I've been out on vacation for a few days so haven't posted this daily chart, but now that I'm back, time to talk about a not-so-good week the Biden administration is having.
After two straight weeks of progress, the number of kids in custody has unexpectedly hit a plateau.
One of the reasons this week hasn't seen a plateau is that there are a few hundred more unaccompanied children coming to the border this week compared to last week. But that could easily be normal variance and the trendline is still good.
The real concern is releases from ORR custody to sponsors. Last week was the first week since the Biden administration began reporting daily numbers that we saw the average number of children released to sponsors go *down.* And this week is on track for another drop!
The combination of falling numbers of releases to sponsors and (as of this week) a small increase in unaccompanied children coming to the border means that the trendline on net changes in children in custody has been going in the wrong direction for a few days.
All of this could easily be a few day speed bump and we could see numbers start going back down again within the next week or so.
This isn't the first time we've seen a speed bump in this process either. So this could easily be normal variance.
This week shows that the Biden administration's response to unaccompanied children is still quite fragile. Lots of successes but we're not out of the woods.
To end this thread with some good news, we're about to drop below 20,000 kids in custody for the first time since April 6.
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THREAD: Judge Ellis is the first federal judge to review extensive body cam video of DHS's actions in Chicago. She finds that DHS *repeatedly* misled the public and made claims that were disproven by agents' own videos.
I'll go through some of the most egregious ones here.
On October 28, @DHSGov claimed that days earlier "rioters" had "shot at agents with commercial artillery shell fireworks," thus forcing agents to deploy tear gas and riot munitions.
Judge Ellis reviewed the video. This was completely false. The explosions were DHS's flashbangs!
@DHSgov DHS claimed that agents were forced to use riot munitions to disperse an "unruly mob" on Sept. 19.
In fact, "the scene [was] quiet," and then "almost immediately and without warning, agents lob flashbang grenades, tear gas, and pepper balls, stating 'fuck yea!' as they do so."
Rep. Jayapal is correct -- it is not a crime to be undocumented. Here's the Supreme Court saying as much.
Plus, less than 10% of the undocumented population has a removal order, and would only be chargeable if they had willfully disobeyed it, and many don't know they have one.
As for 8 USC 1325, illegal entry applies only to the undocumented population that crossed illegally, meaning visa overstays or people who came via humanitarian parole commit no crime -- and the statute of limitations is 5 years, so most people couldn't even be criminally charged.
Two things can be true at once:
1. It is not a crime to be undocumented, as the Supreme Court itself has noted. 2. A subset of the undocumented population (far less than half) is theoretically criminally chargeable for specific immigration violations.
🧵Today a federal judge is looking into horrific conditions inside ICE holding cells in Chicago, which until January were for stays under 12 hours absent exceptional circumstances.
People are now held for days — and ICE uses the threat of longer stays to get deportation orders.
The excerpts I'm posting are taken from over a dozen sworn declarations submitted in a lawsuit seeking to force ICE to improve conditions. I'll link to the docket at the end of the thread.
One thing comes through clearly in these declarations: the cells are FILTHY.
Multiple immigrants detained at the facility say ICE officer demanded that they sign deportation paperwork, refused to let them talk to lawyers, and threatened them when they wouldn't sign documents in English that they couldn't read.
🚨HUGE moment. ICE leadership is being purged tonight. The old guard, which prioritized targeted enforcement operations aimed at people with criminal records, is being replaced with Border Patrol and Greg Bovino's "Midway Blitz" style.
The first to report on the purge tonight was @Anna_Giaritelli. ICE's leadership is going to be heavily replaced/augmented with Border Patrol leadership.
These are different agencies with different missions and different tactics. It will be chaotic.
@Anna_Giaritelli NBC news reports that the person making all these decisions is not Secretary Noem; it's Corey Lewandowski, who is still a "special government employee" (and by many reports sleeping with Noem and running the agency while she does mostly TV), as well as Gregory Bovino himself.
Hey @DHSGov: if you want me and other nonpartisan experts to trust your numbers, publish the data! The moment you took office you STOPPED publishing monthly data on immigration enforcement.
There hasn't been a single normal ICE arrest data release since inauguration!
I'll also add that if you'd bothered to even read the second post in my thread, I *explicitly acknowledged* that the Trump admin is likely to break records.
That said: do you deny that the 515,000 number includes CBP administrative returns at airports?
🚨This is FALSE. The characterization of this report is MADE UP. The Texas investigation found 2,274 “potential noncitizens” on the voter rolls out of over 18 million (0.01%).
AT NO POINT does the investigation say any of these “potential noncitizens” are “illegal immigrants.”
We know from MANY such audits in the past that people flagged in this situation as “potential noncitizens” usually ARE U.S. citizens, but got flagged b/c of a data error.
For example, last year Alabama claimed to have found 3,251 noncitizens on the voting roll — which was false!