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May 9, 2021 16 tweets 3 min read Read on X
So ....
1. The first wave was launched to trip over the world . It was a disruptive attack. World economies staggered as they were caught unprepared and surprised with its impact. It was centred around US, UK, Europe Brazil, India. Observe Middle East was spared the impact.
2. The second wave came with tailor made mutants. Targeted towards India UK and Brazil. For reasons Brazil has rubbed the Chinaman the wrong way that it is getting the thick end of the stick. There are reasons.
3. The second wave is to make India kneel. Coz it didn't do so in Ladakh and China had to eat crow at Galwan. It is not a usual occurrence for PLA to pull back under pressure. Loss of face in the frigid heights of Ladakh and Galwan was immense. Retaliation was coming.
4.on the Indian side the push for an indigenous vaccine was a master stroke. And the willingness to support other countries with the vaccine. But observe the drumbeat of naysayers who condemned this initiative and called out Govt financing of Pvt vaccine firms.
5. The SII CEO fled the country coz possibly he felt physically threatened. Have you observed this behaviour in any other country. Vaccine is critical ammunition in this war against COVID. Millions of lives are at stake. What are the motivations.
6. Second wave was anticipated. Hence funds for oxygen plants which are critical had been catered for and released. This is where the steel frame let the ball slip out of its hands. They could not implement the intent of leadership.
You can't be gallivanting in 6 month tender process etc when the enemy is at the gates. Critical decisions to waiver red tape were possibly not taken. O2 plants were not established and a crises happened. Ditto for enhancing bed capability . Heads must roll when we take stock.
You can't be a holding an appointment without being accountable for your failure to act when the situation demands.
7. Why India?. Coz beyond Europe n US if there is a lynchpin that upholds the challenge to China, its India.
8. If India Keels over beyond the western nations China will rule the roost. All will bow down or already are in the process of paying homage. India is key. It has the capability to emerge as an optional manufacturing hub to china. The 'Atam Nirbhar' initiative is a strategic mov
This initiative, once rolling has the potential to pull the rug from under China's feet. India and it's navy counts majorly indian ocean and Bay of Bengal. The Andamans cap the Nine dash line initiative of China. Till Andamans hold strong China remains vulnerable and hemmed in.
9. In the QUAD India is key along with US. If Quad matures as it should it will be the NATO of the East, and other threatened nations will join once reassured that Quad offers security just as NATI offers. Hence the Chinese sensitivity to India in particular joining QUAD. Savvy?
10. China's vulnerabilities lie in Tibet and Xinjiang. And these India can exploit. If QUAD was to step into Afganistan with India positioning a strike corps there, china's goose will be cooked. Observe the drumbeat of naysayers to Indian armed forces positioning in AF.
11. If the chinaman senses that you are weak, dithering, hesitating to bite the bullet, he will release the third, the fourth and whatever at you till you kneel. Once you kneel, the Middle Kingdom will dictate terms and extract ' chouth'. The country will be rendered asunder
12. this is a key moment. Do we give battle to the Huns or do we cave in. Do we grid our swords. We do have a tradition of Mir Jaffers. Plassey would have bee n a different story and so would have our history to date. have we learnt civilisational lessons. Or does history repeat
12. Time to follow the warriors path. As late Gen Hanut Singhji used to say " It is easy to walk down hill. It is the warrior who turns around and chooses to walk uphill even if it is a tougher option." It is the warriors path.
Let's choose the warriors path and shape history.

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More from @rathorekaran17

Dec 19, 2023
Good analysis. Gen Sagat carried a double pincer towards Dacca. He had made up his mind in the initial stages itself as to what his terminal objective would be.
In the initial border clashes with prepared border defences in Nov 71, he sensed that if he proceeds with axis
clearance ops, as what 33 and 2 corps did then he would get stuck in those ops. Taking a cue from his past experience of Goa ops, he decided to bypass prepared defences and turn the enemy defensive system with a deep turning move which culminated on Dacca, rendering the enemy
defences redundant and has a numbing effect on the Paki commanders mind leading to their capitulation.
And then the rest moved in trying to garner kudos, tom tomming their achievements and laying claim to this huge victory. Gen Sagat simply stood aside and watched.
Read 9 tweets
Apr 17, 2023
This red herring of transporting troops by air in J&K sect. Here we are not talking of a few hundred soldiers as a one time or occasional move but a standard SOP of moving Tps into and out of CI zone on aircraft to ensure security and safety.
A few points
1. We are talking of transporting a huge number of troops in this sector. Entire Northern command is deployed here with over a lakh soldiers and more if we were to add the RR forces. Further add the CAPFs. Moving such a quantum of troops and their logistics by air is not possible
2. Any military force moving along a route should be able to ensure its own security. In the case of convoy movement at Pulwama, there were it appears lapses by the road opening parties. That's how a bomb laden vehicle could get in the convoy. And blow up a bus.
Read 10 tweets
Jun 15, 2022
1 It’s a path breaking scheme. An out of the box solution to host of capital funding issues and HR issues of the armed forces.
2. In present enrolment sys there is no assessment of future ability, capability or attitude of personnel being enrolled. There is no psychological test
Therefore once selected with some exceptions most promotions are by quantum of service put in. At times it extends to Jco rank too. This affects the quality of NCOs and JCOs. The 25% selection system in Agnipath will address this weakness and our NCO and later on JCO Cadre will
Be of a higher caliber. That is a desirable end.

3. In any case a certain % of soldiers even in the present scheme are below 5 years service so to that extent the Agniveer performance will be similar and at par. Young soldiers below 5 years are not sent on any trading courses
Read 10 tweets
Dec 7, 2021
#Nagaland
1. A most unfortunate incident occurred in Mon Distt of Nagaland leading to death of 13 civs at the hands of our SFs.
2. The op was launched based on confirmed int input. Obviously something seems to have gone wrong. Enquiries will clarify the situation.
3. What was most disturbing was the crescendo of condemnation of the Army and a demand for imdt removal of AFSPA. People used such terms as ' cold blooded murder' and 'murderers'.
4. Not very long back CO of an AR Bn was killed in an ambush in neighbouring Manipur.
Don't recollect the term 'cold blooded murder' being used against the terrorists by this same gentry. At best they condemned it or remained quiet.
5. Point is why in the first place is the army operating in Nagaland.
Read 10 tweets
Dec 5, 2021
Ref the video. At times we are quick off the starter block and come to conclusions based on a short video that may be 'short' on delivery quality as per our bench marks.
But I've also seen in service, glib talkers who could potentially sell you the moon.
They could write voluminous papers that would be the envy of any 'Think Tank'. However when the shit hit the ceiling and the Chinaman walked across the LAC or Mumbai Taj was attacked, these talkers froze. They failed to bite the bullet and carry the flag forward.
They were quick to offer excuses and apportion blame ( onto subordinates of course!)
Such persons are often seen on TV putting in their glib bit. They have mastered the art of media interaction and maintain a strong visible presence on SM platforms.
Read 6 tweets
Aug 11, 2021
#Afghanistan timeline.
1. US had well in advance announced that it would be pulling out of AF and a specific timeline was given out.
2. Chinese PLA initiates intrusion in Ladakh sect in strength. Expectedly, IA responds in a similar manner to counter the intrusion.
3. Indian commitment of forces in Ladakh, draws away the reserves available in NC and also some fmns from the plains to counter PLA.
4. At this point Pak offers ceasefire along LOC and possibly non interference in J&K matters. India readily accepts the offer.
5. The stage is now set for pak supported Taliban intervention in AF in strength. Pak Eastern Front (LOC and IB) is secure from Indian interference and Pak army can now focus entirely on the AF front.
Read 9 tweets

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