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May 2, 2021 21 tweets 17 min read Read on X
I think i've teased you all enough. So here it is, how the FORTIS '21 (the Royal Navy's name for the deployment of the @HMSQNLZ carrier strike group's deploymenet to the Pacific) compares with similar annual group deployments conducted by the Royal Navy over the last 40 years./1
First of all, here are the four largest peacetime group deployments since 1982:
Argonaut '01 containing a whopping 26 ships of all types conducted in Exercise SAIF SAREEA 2 off Oman.

Aurora '04 visited the USA to develop amphibious skills after the '98 & '03 Defence Reviews./2
Ocean Wave '97 saw the group visit the Pacific & oversaw the ceremonial handover of Hong Kong.

Cougar '11 saw the roll out of the new "Response Force Task Group" concept after the 2010 SDSR, exercised in the Gulf before elements of it took part in the 2011 Libya Intervention./3
Cougar '13 involved exercises in the Gulf with the US and Saudi navies before HMS Illustrious was detatched to aid the Philippenes in the wake of Typhoon Haiyan.

Taurus '09 saw the deployment of the UK's amphibious group to the Pacific, including landing exercises with Brunei./4
Orient Express '83 involved the deploymet of the carrier group to the Pacific, including a visit to Australia, marred by controversy over whether she was carryng nuclear weapons, and exercises with the USS Kitty Hawk group in the South China Sea./5
Baltic Protector '19 saw the deployment of the UK amphibious group into the Baltic for combined NATO exercises under the new new Joint Expeditionary Force (JEF) framework which includes a number of Scandanavian and Baltic states./6
Here we reach FORTIS '21, the QE carrier group's initial outing, on a slightly larger scale - in terms ships, than the Orion '08 carrier group deployment.

Auriga '10 and Argonaut '99 were both amphibious exercises in North America & the Mediterranean respectively./7
It is notable that the two Pacific carrier group deployments of the late 1980s and early 1990s did not feature a group as large or capable as the one deploying on FORTIS '21.

QE's deployment is also larger than the 2006 carrier group deployment to the Gulf & Indian Ocean./8
Obviously there are many other such deployments - the graphics above simply reflect the largest of them over the last 40 years, so for those who are really interested in the bigger picture and how it all breaks down here are the stats.

This table sorts by ships involved./9
Note: The 'heat map' colour coding system works in comparison to FORTIS '21. 'Hotter' is larger than 'Cooler' is smaller than./10
This table shows the same data sorted chronologically./11
And here is the list including only the deployments which visited the Pacific - note that these only include the whole group visiting, so ATG '18 which Albion joined from the Pacific and Cougar '13 where Illustrious departed for the Philippenes are omitted./12
Some interesting factors to note about FORTIS '21 which don't come out immediately from the raw numbers:
- The deployment contains the joint 3rd largest No of escort ships of any since 1982, only Argonaut '01 & Ocean Wave '97 had more.
- It is one of only 9 to feature an SSN./13
-Although the figures are not in the tables, it does contain the most fixed wing aircraft of any UK group deployment since 1982.
-There are have only been six larger group deployments in the last almost 40 years than FORTIS '21 and the largest of those were ~ two decades ago./14
In conclusion FORTIS '21 sits amongst some of the most substantial 'peacetime running' deployments of the last four decades.

The only group deployments to substantially surpass it were a handful of truly exceptional occasions around the turn of the milennium./15
Contrasted against previous RN deployments to the Pacific it is substantial and competitive with all but the largest - Ocean Wave '97 - and in some areas: specifically the number of UK escorts and multinational fixed wing aircraft involved it even compares well with that./16
So as @HMSQNLZ @HMSDefender @hmsdiamond @HMS_Richmond @hms_kent @HNLMS_Evertsen & USS The Sullivans @RFAFortVictoria and @RFATidespring, along with @815NAS @820NAS @OC617Sqn @845NAS @42_commando, the US Marines of VMFA-211 & many others (and the sub HMS >REDACTED<) set out/17
on FORTIS'21 they can be absolutely sure that they are doing so in the finest traditions of the service as part of a first rate task group.

Fair winds & following seas to @smrmoorhouse & everyone lucky enough to be involved in a slice of history, turning CGI into reality./18
And, after nearly 40 years, the aircraft elevators are finally in the right place. Which is nice.

Engaging Strategy, Out.

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More from @EngageStrategy1

Oct 7, 2023
The way that decision-making on HS2 has happened reveals some of the deepest problems with the operation of our democracy.

That the 2021 High Speed Rail Act was simply an enabling instrument and not the legislative allocation of funds and directive to build it means/1 Image
that its cancellation - an enormous decision with vast and far reaching long-term consequences - could be done by executive fiat with zero parliamentary scrutiny or involvement of critical stakeholders across industry and regional government.

This is no way to run a country./2
The fundamental problem squatting at the heart of the British state is its overmighty executive, subject to extremely weak legislative scrutiny, with huge centralised power but having stripped out and privatised much of the expertise and capacity to actually use it./3
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Sep 17, 2021
A couple of thoughts on the Australian decision to abandon the Attack-class diesel-electric submarine programme in favor of pursuing a nuclear-powered submarine fleet in co-operation with the USA and UK./1
This decision, which has apparent bi-partisan support within Australia signals the commencement of what will be by far one of the most significant defence-industrial challenges their country has embarked upon in its history./2
When Britain decided to explore nuclear submarine propulsion in the early 1950s competing priorities between its atomic weapons programme, civil nuclear industry and an alternate development path: Hydrogen Peroxide propulsion, ultimately placed them far behind the USA./3
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Sep 1, 2021
Starter for ten: the near-constant use of the *very loud* whole ship's broadcast when they're supposedly being trailed by an enemy submarine...
Starter for eleven: an SSBN surfacing to pick anybody up at all. Immediately giving its position away to all and sundry)

(Which sort of invalidates the whole point of the show but 🤷‍♂️)
starter for twelve: the Lt Cdr XO who pretty much out and out states he got the job because he married an Admiral's daughter rather than on merit. Which, for anyone who knows anything about the Submarine Command Course, AKA "the Perisher", is pretty ludicrous.
Read 12 tweets
Jul 4, 2021
THREAD:

Through the 1970s and early 1980s the Royal Navy extensively retrofitted the Leander class of frigates to carry a range of more modern weapons systems and sensors.

So, what did it cost to convert one of these:
/1
Into one of these?
/2
The answer, it turns out, is an eye-watering amount of money.

Here's a breakdown of the Leander retrofits (Yellow) compared with some other major modifications to ships already in service (Blue) as well as the new build programmes running from 1968-1985. Costs are in 1985 £./3
Read 29 tweets
Mar 12, 2021
So, it's Friday and the sandcastle guy is gonna talk about aircraft carriers again.

I thought it would be worth it, in the general context of the recent rumors surrounding the QE Programme, the upcoming Defence White Paper and various social media reactions to the above./1 QNLZ, with some jets.
I hope that the last several years spent outlining why these ships, and other aircraft carriers, are the way they have percolated through to my audience.

That said, there are still a great many people who seem convinced that the whole programme is a delusional nonsense./2 These ships are indeed rather big, if anyone hasn't noticed
Clearly, if you've followed me for any length of time then you'll know that I disagree with that view. Having studied the subject for a good while I have come to the conclusion that aircraft carrying warships remain very useful implements for defence and wider UK state policy./3
Read 29 tweets
Jun 28, 2020
Right, it's THREAD time on the Royal Marines' Future Commando Force, amphibious shipping, budgets and options.
I'll preface everything I say here with a couple of caveats. This is very much a 'first contact' impression and some somewhat rough thoughts, I'm not possessed of all the facts & amphibious warfare practitioners within the RN & RM who do have them are free to correct any mistakes
Second, this isn't a forensic analysis of the budget (although direction of travel and some options will be discussed) and as such any proposed structures and concepts may be taken with a grain of salt.
Read 39 tweets

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