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May 16, 2021 40 tweets 36 min read Read on X
Continuing with our Q4 and FY21 results coverage.

𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫 𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐞𝐱𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐬: In this thread, we will highlight select extracts from company presentations that we found interesting.
PS: None of it is an investment advice.
#Q4withMultipie
1/n
1. L&T Infotech: Between 2019 and 2021, LTI has deepened its' capabilities and offerings into top tier of partners across key platforms such as AWS, Google Cloud, IBM, Services Now and Snowflake.
#Q4withMultipie

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/LTI_…
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2. Supreme Industries: Supreme has market leadership (or among Top 3) in each of its segments - Plastic piping, furniture, packaging and industrial products.

Both P&L and Balance sheet look stronger at FY21 end as highlighted.
#Q4withMultipie

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/SUPR…

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3. Matrimony.com: Overview of the Indian matchmaking opportunity size.
👫1.1-1.3 crore weddings per year
👫6% online matchmaking = 6.6-7.8 lks per year

👫Matrimony saw 20% jump in paid subscriptions in FY21 to 8.4 lks
#Q4withMultipie
Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/MATR…

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4. Saregama: Apart from improvement in financials (highlighted), we find the growth in licensing revenue interesting.
#Q4withMultipie

Good thread on music streaming:


Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/SARE…

5/n ImageImage
5. Lodha/ Macrotech Developers:

The presentation makes a case for start of a real estate upcycle, along with consolidation towards Tier I players due to inability of Tier II players to sell.
#Q4withMultipie

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/LODH…

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6. HDFC Limited:

Interesting slide that argues that while nominal mortgage rates are pretty low at 6.75%, effective interest rate on a Home Loan is as low as 3.1% after factoring current tax incentives.
#Q4withMultipie

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/HDFC…

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7. Apollo Tyres:

Significant expansion in rural outlets (including sub-dealers) in FY21 - over 4x from 1,350 to 5,800.
#Q4withMultipie

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/APOL…

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8. Jindal Steel and Power:

Planned expansion of steel capacity by 66% and pellet capacity by 133% over next 4 years (by FY25E).
#Q4withMultipie

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/JIND…

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9. Avadh Sugar:

Details of structural changes in Ethanol that is expected to drive profitability for sugar players. Government target of 20% Ethanol blending by 2025 to resolve problem of excess sugar production.
#Q4withMultipie

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/AVAD…

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10. Sonata Software:

🧑‍💻Proprietary Platformation approach at Sonata.
🧑‍💻Details on long time partnership with Microsoft (over 25 years), which contributes over 45% of its IT services revenues.
#Q4withMultipie

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/SONA…

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11. UPL:

🌱Demonstrated track record of profitable growth in last 5 years (Revenue CAGR: 21%, EBITDA CAGR: 26%) along with deleveraging of B/S in last 2 years.
🌱UPL's capabilities and pipeline/ outlook on OpenAg innovation

#Q4withMultipie

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/UPL_…

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12. Prince Pipes:

🧑‍🏭Good financial traction with steady revenue growth (Q4FY21/ FY21: 77%/27% yoy) along expansion of EBITDA margins by ~6%
🧑‍🏭Improvement in WC days from 58 to 36 days, mainly due to lower inventory

#Q4withMultipie

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/PRIN…

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13. Aarti Drugs:

💊 Recommended presentation to learn pharma basics
💊 Details of Pharma PLI scheme with INR 15,000 crore of incentives over next 6 years
💊 Aarti 2.0: INR 600 cr Capex, ~INR 4,200-4500 cr revenue potential
#Q4withMultipie

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/AART…

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14. Butterfly Gandhimathi - Liked this presentation

🦋Into kitchen appliances, cooker/ware, misc home appliances
🦋Shift towards branded sales; no B2G business since last 4 years
🦋Prominent improvement in WC+ Debt reduction
🦋New launches

Link: archives.nseindia.com/corporate/BUTT…

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15. Firstsource Solutions

💻ROCE 🔼 by 5.3%, but stagnant ROE
💻ROCE 🔼= Good op. results + debt 🔽in FY21
💻ROE flat = One time P&L charge of 110 cr
💻Op. metrics: Traction in Banking & FS; higher offshoring
💻Revenue/ employee is flattish

Link: mk0firstsourcecw8t7d.kinstacdn.com/wp-content/upl…

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16. IIFL Wealth: 👍

💰Focus on advisory/ ARR model (fees) over distributor (transactional). Higher repeat rev. & sticky
💰Good🔼in ARR AUM (up 63% vs 32% overall)
💰ARR share: FY16/20/21 = 33%/40%/49%
💰Strong guidance on ROE (12% to 19%) & PAT

Link
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/IIFL…
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17. Heritage Foods: Promising

🐄Strengthening Bal. Sheet (comments in Image 1)
🐄Improving OCF & WC; financial metrics (Image 2)
🐄Due to focus on high margin Value Added prod.
🐄Focus on technology (Heritage TUCH) & omni-channel supply chain

Link
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/HERI…
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18. Cosmo Films: On fast pedal

📦Strong guidance by mgmt.
📦Details on India & Global BOPP industry. Indian BOPP industry growth 2x of GDP.
📦Focus on increasing specialized business to 80%
📦De-commoditized model -->Higher return metrics

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/COSM…

19/n ImageImage
19. Acrysil:

🏠Good FY21: Revenue 🔼13%, but RM cost ↔️ = Margin expansion
🏠~57% Gross Margins - among Top tier
🏠Export focused (~80%); domestic traction in Carysil
🏠IKEA (Switz) partnership - dispatches start in Mar 21; Capacity expansion

Link: archives.nseindia.com/corporate/ACRY…
20/n ImageImageImage
20. Dr. Lal Pathlabs:

💉Q4FY21: Revenue growth of 27% in non-Covid biz is impressive (patient volume gr. of 33% to 59 lakhs)
💉FY21 EPS of 35.3; trades at 80X FY21
💉Genevolve: Genomics division focused on Genetic testing - interesting

Link: archives.nseindia.com/corporate/LALP…
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21. Meghmani: Demerger play

🧪Guidance of 34% revenue growth over FY21-24 vs 21% in last 5 yrs
🧪Focus on higher margin derivatives (H2O2, CMS, ECM, CPVC). Rev. share 26 --> 56%
🧪Capacity expansion
🧪Demerger focus to unlock Derivatives business
Link: archives.nseindia.com/corporate/LALP… ImageImage
Correct link for Meghmani:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/MEGH…
22. SBI: The worst is behind

🏦NPA: Incremental slippages low at 1.18%; 88% PCR provides cushion against shocks
🏦Key indicators - Stable + improving
🏦Digital & YONO (Slide 38 to 42): This is SBI's edge! 40K home loan leads; 1 Mn A/L products

Link: sbi.co.in/documents/1783…
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23. Grasim - "In the works" (Capex 🔼, Debt🔽)

🧥 Viscose - "Green" fibre for textiles looks promising
🧥 Balance sheet - Visible improvement; standlone/ consol debt repayment of INR 2084/12050 cr in FY21
🧥Planned capex of ~2600 cr in FY22

Link: archives.nseindia.com/corporate/GRAS…
24/n ImageImageImage
24. Tata Power - Green Future

⚡️ESG & green energy is top focus (Slides 5-11); exited non-ESG biz such as Defense
⚡️Largest Solar EPC company; Good offtake in Solar EPC in FY21
⚡️Solar pumps: Big opportunity with GoI (Kusum)
⚡️Distribution 4x

Link: tatapower.com/pdf/investor-r…
25/n ImageImageImageImage
25. Polymed - Leading player in Medical devices 🌞

🔬Overview of industry and outlay under PLI scheme
🔬Vision 2025: Transform from devices maker to solution provider
🔬INR 400 cr QIP in 2021 from prominent investors - to aid capex plan

Link: archives.nseindia.com/corporate/POLY…

26/n ImageImageImageImage
26. Newgen Software - Transitioning into a SAAS player

✍️Focus on low code/ no code automation
✍️Annuity (repeat) revenue now 57% of mix
✍️83% yoy growth in EBITDA (FY21 vs FY20)
✍️Q4 - Received patent for "Image Processing System"

Link: archives.nseindia.com/corporate/NEWG…

27/n ImageImageImageImage
27. Polyplex - Leader in plastic packaging

📦#1 BOPET film producer in SEA
📦22% EBITDA margins in Q4 vs 26% for FY21
📦Export freight rate pressure to remain in 2021
📦High capacity utilization leading to expansion
📦Talks of promoter exit

Link: archives.nseindia.com/corporate/POLY…

28/n ImageImageImage
28. Goldiam - Another Vaibhav Global?

💎Transitioning from Brick & mortar to e-com omni-channel = Working capital optimisation
💎Debt free; Cash of 310 Cr
💎Focus on Lab grown diamonds market (expected to be 10% of market by 2030 vs 3% now)

Link: archives.nseindia.com/corporate/GOLD…

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29. Godavari Power & Ispat - FY21 best year ever

💡Bumper year - strong operating & financial metrics, cash flows & debt reduction
💡Green focus: Replacing thermal with 250 MW captive Solar PV power plant
💡Captive mining gives strategic edge

Link: archives.nseindia.com/corporate/GPIL…

30/n ImageImageImageImage
30. Burger King - Not healthy

🍔QSR industry to grow at 23% CAGR (FY21-25)
🍔Aggressive expansion plans (265 to 700 stores by 2026)
🍔Store economics not in place; restaurant EBITDA of -2.1%
🍔Weak SSSG across FY21 - negative in Q4 as well

Link: archives.nseindia.com/corporate/BURG…

31/n ImageImageImageImage
31. J. Kumar Infraprojects

🏗️Slide on Mumbai metro line project depicts the state of Mumbai - underground construction has been slow, but elevated construction in works
🏗️Good traction in flyover work
🏗️Turned Net debt -ive in FY21; WC issues

Link: archives.nseindia.com/corporate/JKIL…

32/n Image
32. Precision Camshaft - Interesting

🚚Acquired MFT and EMOSS in 2018 - fully integrated now
🚚EMOSS (e-mobility) business - Loss making currently, but outlook is promising - integrated electric powertrains for trucks, buses, etc

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/PREC…
33/n ImageImageImage
33. Solar Industries - Explosive

💣Significant increase in rate of explosives (25% yoy)
💣Increase in last 2 quarters has aided sales & margin expansion
💣Rate increase due to increasing share of EXPORTS in revenue mix (high margin)

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/SOLA…
34/n Image
34. Jamna Auto - "Spring" effect in Q4

♨️4 point financial & op. strategy - 33% target; on path; expect ROE 🔼
♨️11 plants (3 new) at strategic locations close to CV OEMs; new plants for Tata M, Ashok, Force
♨️Strong Q4 with margin expansion

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/JAMN…
35/n ImageImageImage
35. Marksans Pharma - Underrated

💊Good detailed presentation
💊Key therapy focus: Pain mgmt (growth driver), anti-diabetic, CVS (OTC & prescription)
💊Strong FY21 with consistent improvement
💊Focus on regulated markets (US, UK, Aus, etc)

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/MARK…
36/n ImageImageImage
36. Affle -

📲 Mobile spend in India expected to grow 3x faster than global (32.4% vs 11.3%)
📲 Cash flow 35% CAGR amongst best in India Tech; 99% OCF/ PAT
📲 Strong user conversion (5.5/10.5 cr in FY19/ FY21); key revenue driver (+ive)

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/AFFL…
37/n ImageImage
37. Dilip Buildcon - B2G Infra play

🛣️Highest ever orderbook
🛣️Diversified in last 3 yrs - Roads (87-->52%); Irrigation & Mining (32%)
🛣️Improving WC (104 to 82 days in Q4); D/E🔽
🛣️Timely completion of projects
🛣️To divest HAM proj. (2000 cr)

Link:
archives.nseindia.com/corporate/DBL_…
38/n ImageImageImageImage
38. Camlin Fine Sciences: Watch out

🧪Fwd integration of business model from food ingredients to high value food additives
🧪Dahej plant utilisation to🔼from 65% to 90% by Sep-21. Expected to🔼margins by 3-4%
🧪PL expects 70% PAT CAGR till FY23

Link
bseindia.com/xml-data/corpf…
39/n ImageImageImageImage

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Nov 28, 2022
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Read 5 tweets
Jul 12, 2022
We looked at every company with promoter buying for the period from April 1st to June 30th (Q1 FY23).

A thread.

Please like and retweet to help more investors

1/n Total 178 names - Part 1 of top 64 here 👇
2/n
Total 178 names - Part 2 of top 64 buying here 👇

Note: Top promoter selling at the end of the thread
3/n
Sectors that saw the highest level of promoter buying:
1. Cements (mainly) and metals
2. Chemicals and API
3. Auto and auto components
4. Capital Goods
5. Financials
Read 15 tweets
Jul 2, 2022
As Philip Fisher said: Getting a reality check directly from people associated with co. gives us "much deeper" insights☝️v/s just reading reports & financials

Here's a🧵on Scuttlebutt insights on 6 key industries:
FMCG (ITC, Emami), Cigarette, Cement, BFSI, Textile & Paint

1/n
Industry 1) FMCG
↪️ ITC is making new highs & now everyone’s fav stock🙂Wondering what changed? This:

Packaged food seg. doing well:
- Aashirvaad saw healthy growth with ~4% price hike
- Yippee gained market share from Maggi🏆
- Biscuit & bingo: Decent performance

2/n
@dmuthuk
↪️ Emami & Zydus wellness:

- Rural demand remains weak
- Poor traction in summer products & Balm portfolio

Still, there's a sign of relief among dealers in this segment till the time Jiomart doesn’t enter this space

3/n
Read 15 tweets
Mar 23, 2022
Stock charts performing Yoga asanas. A thread 🧵
1. Tata Teleservices is doing Parvatasana ⛰️
2. Yes Bank is doing Halasana.
Read 17 tweets
Mar 13, 2022
Russia controls ~17% of Nickel’s total supply & obviously with that amount of supply going out of system, one would assume prices to rise

But someone expected prices to fall!

A🧵on how the 2.3x surge in Nickel prices was triggered by a short trade & not due to supply crunch
What happened exactly?

A Chinese tycoon "Xiang Guangda" who owns the Tsingshan Group, the largest nickel mining group in China had placed huge short bets on London Metal Exchange (LME), expecting the nickel prices would fall.

We wonder why he held that view👀

1/n
This bet went horribly wrong when Russia banned commodity exports & Nickel prices started surging
To cover a big short position, someone had to buy equivalent long positions.

This created a short squeeze & Nickel reached $1lakh/ton & inturn led to notional loss of $8 Bn+!😱
2/n
Read 8 tweets

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