I've been out on vacation for a few days so haven't posted this daily chart, but now that I'm back, time to talk about a not-so-good week the Biden administration is having.
After two straight weeks of progress, the number of kids in custody has unexpectedly hit a plateau.
One of the reasons this week hasn't seen a plateau is that there are a few hundred more unaccompanied children coming to the border this week compared to last week. But that could easily be normal variance and the trendline is still good.
The real concern is releases from ORR custody to sponsors. Last week was the first week since the Biden administration began reporting daily numbers that we saw the average number of children released to sponsors go *down.* And this week is on track for another drop!
The combination of falling numbers of releases to sponsors and (as of this week) a small increase in unaccompanied children coming to the border means that the trendline on net changes in children in custody has been going in the wrong direction for a few days.
All of this could easily be a few day speed bump and we could see numbers start going back down again within the next week or so.
This isn't the first time we've seen a speed bump in this process either. So this could easily be normal variance.
This week shows that the Biden administration's response to unaccompanied children is still quite fragile. Lots of successes but we're not out of the woods.
To end this thread with some good news, we're about to drop below 20,000 kids in custody for the first time since April 6.
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🚨HUGE moment. ICE leadership is being purged tonight. The old guard, which prioritized targeted enforcement operations aimed at people with criminal records, is being replaced with Border Patrol and Greg Bovino's "Midway Blitz" style.
The first to report on the purge tonight was @Anna_Giaritelli. ICE's leadership is going to be heavily replaced/augmented with Border Patrol leadership.
These are different agencies with different missions and different tactics. It will be chaotic.
@Anna_Giaritelli NBC news reports that the person making all these decisions is not Secretary Noem; it's Corey Lewandowski, who is still a "special government employee" (and by many reports sleeping with Noem and running the agency while she does mostly TV), as well as Gregory Bovino himself.
Hey @DHSGov: if you want me and other nonpartisan experts to trust your numbers, publish the data! The moment you took office you STOPPED publishing monthly data on immigration enforcement.
There hasn't been a single normal ICE arrest data release since inauguration!
I'll also add that if you'd bothered to even read the second post in my thread, I *explicitly acknowledged* that the Trump admin is likely to break records.
That said: do you deny that the 515,000 number includes CBP administrative returns at airports?
🚨This is FALSE. The characterization of this report is MADE UP. The Texas investigation found 2,274 “potential noncitizens” on the voter rolls out of over 18 million (0.01%).
AT NO POINT does the investigation say any of these “potential noncitizens” are “illegal immigrants.”
We know from MANY such audits in the past that people flagged in this situation as “potential noncitizens” usually ARE U.S. citizens, but got flagged b/c of a data error.
For example, last year Alabama claimed to have found 3,251 noncitizens on the voting roll — which was false!
This makes NO SENSE. A 13-year-old was arrested by local police for unknown reasons, and then turned over to ICE, which is detaining him far away from his mother — who is going through immigration court, has an asylum application on file, and is legally authorized to work.
Important context from @TriciaOhio that I'm posting in the interest of fairness. I do not automatically trust it given that she has made multiple inaccurate claims in the past (including even yesterday). IF true, it would at least provide an explanation.
@TriciaOhio To be clear, absolutely none of that information is included in public reporting on this story and the Everett Police Department did not give any statement to the Boston Globe about the initial arrest. Tricia is the the first person to ever give this info.
UPDATE: Judge Perry’s opinion blocking the Texas National Guard deployment in Chicago is out!
She begins with Alexander Hamilton’s rejection of a “preposterous” idea that the Constitution lets a President deploy a State’s militia to a different State for political retribution.
Judge Perry spends four pages going over the history of the debates around the Constitution as to the proper relationship of the President to a state militia, especially after overthrowing the British, who had maintained standing armies in the colonies against their wishes.
The Trump admin says Trump is authorized to deploy the Texas National Guard to Chicago under the specific law below. They say there is:
- (2) a rebellion or danger of a rebellion against the authority of US
- (3) the President is “unable with regular forces to execute the laws.”
Stephen Miller has now declared this Trump-appointed judge an insurrectionist.
To emphasize, the judge painstakingly examined all the protest happening in Portland before Trump activated the Guard. She noted that there hadn't been any violence at a protest since mid-July.
Here's how Judge Immergut summarized the last two and a half months of protests at the ICE facility in Portland; they "generally were limited to fewer than 30 people and were 'largely sedate.'"
Stephen Miller's efforts to claim insurrection in this decision is pure propaganda.
Here are the FOUR incidents the Trump admin said justified federalizing the Guard.
- Some protesters displayed a makeshift guillotine.
- A picture of an unmarked ICE vehicle was posted online.
- Protesters twice shined high-power flashlights at ICE officers' faces.