I was thinking about the Basecamp stuff today

It made me wonder if businesses will ever reach out to gov't *themselves* and say "please pass a law banning politics from the workplace, we're too scared of our employees to do it ourselves"
and I was thinking about how people would be like "even if businesses wanted that, it would be a bad law b/c it's a violation of the 1st amendment, those businesses should grow up and just do it themselves & enforce it on their own"
And then (oh boy here we go) I realized this is *exactly* the argument that people have made in favor of state-wide mask mandates

They say that businesses really *do* want these mandates but are unwilling to enforce them on their own so they plead to the state gov't to do it
But if you turn that around, you realize that (just like an anti-politics-in-the-workplace law) a state mandate also forces businesses who *don't* want a mask mandate to have one.

It really makes the pro-mandate argument look ridiculous when you cast it in any other context

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More from @politicalmath

2 May
I want to write an overview of "science nerd metaphors"

Briefly stated: 50 years ago, a lot of our cultural metaphors, our orientation for how we saw human nature, came from the Bible and from Shakespeare.

Those two things are rapidly less well known /1
Instead, we're developing new metaphors and they are frequently backed with various scientific observations or experiments.

Here's one example:

The joke here is that this diagram is a visual short-hand for Survivorship Bias, which is when you draw conclusions from what you've measured but ignore what you were unable to measure. Image
Read 7 tweets
2 May
This is mildly premature, but I've got the COVID Response Project up, we've got 10 interviews in 8 states , and we're looking for support as we recruit more citizen journalists to report on the COVID response in their state

So far, we have reporting from AL, CA, MI, NY, OH, TX, VA, and WA

Reporters are all compensated for their time and work gathering the info and we'd like to keep doing that but we do need funding

You can see how far we've gotten so far

On deck, we have reports from NC, NM, FL, KY, GA, PA, CO, AR, UT, CT, MN, and IN

That would bring us to 20 states out of 50. I think we can make it.
Read 4 tweets
29 Apr
I had a funny / crazy conversation today

Since starting back at school "full time" (5.5 hour days, 4 days a week), my 8-year-old daughter made a new friend

She discovered this weekend that her friend lives in the house right next door
Turns out there are two girls in that house, their ages mirroring my daughters' ages

So I head over today to talk to the mom & invite them over for a picnic this weekend

Get to talking, I mention I've been vaccinated, she has too (she's a nurse)
I mention that, having been vaccinated, we're basically done with everything. She breaths a visible sigh of relief, mentions that she's the same way but it's hard to know how people feel about this stuff.
Read 5 tweets
28 Apr
On the one hand, I kind of agree with Jonah that Twitter has an outrage problem and "you have to care about this thing with me right now" is dumb

But it's also an expression of a bigger question: Are we all on the same team?
People on the right are quite tired of not receiving the kind of grace that Jonah (appropriately) grants to Glenn Kessler.

They reasonably ask "Where is this grace for me?"
I don't think he's said a single nice thing about Ron DeSantis and has certainly never shown him the kind of gentle grace he showed Glenn Kessler, who really was quite cruel to Tim Scott and never apologized or retracted a word of it.
Read 5 tweets
27 Apr
One thing I would love people who think Florida is cooking the books to really think about is:

How, exactly, are they doing this?

Walk me through this process.
Deaths are reported to the state from the county health departments

Are you saying that DeSantis is changing the numbers from the county health departments?

So we would get the right number if we added up the individual counties individually?
Or are you saying every county health department in Florida is in on the scam?

So even the blue-est of the blue counties in Florida is in cahoots with DeSantis to lie to their constituents?
Read 11 tweets
27 Apr
We need reform at the CDC and I honestly have no idea how we could do that

Trump set Deborah Birx to that task and it looked for a while like she was getting results...
... until ProPublica allowed the bureaucratic lifers at the CDC to undermine Birx and take a dump on her reform efforts

ProPublica does a lot of good work, but their hit piece on Birx was disgraceful. In that moment, they became a political tool

The only way reform happens within our government bureaucracies is firing people en mass

They'll bitch and moan and leak details and news orgs will dutifully write their little sniveling articles, allowing the incompetents to act as ghost writers for their hit pieces
Read 5 tweets

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