John Burn-Murdoch Profile picture
May 1, 2021 12 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Brief interlude from Covid content today

I recently decided work wasn't busy enough (lol) and set out to build a garden table from scratch. Easily one of the most rewarding things I've done.

Here's a step-by-step, starting with ~60m of wood arriving, too big to bring indoors 😅
So the race was on to cut the wood small enough to bring inside before any rain.

Lots of sawing, some with a circular saw until neighbours complained (not unreasonably), and then hand-saw for the rest.

Super useful tool here for calculating cuts: kurraglenindustries.com.au/linear-cutting…
With everything cut to size, next step was sanding down all edges to make sure nobody would sit on a splinter.

Unfortunately the electric sander also proved unpopular with neighbours, so I hand-sanded 40-odd planks 😅

Then it was a case of waiting for optimal painting weather.
The weather arrived, so next up was waterproofing all of the table-top slats.
The shorter, squatter pieces for table legs etc were a bit trickier: with time at a premium, how do you paint all six faces of a block of wood in one go?

Turns out there's a genius method: paint one face, then rest on the ends of a few screws, then paint the other 5. All done 🙌
So, everything painted, dried and ready to assemble 😀
Next up, power drill time, and everything starts to look a little less like a pile of wood and more like something that might become a table
Now with added legs:
And then table-topping time. Turns out a set of cutlery was perfect for spacing out the slats 😅
Table top secured:
Et voila. A pretty sick garden table and benches, if I say so myself. Here's to a summer of working, eating and drinking outdoors
Credits:

Table design, instructions and video: homemade-modern.com/ep101-diy-outd…

Circular saw: borrowed from @mikederismith

Physical and emotional support: @RossalynWarren

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More from @jburnmurdoch

Nov 8
My wish for the next election is that poll trackers look like the one on the right 👉 not the left

This was yet another election where the polling showed it could easily go either way, but most of the charts just showed two nice clean lines, one leading and one trailing. Bad! Image
Pollsters and poll aggregators have gone to great lengths to emphasise the amount of uncertainty in the polls in recent weeks...

But have generally still put out charts and polling toplines that encourage people to ignore the uncertainty and focus on who’s one point ahead. Bad!
The thing about human psychology is, once you give people a nice clean number, it doesn’t matter how many times you say "but there’s an error margin of +/- x points, anything is possible".

People are going to anchor on that central number. We shouldn’t enable this behaviour!
Read 11 tweets
Nov 7
We’re going to hear lots of stories about which people, policies and rhetoric are to blame for the Democrats’ defeat.

Some of those stories may even be true!

But an underrated factor is that 2024 was an absolutely horrendous year for incumbents around the world 👇 Image
Harris lost votes, Sunak lost votes, Macron lost votes, Modi (!) lost votes, as did the Japanese, Belgian, Croatian, Bulgarian and Lithuanian governments in elections this year.

Any explanation that fails to take account for this is incomplete.

More here ft.com/content/e8ac09…
Did Biden hold on too long?

Has progressive politics alienated some Hispanic and Black men?

Yes and yes, but taking action to address those issues probably wouldn’t have produced a fundamentally different outcome.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 15
“The NHS has too many managers” latest
Many of the NHS’s difficulties can be traced back to the deep cuts in manager numbers.

Fixing this doesn’t just unblock waiting lists, it also gives doctors more time to be doctors, and alleviates the stress and poor morale that come from having to do things that aren’t your job Image
Here’s another fun NHS low hanging fruit example:

A trial last year found that by running two operating theatres side by side, they cut the time between operations from 40 minutes to 2, and were able to do a week’s worth of surgeries in one day thetimes.com/uk/article/lon…Image
Read 5 tweets
Oct 4
NEW: we may have passed peak obesity 🎉📈📉🙏

In what might be one of the most significant trends I have ever charted, the US obesity rate fell last year. Image
My column this week is about this landmark data point, and what might be behind it ft.com/content/21bd0b…
We already know from clinical trials that Ozempic and other GLP-1 drugs produce sustained reductions in body weight, but with mass public usage taking off — one in eight US adults have used the drugs — the results may now be showing up at population level. Image
Read 15 tweets
Aug 9
It’s really striking how the Corbynite left has migrated to the Greens.

The result is a curious coalition between the older and more Nimby environmentalist base, and the new hard left/progressive influx.

These are quite different people with quite different politics! Image
In 2019, one in ten Green voters was from the most progressive/left segment of voters; now that’s one in four.

Big difference in policy preferences, priorities and pressure on the leadership, as we’ve seen in e.g reaction to Denyer’s Biden statement.
The most glaring tension between these two types of Green is on decarbonisation, where the older Nimby base doesn’t want pylons *or even onshore wind farms* but many of the new progressive Green vote do.

Greens are actually less keen on wind farms than Labour and Lib Dem voters! Image
Read 8 tweets
Aug 4
That incredible Noah Lyles victory in chart form.

Lyles was in last place until *50m*, and then surged past the field to take it on the line. A blue streak.

Thompson led from 25m to 95m, but not when it counted. Image
Granular timing data via @jgault13 and the Olympics website
@jgault13 Bolt was the greatest ever, and his huge margins of victory were iconic, but this was the best men’s 100m race I’ve ever seen.
Read 6 tweets

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