Aaron Reichlin-Melnick Profile picture
May 4, 2021 21 tweets 8 min read Read on X
This attempted "fact-check" from the Heritage Foundation's new post-Trump DHS "senior fellows" (Wolf, Morgan, Ries) is not only disingenuous, it also gets a number of facts wrong. So I'm going to fact-check the fact-check. Come with me on a thread.

dailysignal.com/2021/05/03/fac…
First, Chad Wolf makes an unprovable claim about motivations behind increased border apprehensions. Here's why it's wrong:

1) Apprehensions began spiking in May 2020, not "the last months" of Trump.
2) In the the actual "last months" after Biden won, apprehensions leveled off! Excerpt: "In the final months of the Trump administratiChart showing major increase in single adult apprehensions b
Chad Wolf's claim of a "border under control" pre-Biden is particularly disingenuous.

Note how he points to April 2020 as proof, ignoring that half the world was on lockdown and that single adult apprehensions—fully 2/3 of all apprehensions under Biden—began spiking in May 2020! Excerpt: "In the final months of the Trump administratiAlternate version of prior chart showing all apprehensions f
Next, Chad Wolf claims reduced border apprehensions in 2019-2020 were due to three things:

- The Migrant Protection Protocols (MPP/Remain in Mexico)
- Asylum Cooperative Agreements (ACAs/Safe Third Country agreements)
- "More construction of the border wall."

I'll address each. Excerpt: "This decrease was thanks to the Migrant Prote
Wolf says that "every single one of these effective policies was still in place on January 20, 2021." That's a half-truth at best, a lie at worst.

The only ACA ever to go into effect was suspended in March 2020 due to COVID. When Biden ended the ACAs they existed on paper only. Excerpt: "Every single one of these effective policies
Similarly, Wolf's claim that MPP was still in place on January 20, 2021 is true, but also deeply deceptive.

MPP was effectively replaced by Title 42. Just 1.19% of people encountered from April 2020 to January 2021 were put into MPP—hardly the major deterrent Wolf is claiming. Graph showing virtually nobody being placed into MPP after T
Wolf's description of MPP is also very deceptive. MPP didn't end "fraudulent" asylum claims, it ended nearly ALL asylum claims through a system of kangaroo courts.

Less than 1% of people put into MPP ever won protection—compared to 13-18% for Central Americans inside the US. Excerpt: This decrease was thanks to the Migrant Protection
Wolf is equally disingenuous when describing the ACAs. What the ACAs did was give the US the ability to deport people to a third country and force them to apply for asylum there—even if they'd never been there.

For example, the U.S.-Honduras ACA would have applied to Mexicans! Excerpt: "asylum cooperative agreements with Northern T
Chad Wolf also claims that "more construction of the border wall" was a cause of a decrease in apprehensions in 2019, and blames Biden's construction pause on skyrocketing numbers.

But that makes no sense. All that wall which supposedly decreased apprehensions is still there! Excerpt: "This decrease was thanks to ... more construc
Wolf's segment ends by saying that "Biden inherited the most secure border in U.S. history, and promptly blew it apart."

So how does he get there? Pretending the 2020 border spike in single adults didn't happen, misrepresenting what Biden did, and making nonsensical arguments.
What's also notable about Wolf's segment is his total failure to mention Title 42; the most sweeping anti-asylum policy adopted by Trump in all four years... and one that Biden has largely kept in place!

Read more about Title 42 from us here: americanimmigrationcouncil.org/research/guide…
Moving on to "Claim No. 2," which is written by Mike Howell.

Hard to fact-check this one because it's all this guy's opinion. Seriously. He tries to fact-checks the word "urgent" and basically says that if Biden doesn't do exactly what he wants, the response isn't "urgent." OK. Claim No. 2:  “It is getting urgent action now.” Rating:
Moving on to "Claim No. 3," written by Lora Ries (who testified as the minority witness in the Congressional hearing I testified at last week).

Ries admits Biden's statement is true but calls it misleading, accusing Biden of effectively "throwing everything in the closet." Claim No. 3:  “For example, a month ago, we had thousands
Unaccompanied children are worse off in Border Patrol custody, and images of crowded CBP cells were what sparked the mainstream calls of a "crisis." Ries is ignoring that when conflating CBP custody with ORR shelters. Plus, Biden is finally beginning to clear the shelters now! Chart showing "Net Change in Non-Mexican Unaccompanied
Ries ends her "fact-check" with an opinion: unless Biden cracks down on migrant children, we'll keep seeing "sky-high numbers."

But the number of unaccompanied kids encountered in April will be 10-15% lower than March. We've already hit the peak, despite Biden changing nothing! Excerpt: "And no matter who has custody of these minors
Moving to "Claim No. 4," which Chad Wolf responds to, where Biden said that DHS did not fully cooperate with the transition team, thus putting some blame on outgoing Trump officials (like Wolf himself) for the current situation at the border.

Wolf... is not happy. Claim No. 4:  “Hey, look, here’s what happened—the fai
Wolf claims that DHS officials met with the transition team more than 200 times to provide briefings, and suggests someone should FOIA them.

Of course, under FOIA all you'd be able to get was a confirmation the meeting happened and likely nothing on substance. At the Department of Homeland Security, we provided the tran
Now the meat of Wolf's counter to Biden's claim of a sabotaged transition: basically, "we told you not to do things we didn't like and you went ahead and did them."

Except... that doesn't refute Biden's claim. In fact, it supports it. All they did was warn, not prepare! During the transition, the incoming Biden administration was
Wolf also attacks a strawman by deliberately misrepresenting what Biden said here.

Biden never said any staff was fired *during transition.* He says they learned after taking office that "[Trump's DHS] had fired a whole lot of people, that they were understaffed considerably." It’s also untrue to claim anyone in DHS was fired during t
So Wolf's defense to Biden's claim of transition team sabotage is to:

- Attack a strawman
- Say they met a lot and warned Biden not to undo Trump policies.

Notably absent? Claims that they dutifully prepared to carry out the new administrations' policies.
Taking a break now before I get to Claims No. 5 and 6, so will be back to this thread later.

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More from @ReichlinMelnick

Sep 15
Trump here uses the phrase "remigration." I was unfamiliar with the term, so I googled it.

Wikipedia describes it as a "far-right and Identitarian political concept" largely used to describe the mass deportation of non-white immigrants and their descendants from Europe.
Image
Needless to say, the use of such a loaded far-right term suggesting a purge of non-white people in the US far greater than described would itself be newsworthy in a normal world. But given how much else has happened just in the last 24 hours, it's barely even been noticed.
Yep, though given how poorly Operation Janus did the first time around and how tough it is for the US government to denaturalize people, I suspect that’s more about driving support from the base than actual policy (which is not to say it shouldn’t be taken seriously).
Read 5 tweets
Sep 5
That's roughly $1,841 per person. By comparison, a bus ticket to New York costs about $215, while a flight costs about $350.

It would have WAY cheaper to just give migrants money for tickets. Abbott's effort not only made it a political stunt, it lined a contractor's pocket.
The overwhelming majority of migrants didn't want to stay in Texas. They wanted to go elsewhere. So if the question was the most efficient way to help them leave the state, the answer would be just buy them tickets and not pay millions to bus them to NYC.
They are able to live wherever they want while they go through the court process. It's just that many people used up every last cent to get here, so a free bus from Abbott was a very enticing option, especially since it was going to known option like NYC.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 19
It's here! The biggest executive action since DAPA/Extended DACA in 2014 just dropped on the Federal Register in the form of a "Notice of Implementation." Here's a 🧵on the Biden admin's new program for undocumented spouses and stepchildren of US citizens. public-inspection.federalregister.gov/2024-18725.pdf

Screenshot of the first page of the "Notice of Implementation" of the Keeping Families Together program.
Before I dive into the fine details, a reminder of why this new program matters.

Even though spouses of US citizens are eligible to apply for green cards, a 1996 law keeps that process out of reach for many undocumented immigrants. Read 👇 for more.
In June, Biden announced "Keeping Families Together," letting undocumented spouses of US citizens receive immigration "parole."

This would not only give deportation protections, it unlocks the path to a green card without risking 10 years of separation.
americanimmigrationcouncil.org/research/biden…
Read 18 tweets
Aug 16
Wow! Paxton is going after ANOTHER immigrant rights nonprofit. He's arguing that if any nonprofit engages in activities he thinks violate 501(c)(3) status, he can sue to shut it down.

That argument should send shivers through every nonprofit in the state! houstonchronicle.com/politics/texas…
Paxton is trying to punish @FIELHouston for social media posts which he argues run afoul of the limits federal law places on 501(c)(3) nonprofit status.

If judges accept that argument (and so far it seems they're not), it would put every nonprofit in the state at risk. Image
Paxton's efforts to destroy this particular nonprofit are happening simultaneously with two federal lawsuits in which FIEL is a plaintiff against Texas.

@MALDEF, which represents FIEL, argues this was "not accidental" and accuses him of fighting dirty. maldef.org/wp-content/upl…

The timing of Paxton’s proposed quo warranto petition is not accidental. Paxton filed his proposed petition while FIEL participates as a plaintiff in two civil rights lawsuits that challenge Texas’ election statutes, including one case that names Paxton as a defendant. This Court can take judicial notice of other litigation alleging retaliatory conduct by Paxton, including firing top assistants for good faith reporting of suspected illegal conduct. See Office of the Attorney General of Texas v. Brinkman, 636 S.W.3d 659, 663-70 (Tex. App.—Austin 2021, pet. denied). Paxton filed the instant a...
Just months earlier, on October 4, 2023, the Executive Director of FIEL testified at trial in LUPE v. Abbott regarding the negative effects of Texas SB1 on FIEL and its members (which afford the organization standing to sue and go to the merits of its claims). Paxton’s request for a temporary and permanent injunction here, including his request to temporarily “halt[] FIEL's operations in toto” and permanently dissolve FIEL’s existence (QW Pet. at 1, 4), seeks either an end-run around the federal court’s jurisdiction to determine the validity of the motion Paxton filed or to try to bootstrap...
Read 4 tweets
Aug 14
Not commenting on the election here, just noting that deporting what some estimate at half of all farmworkers in the country is the kind of thing that will cause grocery prices to go UP, not down.
The estimate I’m referring to is that half of all farmworkers are undocumented immigrants, currently.

Temporary agricultural work visas are nice, but they don’t come even close to filling the demand for labor on US farms/ranches/meatpacking plants.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture. The data is available here:

Data from the Center for Migration Studies shows that contrary many of the responses, most have been here for years, with no path to “fixing their papers” available. ers.usda.gov/topics/farm-ec…
cmsny.org/agricultural-w…



Image
Figure 3 depicts the percent of undocumented agricultural workers in the United States by their year of arrival. Only 8 percent of undocumented agricultural workers currently in the United States entered the country between 1990 and 1995, and 17 percent entered between 1995 and 2000. Nearly half of the undocumented agricultural workforce arrived between 2000 and 2010, having been part of the US economy for more than a decade. Only 30 percent of undocumented agricultural workers arrived in the United States within the past 10 years.
Figure 3. Percent of Undocumented Population of Agricultural Workers, by Year of Arrival    Source: CMS calculations using the American Community Survey (ACS) data, Ruggles et al. (2021)
Read 5 tweets
Aug 11
Let's do a brief fact-checking 🧵 of this section on immigration. I'll start with 4 specific, provably false claims Senator Vance makes about VP Harris' record and the role she played in the Biden admin, each marked below. My count excludes claims which could arguably be opinion.
Image
First, Senator Vance claims VP Harris is "our border czar." As I've been arguing for years, this is simply false. Jon Karl himself pushes back on this, but I want to emphasize again that the role Biden assigned her was a diplomatic role, not a border role.
Second, Senator Vance claims VP Harris "assumed the title" of border czar.

This, again, is simply false. Since the beginning, Harris, the President, the White House, and Secretary Mayorkas have all consistently rejected the title and job description.
Read 10 tweets

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