Here's your AB COVID19 #s for Saturday, abbreviated because still figuring out what the rapidly evolving situation looks like. 1/
Cases 2473, a whopping 62.5% increase over last Friday's 1522. Seems... Crazy? Could this be some reporting error? Stacked cases from earlier days? Hard to rationalize this massive jump. 2/
Positivity also in record territory, also an incredible 12.01%, far and away the highest we've ever had. Previous record 11.16% on Dec 3rd. This would suggest our systems are flailing/failing. 2/
Variants. What to say about variants. Yesterday the APL put out a memo saying they are no longer testing each positive for the VoC or VoI. So probably no longer a role in reporting Daily B1117%s. But for old time sake, Apr 27 1238/1863=66.4%. 4/
Hospitalizations continue to confound. Inpts maxed out on Tues at 511, and have since been bouncing up and down, now 509. Unexpected plateau, hopefully real (but don't count on it). ICU also unchanged today at 152. Only one new death. 5/
Not sure what to say folks. So much negative news in the last few days, from a lack of backbone from our leaders, to the absolutely expected continuation of our exponential growth, to the failing of our Test/Trace/Isolation systems. 6/
What's to be done? I wish I knew. Nobody anticipated those at the top to care so little for the health of Albertans. I wrongly thought they were better than this. But I know our health care team will try our best, no matter what's ahead. There be dragons. fin/

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More from @jvipondmd

30 Apr
Here's your very abbreviated AB COVID update for Friday (the numbers are late, not available on the stats website, and so based on @cspotweet's screenshot). 1/
Today's cases are 2007, an 18% increase from last Thurs's 1694. Curve seems to be steepening again. Also confirmed by %positivity of 10.6%, a full percent above last week's 9.68% 2/
989 variants or 49.2% of announced cases. breakdown unavailable for specific variants, or B1117 daily %s. 3/
Read 7 tweets
29 Apr
Here's your AB COVID AB # update for Thursday, along with initial thoughts on the new restrictions announced today. 1/
Today's cases are 2135. new record! bully for us. 14% increase over last week's 1872. % positivity of 10.1% (unchanged from last week) 2/ Image
Variants are 1300+ announced (no specific # announced). B1117 Daily %s: Apr 26 1010/1594 or 63.3%. (no other variant info available yet). 3/
Read 11 tweets
29 Apr
"The notion that there is a direct linear relationship b/w restrictions and viral spread is not the experience of this pandemic." Reference? Here's mine: 2/ nature.com/articles/s4156…
"But indiscriminate restrictions that people ignore broadly are not an effective tool." Restrictions aren't automatically ignored. They worked in the first and second wave. They need enforcement. There's no reason to believe they wouldn't work now. 3/
Read 9 tweets
28 Apr
Here's your COVID AB # analysis for Wednesday (recreated after I accidently deleted the complete thread. Arrggh!) 1/
New cases 1888 a new record from Dec 3rd's 1873. A 7.6% increase over last week's 1755. Still rising. % positivity of 9.85%, up from last week's 9.62%. 2/
Variants 1058 announced of 1888 total 56.0%. P1 +105, B1.351 +4, remainder B1117. New daily record for P1 Apr 17 at 77. Looks like early exponential growth. Daily B1117 % Apr 25 1020/1521 or 67%. Stable. 3/
Read 8 tweets
28 Apr
Here's your Tuesday COVID analysis for AB. Abbreviated b/c it's late and I'm tired and rather despondent. 1/
Yesterday's case #s 1601, a 17.5% increase over last week's 1362. Positivity a record high 11.39% (previous record 11.16% on Dec 3). This is super worrisome, it means we are missing a ton of community spread, that our test/trace/isolation system is completely broken. 2/
Variants announced 812, or 50.7% of today's cases. P1 +23, the remainder B1117. Daily B1117%: Apr 24 1001/1465 68.3 % 3/
Read 7 tweets
26 Apr
Ok, here's your Monday COVID # analysis. Be warned, I'm pretty down. I honestly didn't think they could look at the situation we're in and blow it off. But here we are. No new restrictions. 1/
Cases yest 1526, a 10.8% increase from last week's 1377. Still exponential growth. Positivity 10.18% (last week 10.85%). Improving trends noted over the weekend now erased. 2/
Variants announced 1542. That's 101% of the announced cases (obviously some catch up happening here). +24 P1, the rest B1117. Daily B1117 %s: Apr 22 1178/1705 69.1% (a new record). Apr 23 1041/1588 65.6%. 3/
Read 8 tweets

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