“The IAC Way pairs scrappiness and big ambition with the rational patience of permanent capital.”
Joey Levin is an excellent communicator. Another young CEO in early 40s who can work for shareholders hopefully for decades.
Here are my notes.
2/ “Whatever the relative point of reference: we’re back where we need to be: building”
16% CAGR since 1995 is an awesome track record in the public markets. That’s ~4x of S&P 500 over the same period.
3/ Vimeo
“Vimeo became part of IAC in 2006 through the $26 million acquisition of Connected Ventures, a collection of businesses whose main attraction for IAC was a business called College Humor.”
Incredible story on the early years of Vimeo.
4/ “Nearly every stat we laid out in 2017 to rationalize the strategy shift has doubled and continues to increase”
5/ $ANGI
Fixed price is now ~$250 mn run-rate business (vs $160 mn in 2020). This is probably the most interesting chart on ANGI which shows why the fixed price model is of paramount importance.
See the second image to understand what the chart shows.
6/ ANGI will invest quite heavily on fixed price model.
I like the honesty when Joey said “slightly scary”
Although I’m long, I continue to think ANGI’s success is far from guaranteed, but risk-reward seems lucrative.
7/ I understand and agree with the rationale of focus of one brand: ANGI, but I wonder whether a completely new brand would be a better option here.
If anything, ANGI brand may not have the most positive connotation in the market.
8/ ANGI is going to focus on 2 things: get the job done for the customers, and help the pros to grow their business.
Oisin Hanrahan, ANGI’s new CEO in his 30s, sounds more focused and methodical. It’s a difficult business, so the execution needs to be really top-notch.
9/ ANGI is eyeing on absolute EBITDA dollars, and not trying to protect margins.
10/ ANGI payments is already doing $100 mn run rate. Pros that use payments have much higher retention.
Really strange thing is in many cases Pros are doing customer acquisition for ANGI.
11/ When customers use the app, the data is really mind boggling. They basically do all of their home related jobs via ANGI.
If they can just get this going, oh boy… (again, not an easy business)
12/ Dotdash
It is probably the most exciting business in IAC post-Vimeo spin-off.
“Advertisers now put a premium on high quality, safe content that connects them directly with a contextual user need, and have realized that “promoted content” is neither promoted nor content.”
13/ In post-IDFA world, Dotdash can possibly accelerate its growth.
The setup looks pretty good for them. Expect more investments into content. I endorse.
14/ Care dot com
Care@work is growing 100% YoY. Nothing significant now, but long-term ambition seems much bigger.
15/ “We don't have to buy things at low multiples. We have to buy things where we have a very clear vision for a very large future, and that can exist in any market.”
Preach.
16/ Levin says, Lumber is no $MGM, bro (paraphrasing) 😉
Monthly metrics attached here (second image)
End/ I’ll publish my deep dive on $OTIS Tuesday next week.
another great interview of @danielgross and @natfriedman by @benthompson
Some notes from the interview:
on Japan:
"...We’ve been puzzled by why TSMC’s margins aren’t better for a little while. Why are they not taking more of the margin? And I think you just said it, they’ve been through so many rounds of boom and bust and they’ve outlived a lot of people who made the wrong moves."
...I find a really interesting mispriced thing in the world might be Japan, the entire country.
...if you’re trying to consolidate all your bets on semiconductors, Japan’s a pretty interesting geography, because I think they’re going to have all these components at the end of the day, in basically one single country.
...What I sort of wonder is in a world where, if AI really happens, maybe the 2030s are the decade of Japan, if they really are able to manufacture all of these components that have to get offshore from Taiwan for various reasons."
"Don't bet against Zuck"
On Gemini:
"...not only did they deliver a good model, but they delivered innovation along an axis, a couple orders of magnitude out from what anyone else had delivered so far
...it’s clear that Google has figured something out here, and they have a bit of a secret and we’ve all been looking for clues and poring over the literature to figure out what it is. But this is a real axis of differentiation."
Imagine opening Amazon’s earnings report 5 years from now and what do you think you might hope you paid more attention to? It’s very unlikely to be AWS topline growth rate this (or any) quarter.
If I have to guess, it’s the shipping+ fulfillment costs related developments that you would find more consequential 5 years from now.
I’ll explain why but let’s first take a look at some numbers quickly before going back to that discussion.
3P revenue grew by almost +20%, ads +25%, subscription mid-teen, and 1P MSD+.
AWS, which was the key focus for many, grew by ~12%. More on AWS later; let’s start more segment level discussion with Amazon, ex AWS.
Thread on $META follow-up call and some more thoughts on the quarter
Meta's DAU/MAU is at all-time high. Consumers vote with their time whereas "Intellectual Yet Idiot" class remains busy dissecting "surveillance capitalism"
chart h/t @east_cap
it seems the impact from the war so far has been minimal, and the wider 4Q revenue guide was likely just out of caution.
Meta had a terrific third quarter which makes the after-hours reaction (down ~3%) tad bit surprising, but perhaps understandable given the wider range of scenarios for advertising going forward.
Here are my highlights from tonight’s call.
Since 4Q’19, Meta added 880 Mn Daily Active Users/People (DAU/DAP) to its Family of Apps (FOA) properties.
Given Snap currently has 406 mn DAU, this means Meta added two “Snap” (and then some) in less than four years!!
DAU/MAU engagement looks steady across all regions. Overall DAU/MAU ratio has been inching up for the last seven consecutive quarters.
While Google Service segment did just fine, Google Cloud’s pace of deceleration in topline was a bit disappointing.
Here are my highlights from the call tonight.
After four consecutive quarters of single digit growth, Google returned to double digit growth this quarter.
Both Search and YouTube grew by double digit, but Google cloud’s topline growth came down from ~28% last quarter to 22.5% this quarter.
Google Services maintained mid-30s EBIT margin, but after posting QoQ margin expansion for the last 6 quarters, Google Cloud’s margin declined from 4.9% in 2Q’23 to 3.2% in 3Q’23.