Pinboard Profile picture
May 5, 2021 16 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Chia storage use is very much on the exponential growth curve right now, and I'm curious when shortages will start being felt in US consumer channels. Image
The total amount of hard drive storage is massive, but the number assigned to retail channels is not, and it is hard to increase. This is doubly true for the high-end SSDs that chia farmers favor for plotting (that is, creating new bingo squares)
What we really need to make the cryptocurrency revolution complete is a popular new coin that requires massive amounts of RAM. Then all components of homemade PCs will be equally unaffordable, and balance will have been restored
Kudos to Bram Cohen and team for inventing a form of Lisp that massively inconveniences anyone who needs to buy a hard drive in the next five years. This is a huge leap forward for Lisp, which for decades had only caused pain to the people who used it
(For those unfamiliar with chia, it has two big resource consuming steps. The process of making new bingo cards requires NVMe SSDs, while the cards are stored on regular hard drives. Bingo card creation is the bottleneck, so the SSDs are the most endangered species of storage)
Cryptocurrency is an ingenious technique for converting concentrated wealth into widespread shortages, ransomware, and carbon dioxide. Whoever figures out how to run it in reverse will have their statue in every public square
Updated chart of Chia disk use, which just crossed 6 exabytes. We're one Elon Musk tweet away from no one being able to afford a high-performance SSD ever again Image
Tom's Hardware has gone into detail on some of the Chia induced price spikes and high-capacity HDD shortages. But the real pain is probably in fast SSDs, since you need those to create the Bram Cohen Bingo™ cards to fill the big hard drives with tomshardware.com/news/analysis-…
The fact that 1/3 of Cohen's new "decentralized" cryptocurrency is already controlled by a Chinese pool that requires users to install custom software is the cherry on top. Of course, they're working on adding more software to re-decentralize. Code is the solution to all problems Image
The appeal of cryptocurrency to a certain class of mind is that it purports to be a technical solution to a social problem: How do you pay strangers without trusting anyone? But it shows that you can't escape social problems with technology, you can only dig yourself in deeper
The attempt reminds me a lot of early attempts to formalize mathematics—that if you could put everything on a basis that you could prove theorems about, and had enough expressive power, you'd eventually get arrive at a "God's eye view" of Truth and Beauty and so on.
The discovery that this is not possible even in principle was a pivotal moment in human thought. There's a similar (if less lofty) principle at play here. Any interaction between people is irredeemably and ineradicably social, no matter how much code you slather on top of it
The problem with cryptocurrency, though, is that it has that false promise. It seduces people who are exceptionally brilliant but (for whatever reason) uncomfortable with the messiness of social interaction and human institutions in general. And it attracts raging sociopaths.
The usual mantra is that technology is amoral, and we twist it to our human ends, for good or bad. But cryptocurrency is a good candidate for tech that is inherently evil. It's an intellectual island of the Lotus Eaters for smart minds, and you can also do lots of crimes with it
Anyway, keep an eye out for Pinboard FunBuxx! You'll want to get in on the ground floor of this one
The internet-mediated diversion of extremely smart people into dead-end basins of thought like hyperintelligence or cryptocurrency is something I post a lot about on this site, rather than making productive use of my time

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Pinboard

Pinboard Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Pinboard

Jan 5
Cryptocurrency and generative AI make roughly the same size claims to being transformative innovations, so it's interesting to see how many interesting things people have already found to do with the latter, while the first has mostly been an expensive tour through human folly
I like thinking of cryptocurrency as "financial string theory", but for the parallel to really work a lot more physicists would need to be in jail
With both crypto and string theory, you have domain experts in thrall to a mathematical apparatus so intellectually satisfying that they get emotionally invested into bringing it into contact with reality. But instead each failed attempt pushes them further out into la-la-land
Read 5 tweets
Dec 21, 2023
Rising from the crypt to talk a little about how pre-wikipedia generations lived. There was a big encyclopedia in the library, but only really rich families would own one. The best that poor kids could hope for was grocery store encyclopedias, bought one volume at a time
Grocery chains really would sell the world's saddest encyclopedia, one slim volume a week, and you felt lucky to have it. Unrestricted access to a full set of the Encyclopedia Britannica is the thing that felt most like having access to the world wide web in the pre-www days.
Naturally when the web came along, we all wondered how encyclopedias would work online, and for a brief while it looked like Microsoft would sell expensive access to a kind of crappy one. And then wikipedia appeared and blew everyone's mind by the fact that it worked
Read 8 tweets
Aug 28, 2023
Early this year I went online after taking too many drugs and ordered a Mongolian yurt. Here is my yurt, and here is my story: Image
The great thing about yurts is you can get high, make a deposit, and forget you bought one for seven months. Then in late July I got email giving me an imminent delivery date and demanding to see a photo of the finished substructure. I tried to bluff them with a quick Lowe's run Image
The yurt company was totally on to me, though. Everyone lies about the substructure. Demands for photo evidence grew insistent, and I found myself having to level heavy things in the desert while getting heatstroke


Image
Image
Image
Image
Read 19 tweets
Jul 28, 2023
This whole thread on large-scale circulation in the Atlantic Ocean is great, but the real showstopper is that global-warming induced breakdown in this flow will result in significant *cooling* for a large chunk of Eurasia, greatly complicating the politics of climate response.
The existing strategy for mitigating climate change is incoherent because:

1. It demands a total restructuring of societies worldwide
2. Most of this burden would fall on developing nations
3. It ignores imminent tipping points that (by definition) there is no coming back from
But with no politically achievable plan for capping (let alone reducing) global emissions, what will happen is we'll run into one of these tipping points, and if that happens to be AMOC collapse, then suddenly a bunch of G7 economies have much less incentive to decarbonize
Read 6 tweets
Mar 2, 2023
Cantonese and Uyghur have since been put back into Signal. But this whole thread shows a troubling level of ignorance from the person in charge of software people are supposed to entrust their lives and freedom to. There's no such language as Traditional Chinese, for starters.
People in Hong Kong speak Cantonese, which is written with traditional Chinese characters but is not legible to nonspeakers. In the past, the CCP's belief that Cantonese is just a wacky subdialect of Mandarin has made it easier for Cantonese speakers to hide in plain sight online
I don't expect Whittaker to know the subtleties of every language Signal supports, but to not understand the basics of how people would use the app in Hong Kong or the Uyghur diaspora this far in to her tenure is pretty appalling.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 28, 2023
Let's see what Google's been up to with their political giving—it's been a while! As a reminder, Google's PAC collects voluntary employee contributions, then gives that money to politicians the company supports. We begin our evening with a nice $5K to the Republican Majority Fund
Krysten Sinema fans on Twiiter will be chagrined to see Google only gave her $3000 (out of a possible $5K), but it's still early days in the 2024 election, plenty of time to top things off later.
On November 18 Google's PAC made the maximum legal donation, $5000, to Mitch McConnell's 2026 re-election campaign.
Read 11 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(