๐ŸŒ ASIA ๐ŸŒ

๐Ÿ”ฅ 500 MILLION ๐Ÿ’‰ doses have now been administered in Asia. ๐Ÿ”ฅ

DESPITE this, and coincidentally, the number of โšฐ๏ธ in Asia has โ†—๏ธ.

In Dec, Jan, Feb, Asia โšฐ๏ธ numbers โ†˜๏ธ.

๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿซ Correlation โ‰  causation & post hoc ergo propter hoc is a FALLACY! ๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿซ
๐ŸŒ ASIA (cont.) ๐ŸŒ

Asia ๐Ÿ’‰ numbers have reached 500 million.
Some previous charts from individual Asian countries.
More individual Asian countries - OWID includes the Middle East & therefore Bahrain & UAE in it's Asia data.

See also Philippines.
Further analysis on Asia from @j_sato

(the translate from Japanese button works very well I think - what do you think?)

A comparison of Asia & Africa.
๐ŸŒ ASIA (continued) ๐ŸŒ

Of the more than ๐Ÿ”ฅ 500 million ๐Ÿ’‰ doses in Asia, more than ๐Ÿ”ฅ 150 million ๐Ÿ’‰ doses have been administered in India ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ.

DESPITE this & surprisingly, there has been a more than 14 foldโ†—๏ธin โšฐ๏ธ in ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ since ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ—“๏ธ.

๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐ŸซCorrelation does not equal causation.
๐ŸŒ ASIA (continued) ๐ŸŒ

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ vs ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ

Here were can see that ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ is MILES ahead of ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ (so slow) in๐Ÿ’‰doses administered.

๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ’‰

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ vs ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ
๐ŸŒ ASIA (continued) ๐ŸŒ

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ vs ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ (continued)

DESPITE ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ being soooo faaar ahead of ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ on ๐Ÿ’‰ doses administered, ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ is, surprisingly, averaging more than 3.5 times as many Covid โšฐ๏ธ as ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ (on a population adjusted basis).

Experts agree that ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ must accelerate it's ๐Ÿ’‰ to โ†˜๏ธ โšฐ๏ธ.
๐ŸŒ ASIA (continued) ๐ŸŒ

It is important to keep ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ in context. See here vs ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง...

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More from @MConceptions

25 Apr
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บis a (or the)๐ŸŒleader on no. of different๐Ÿ’‰s approved.

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บbeat other ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ countries on the ๐Ÿš€ ๐Ÿ—“๏ธof the๐Ÿ’‰by not waiting for the joint๐Ÿš€

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บis 1 of the๐Ÿƒ๐Ÿ’‰countries in๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ

DESPITE this ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ has one of the highest โšฐ๏ธ rates in the ๐ŸŒ& 2/3 โšฐ๏ธ since ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

Correlation โ‰  Causation Image
๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ

Post hoc ergo propter hoc is a FALLACY. ๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿซ

So please do not read into this any significance in the โ›ฐ๏ธ date for ๐Ÿ’‰ doses and the โ›ฐ๏ธ date for โšฐ๏ธ.

๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Image
Read 7 tweets
20 Apr
๐Ÿƒ๐Ÿ’‰The๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ’‰Race๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿƒ

Who is leading?

In position No. 1 is Gibraltar ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ or #FastJabGib

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ is No. 1 for๐Ÿ’‰ administered relative to population.

DESPITE this & coincidentally ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ is No. 1 in the world for โšฐ๏ธ / million, not connected ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ govt. confirmed.

Over 80% ofโšฐ๏ธsince๐Ÿ’‰launch Image
๐Ÿƒ๐Ÿ’‰ The ๐ŸŒ ๐Ÿ’‰ Race ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿƒ

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ Seychelles is now No. 2 on our list ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ

DESPITE the๐Ÿ’‰ rollout in ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ, 96% of their Covidโšฐ๏ธ are since the๐Ÿ’‰ launch ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

However, 'post hoc ergo propter hoc' is a fallacy & experts assure us: no causal relationship.

Also, the๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ data set is too small. Image
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ SEYCHELLES ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ

When ๐ŸŒ No. 2* ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ launched ๐Ÿš€ their ๐Ÿ’‰ they had only 1 (ONE) Covid โšฐ๏ธ

Clearly their data set is too small for any firm conclusions.

*๐Ÿ’‰ doses administed as a % of population.

Correlation โ‰  causation Image
Read 7 tweets
19 Apr
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ INDIA ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ

DESPITE the launch of the๐Ÿ’‰in๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ more than 3 months ago their cases have coincidentallyโ†—๏ธmore than 12 fold.

The era of 'Ivermectin India' is over. The era of 'Jab India' has begun.

(Aug 2020: Bihar & Uttar Pradesh adopted IVERMECTIN).

Correlation โ‰  causation etc. Image
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ INDIA ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ

โšฐ๏ธ DEATHS โšฐ๏ธ

When ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ launched their ๐Ÿ’‰ on 15th January they were averaging 218 Covidโšฐ๏ธ/ day.

MORE THAN THREE MONTHS LATER they are averaging more than 1,200 โšฐ๏ธ / day.

Post hoc ergo propter hoc is a fallacy & correlation โ‰  causation.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ’‰ Image
Read 7 tweets
12 Apr
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Bulgaria ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ, after a slow start, accelerated it's ๐Ÿ’‰ on 19th February 2021. *

*Our World In Data
Despite the rapidโ†—๏ธin the no. of๐Ÿ’‰ given the average number of dailyโšฐ๏ธrose from 30 / day to over 120 / day.

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌhas risen in the๐ŸŒ league table ofโšฐ๏ธ / million to 7th place (see next tweet ๐Ÿ‘‡).

Experts assure us, theโ†—๏ธinโšฐ& the โ†—๏ธ๐Ÿ’‰are unrelated.

Correlation โ‰  causation
Sadly๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌhas risen to Number 7 in the๐ŸŒ on the Deaths / Million table illustrated by Worldometers.

#FastJabGib ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ is No. 1 for both Covidโšฐ๏ธAND Covid ๐Ÿ’‰adjusted for population size. Experts assure us that this is a coincidence.

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ'sโšฐ๏ธ:๐Ÿ’‰correlation is also not causal, experts.
Read 4 tweets
4 Apr
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ Bangladesh ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ has one of the lowest โšฐ๏ธ rates with Covid-19 in the whole ๐ŸŒ

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ's largest news publisher by reach, bdnews24, reported ' The government started the mass immunisation on Feb 7..'
In order to get the context of how low the ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉโšฐ๏ธ rate has been it is useful to compare with ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งโšฐ๏ธ with Covid.

This graph is population adjusted.

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ has been country wide adoption of Ivermection according to IVM Status dot com.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง uses ๐Ÿ”’lockdowns๐Ÿ”’ & ๐Ÿ’‰, NOT Ivermectin..
The Ivermectin Bangladesh๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ vs ๐Ÿ”’Lockdown &๐Ÿ’‰๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง reminds us all of...

Ivermectin India๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ vs ๐Ÿ”’Lockdown & ๐Ÿ’‰ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง

What's the score... is it close?
Read 4 tweets
3 Apr
The Worldometers league table:

deaths / million of population..

..has near neighbours (๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟCzech Republic / ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐSlovakia / ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บHungary), very near the top..

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ are now 2nd in the ๐ŸŒ & ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ are now 4th. So I then looked for ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ who are 13th. Image
I wondered if there is anything in the shape or patterns of their โšฐ๏ธ tables that could help identify perhaps spread between them (from one to another perhaps) or seasonality or perhaps even a relationship between โšฐ๏ธ and cases. Image
Firstly the ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Republic.

There seem to be 3 waves of death which seem somehow different to the natural waves we saw in some parts of the world in the first half of 2020. Image
Read 6 tweets

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