The facts about this poll.

301 sample size, fieldwork started 9 days ago.

+- 6% margin of error.

Number of don't knows not published yet.

Constituency elected a monkey as mayor on a platform of free bananas for schoolchildren in 2002.
On top of the 301 sample above, another 157 were "don't knows" or "won't says" who said that they were going to vote. That's nearly 3x the unweighted Tory lead.

Actual sample is heavily skewed towards 45+ so a significant weighting has been applied to the figures published.
What this has done is pushed the Betfair exchange odds into the sort of territory that I get interested in two-horse races that I think are close (it's gone above 3:1 in old money). Money on.

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