3 May, 4 tweets, 1 min read
Depending on what happened on the previous roll, you might need to re-bet 4-5 spots, and the amounts will be different (usually). The dealers will know what you WANT to cover based on what you have been betting -- especially getting true odds bets down before the next roll.
If the odds bet is not in place and the shooter rolls your number, you miss out on getting paid the "true odds". So, if you are playing in a 3x odds table, and you have \$10 on a number, you can make a \$30 true odds bet. If you are on the "4" -- the true odds are 2-1 against you.
If the shooter rolls a "4", you get \$10 on your base bet of \$10, but you get \$60 on your "true odds" bet -- the odds were 2-1 against you, you bet \$30 so when a "4" comes up you get paid off 2-1. The dealers will help make sure your bets are all in place because winners = tips.
And players who play in this fashion have the best mathematical chance of being winners. So there is "self-interest" involved in helping you. They are not helping you to cheat -- they are just helping you to get your bets down and not miss out.

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More from @shipwreckedcrew

3 May
Here is the absolute straight scoop. Understand that the house has a mathematical advantage in every game. The key is understanding WHERE the House has the smallest advantage. There is only 1 bet in the House where it pays the "true odds" on when the House or player wins.
That is on the craps table. It is not complicated, but it takes a bit of study before you start, and you need to stay for more than 10 minutes. It involves playing the "Pass Line", covering the numbers, and backing up your base bet with maximum "true odds" bets.
It is a betting progression, and you do should never alter once you are in the progression. The "true odds" bets behind your base bet are the only bet you will make in a casino where, if the odds are 6:5 in favor of the house, you will get paid \$6 for every \$5 you bet if you win.
2 May
The FBI brings in 3-4 new recruit classes each year (last I had good info). The Agent work force has 400-500 new agents each year. An overwhelming majority of agents stay to retirement -- 25 or more years. So most agents "retiring" today came into the Bureau in the mid-1990s.
They stay, even when unhappy or disgruntled with the politics because the pension is so unlike anything else -- it's why many take the job. They get a decent % of their "High 3" -- for life -- starting the day they retire. And they can retire at 50, making 2nd careers common.
The political makeup of the FBI agent force changes slowly, and over a significant period of time. It hires a large number of people coming from the military or moving from state/local law enforcement to federal law enforcement. Many agents today had Iraq/Afghan war experience.
1 May
Re the 6:00 am search.
There is a box right on the Warrant which the Judge checks that says the warrant must be served between 6:00 am and 10:00 pm. There is another box that says it can be served at any time--but the judge must provide an justification if that box is checked.
It is up to the agency serving the warrant to decide as an operational matter when between 6:00 am and 10:00 pm they will serve the warrant.
In my experience almost all warrants are served between 6:00 am and 7:00 am.
In MANY instances it is because:
Agents are generally expected to be on duty in the office between 8:00 am and 5:00 pm.
A 6:00 am warrant service means a 4:00 am briefing. That might mean getting to the office at 3:30 am.
8 hour work day means getting off at 1:30 pm.
21 Apr
2254 -- not 2255. Correct. When you spend your entire career in federal courts, "2255" becomes the "default" reference in your brain.

"An application for a writ of habeas corpus on behalf of a person in custody pursuant to the judgment of a State court shall not be granted 1/
with respect to any claim that was adjudicated on the merits in State court proceedings unless the adjudication-

(1)  resulted in a decision that was contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application of, clearly established Federal law, as determined by the Supreme Court 2/
of the United States;  or

(2) resulted in a decision that was based on an unreasonable determination of the facts in light of the evidence presented in the State court proceeding.

So, how about engaging in the substance rather than waste time on "6th v. 8th" or "2254 v. 2255".
21 Apr
Yes -- my view is different that Dersh. Chauvin could petition SCOTUS directly after a final decision by the Minn. Supreme Court.
But he can also file a 2255 in the Dist. of Minn., limited to federal constitutional rights claims -- his right to an impartial jury under the 6A.
He made multiple change of venue motions based on prejudicial pretrial publicity. Skilling is SCOTUS' most recent case. IMO Cahill did a piss poor job on that issue, with his primary reasoning being he didn't believe any other county in Minnesota would have less of a problem.
Did he do what was necessary in VD to assess the impact of prejudicial pretrial publicity on each individual prospective juror. The Tsarneav decision from the 1st Cir. on the Bostom Marathon bombing case lays out pretty well how that shortcoming can lead to reversal.
13 Apr
He is investigating people INSIDE the FBI. No one knows how far that might go. Why would you suppose than ANYONE would be cooperative? I believe a few are quietly cooperating, and he's mapping out what he knows "off the grid".
The article includes two very important clues -- that he has obtained records via grand jury subpoena from Brookings about Danchenko.
Second, that he's interested in why the CH decision makers made the decisions they made AFTER then ID'd Danchenko as Steele's primary subsource...
most particularly why they pushed forward with Danchenko and NEVER disclosed to the FISC that he was previously deemed a possible Russian intelligence asset in 2009-10. THAT was a big issue, and it was not overlooked lightly.