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Can Okar Profile picture
@canokar
May 4, 2021 • 13 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
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Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu under investigation for disrespecting the President by sitting with legs too far apart.

Probably... Who knows anymore?
Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu under investigation for disrespecting the Rabia sign, holding up the wrong number of fingers.
Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu under investigation for making rude shapes with his hands in front of children and with a Turkish flag in the background.
Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu under investigation for making threatening fist in clear attempt at coup.
Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu under investigation for pointing his finger in an aggressive way, undermining the clear will of the people.
Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu under investigation for not wearing a tie.
Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu under investigation for doing a stop sign with hand in front of the Turkish flag, clearly disrespecting the Turkish people in their pursuit of what is rightfully theirs.
Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu under investigation for squeezing fingers in an aggressive way, showing contempt for the sensibilities and morality of the Turkish people.
Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu under investigation for belly dancing, in clear contempt for the Turkish military.
Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu under investigation for doing the crazy sign with his finger, undermining the values of the Turkish family.
Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu under investigation for looking aggressively at the camera - I mean who does he think he is, disrespecting 20 centuries of Turkic glory with a look like that?
Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu under investigation for holding his hands behind his back near a shrine, in clear contempt and disrespect for the entire Ottoman Empire, the values of the Turkish people and Allah (cc) himself.

It's probably time to bring back the death penalty...
A late addition but Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu under investigation for brandishing gun on live TV and attempting to undermine the constitutional order of the nation.

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More from @canokar

Can Okar Profile picture
May 15, 2023
The morning after the night before.

That was a disaster for the opposition. The CHP claimed a lot of votes were blocked but the final counts delivered no change.

The AKP have a majority in Parliament and it looks almost certain they take the Presidency in Round 2.
I desperately want the opposition to win and that impacts what I write. Mea culpa.

But I was completely shocked by vote patterns in Inner Anatolia.

Opposition won almost every major city (except Bursa) and the South East but has lost everywhere else.
There are a few predictable disasters. TİP and YSP’s strategy looks to have failed. The smaller parties at the Table of 6 get a lot of MPs for almost no effort.

These indicate an opposition strategy that appears to have been blown out of the water.
Read 10 tweets
Can Okar Profile picture
May 14, 2023
A quick guide for how to follow a Turkish election.

Voting is now underway and closes at 5pm Turkish time.

From 6pm to 9pm, only results from the Supreme Election Council can be shared.

From 9pm onwards, the media can start commentating on results and venture predictions.
The first results tend to come from the East and from smaller ballot boxes which are easier to count.

The AKP will open up a massive lead.

Do not be depressed by this. I’ll be checking swings based on 2018 and it will be important to remain calm in that opening period.
As the night wears on, data from the opposition’s strongholds (the big cities where they won most of the municipalities in 2019 and the coasts) will start flooding in.

And then it’s a question of waiting to see if the opposition can overtake.
Read 5 tweets
Can Okar Profile picture
Apr 20, 2023
Muharrem İnce often claims the opposition received zero votes in over 20,000 ballot boxes in the 2018 election. That's 1 in 9 boxes.

I've always thought that sounded unrealistic.

So I downloaded the entire election data and checked.

Result?

He's lying. It was 1,169 boxes.
He also claims this affected 6 million votes and that this could have impacted the result.

This is also a massive lie. In reality, the boxes in question represent 147,282 votes, most in small places where almost no-one votes opposition anyway.

The claim is another red herring.
Some clarifications are needed. İnce got zero in 2,183 ballot boxes. İnce plus Akşener got zero in 1,169.

If you add up all opposition Presidential candidates, which did include Demirtaş and two others, there are only 360 ballot boxes in Turkey with no opposition votes.
Read 12 tweets
Can Okar Profile picture
Feb 10, 2023
Turkey has a massive problem with hyper-centralization.

Effective systems work through devolved yet trusted local decision-making.

Turkey has the exact opposite. Everything has to go through a bottleneck at the top so decisions and execution are incredibly slow.
This doesn’t relate just to crisis management, although this is where it becomes most visible. It’s a broad issue across governance that comes from almost zero delegation of authority.

It means the central authority has to coordinate everything, has to have all power, all funds.
One can argue that it is to do with credit-seeking or it’s political.

Even without that lens, it’s inefficient use of resources to sideline local authorities, NGOs, individuals. Of course you need central coordination but that swiftly turns into suspicion of non-central actors.
Read 7 tweets
Can Okar Profile picture
Feb 9, 2023
Why did so many buildings collapse?

Turkey lies on major fault lines and will always have devastating earthquakes.

But we’ve never really cared about building safety standards. In fact, 5 years ago AKP gave an amnesty to any old illegal building as long as you declared it.
There have been attempts to renew housing stock according to new guidelines that take seismic durability into account but it is nowhere near complete.

And there is always a doubt that constructors get around the rules with a wink and a nod.

Anyway, everything has to change now.
Turkey will need to radically change its urban planning and incentives/finances in construction. The scale of the problem will not allow billions to be siphoned off by moguls.

This is now a national security and survival issue. No more “amnesties”. Just profitless renewal.
Read 4 tweets
Can Okar Profile picture
Feb 8, 2023
Throughout this, the AKP have been moaning about misinformation.

What misinformation? Where is this flurry of lies that undermines the rescue effort? People have been sharing life-saving locations.

What the AKP feared was information.

And the criticism that naturally followed.
I don’t think I’ve ever seen Turkish Twitter as united and as useful as it has been these past few days.

It has finally found a purpose and that purpose was saving countless lives.

But of course, an open network also means a free flow of information and that frightened the AKP.
Everyone saw the gaping holes in the rescue operation.

We heard firsthand how people had been abandoned to their fate.

We saw the terrible gaffes on repeat.

We watched in horror as they put AKP flags on rescue trucks sent by others.

No misinformation.

Only naked truth.
Read 4 tweets

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