1/ Meanwhile, @cdcgov and the public health experts insist that post-vaccine myocarditis cases in young people are occurring at normal background rates. THIS IS FALSE. I normally give myself wriggle room, but the data are unequivocal. THEY ARE NOT TELLING THE TRUTH...
2/ The best data we have come from Connecticut, where 18 cases were reported as of May 24 - all of whom were hospitalized. The state called them 16-34, but the hospitals reported them as under 30. Connecticut reported ~240,000 fully vaccinated people under 30 as of May 19...
3/ If 1/2 of the vaccinated were men (who are far more likely to get this), that’s a rate of 1 in 6700 men.

Now, you can play with the numbers to get the ratio down as low as 1 in 5,000 or as high as 1 in 15,000 if you like, but even 1 in 15K is far worse than background rate...
4/ Finding good numbers is hard, but this peer-reviewed 2004 paper (which looked at myocarditis in soldiers following a smallpox vaccine), reports a background rate of 2.2 cases per month per 100,000 soldiers. The Connecticut rate is SEVEN TIMES that...
5/ Yesterday reports out of Israel put the number even higher. Israel is worried enough it is now considering giving teens only the first dose of the @pfizer shot.

Or - given the infinitesimal risk healthy teens face from the ro - how about no doses? Would no doses work for you?

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More from @AlexBerenson

26 May
1/ #Covid vaccine fanatics don’t want you to worry about post-vax heart infections in teens and young men.

The myocarditis cases are “mild,” @NBCNews says.

Weirdly, that’s not how they described myocarditis last year, when it was (largely falsely) linked to #Covid itself...
2/ Back then, myocarditis was very serious. It even could lead to sudden death. Just ask @nbcnews.

Spoiler alert: they were telling the truth then. They’re lying now...
3/ “Children diagnosed with myocarditis have only a 60% likelihood of transplantation-free survival at 10 years.” (That’s heart transplants; children is under 18.)

For adults, myocarditis results in heart transplants in 1-8% of cases.

So, yeah, mild.
Read 4 tweets
20 May
1/ The #Covid vaccine push is just about over in the United States. First doses are down 70% from the April peak, to the lowest levels since mid-January - and that includes a temporary bump last week from the hideous decision to allow 12-15 year-olds to get the shot.
2/ The plunge comes despite an incredibly aggressive and expensive marketing and promotional campaign. At this point the public health folks have to see they are pushing on a string. They have only three choices...
3/ Coercion. Mandatory vaccinations are out but they can try to get schools and businesses to do the dirty work. Most companies don’t seem to want to play along, but schools have been more willing...

Accepting current levels and declaring victory....
Read 5 tweets
14 May
It is absurd for the Times to blame the “economic and physical strain” of the virus (which actually means lockdowns) for the increase in shootings.

A) Employers are DESPERATE to hire right now. Anyone who wants a job can have one...
B) The federal government has pumped so much money into the economy in the last year that many if not most working-class households are in better shape than they were (as are the rich). Only small business owners have gotten crushed...
C) The increase in murders is national, in states that locked down hard and had more job losses last year and in states that didn’t. An eye test suggests the biggest increases and/or highest overall rates are in cities that have recently elected ultra-progressive prosecutors...
Read 4 tweets
12 May
1/ @cdcgov @us_fda and @generaldynamics appear to be adding @jnjnews side effect reports into the VAERS database as quickly as possible -

While delaying the publication of reports about the @pfizer @moderna_tx vaccines.

The proof is in the data.
2/ We know VAERS has a backlog and that the number of reports in the system has risen hugely in the last three weeks.

But what is not clear until you parse the data BY VACCINE MANUFACTURER is that nearly all the reports from April are related to the JNJ vaccine.
3/ Right now, the system contains 27,769 reports completed in April. 20,125 of those - about 75% - are for the JNJ vaccine.

Only 3,193 are for @moderna_tx and 4,309 for @pfizer - even though those vaccines were given FAR more frequently than the JNJ shot.
Read 5 tweets
10 May
1/ Many questions of late from parents and college students worried about mandatory or quasi-mandatory vaccinations - including why they can be mandated if they are not fully approved, and why having antibodies doesn't provide an exemption.

These are great questions...
2/ I don't fully understand how an unapproved medical product can be required, but so many colleges have done so they must have at least some legal guidance suggesting they can. Maybe a parent or student will sue and force the issue; as far as I know that has not happened yet.
3/ As for the antibodies, the colleges are behaving no differently - i.e. just as ridiculously - as anyone else. Most studies now suggest both that vaccine and natural immunity are roughly equivalent (in the short term, we'll see about longer term, natural may have the edge)...
Read 5 tweets
10 May
1/ Meanwhile, get ready for this stunner: the US may already be beginning to see a post-Covid wave of LOW overall deaths (because so many people who died of #Covid were so sick they would have died within months).

I don’t think we can be sure yet, but the evidence is suggestive:
2/ The green bars represent NON-Covid deaths reported to @cdcgov by week. The data takes several weeks to mature, so let’s look at March 13 - eight weeks ago. 54,032 non-Covid deaths, down 4,800 (8%) compared to the same week in 2019 and about 6% from 2018 and 2017...
3/ The true gap is slightly larger since deaths "should" rise 1% each year as the population grows and ages. On the other hand, overall deaths including Covid are still above normal - we won't really know this is happening unless it remains true with Covid deaths close to zero...
Read 4 tweets

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