented
- It used Western developed mRNA vaccines
- It targeted 80% full vaccination rate before reopening
- It vaccinated people in phases, with high risk people going first (vaxxed 90%+)
- No excess mortality up to end 2021
Read 12 tweets
Sep 4, 2022
This is a thread to question the latest UN report on the Xinjiang situation.

There's a lot of suspicious elements in the report that calls into question its objectivity and legitimacy.

Given the report itself references tweets, I hope the UN will respond to this thread.
1. Who wrote this report?

Assuming that the report was released simultaneously with the QT above, then the report was released at 12:20am Geneva time on 1 Sept and 6:20pm US EST on 31 Aug 2022. This means Bachelet's term was technically over. The OHCHR is located in Geneva...
...so the report was technically released on 1 Sept, instead of the stamped date, 31 Aug.

There's also no usual reference to the High Commissioner, Secretary General or Bachelet at the start of the report, in contrast to other reports from OHCHR. Compare the screenshots below. ImageImageImageImage
Read 21 tweets
Dec 11, 2021
This is a thread to examine the ASPI report on Cultural Erasure in Xinjiang:
aspi.org.au/report/cultura…

I will focus on the problems in the methodology and statistics, rather than the conclusions and examples, but it would follow that those are wrong, due to the bad methodology. Image
Before diving right in, let's note that even ASPI recognizes on p5 that for many mosques, the dome and minarets are very recent additions, which automatically destroys the narrative that "traditional" culture is being eliminated because domes and minarets are being removed now. Image
ASPI also admits they can only use satellite imagery to study the mosques, which is problematic, because many mosques are unidentifiable from satellite images, as noted by ASPI, so on the ground verification is key to getting useful data, which was not done. ImageImage
Read 23 tweets
Sep 10, 2021
I want to try something a little different this time. Instead of looking at a particular document, I want to look at a particular claim: “cultural genocide”.

This claim is frequently made, but when examined in detail, it is even more baseless than the genocide claim.
"Cultural genocide" is often used as an easier-to-prove alternative to genocide. But, there are many cultural elements which are thankfully gone, e.g. virgin sacrifices to the gods. Therefore, a value judgment is required to prove this claim, which is not required for genocide.
From affirmative action to requirements for mask wearing, people have been asked to change behaviour to fit the times. Given culture is closely tied to behaviour, it can be argued that each change replaces an old culture with a new one. The question is whether this is desirable.
Read 21 tweets

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