Thread on "Reading the Tape" / Level 2 / Time and Sales
The Fintwit community often talks about trading purely off the tape, but no one really explains what that means because it varies for everyone and is tough to put into words. Hence, I thought I'd explain some key things I look for when trading off of it
I don't know where to start, so I'll just mention points that come to mind in no particular order
1. Bid shoving. A lot of FURUS will hit random tickers with a market slap and then put a huge limit on the bid side and proceed to walk it up in cents, moving up the bid price while simultaneously taking out the ask until the ticker hits scanners and attracts fomo chasers to slap
Once those fomo chasers slap, it pings even more on scanners and attracts more slaps and then when enough attention is on it, they'll yank that massive bid people think is interested in the stock or is 'bid support' and market sell on them
2. Bid/Ask Flashing. Sometimes you'll see a huge bid or ask that shows up on lvl 2 that is put to frighten the other side into giving up on their long/short, and right before it tests the price, they'll yank it
They often do this when they don't want the price to rip that way or someone needs to accumulate. They do this because trader psychology would tell you not to add if you see a big size or sell out of fear. So long as you don't see the ask constantly moving down, it's a good sign
3. Hidden buyers/sellers. Certain people (MMs) can hide their buy/sells on the level 2, but it'll show on the time and sales. If you see a stock stuck at a price, not moving but the order flow is showing big buys or sells, someone is accumulating before the big move either way
An example I recall is that $NAKD during the WSB run wouldn't rip past (if I recall) 0.7500. The ticker was stagnant at that price, to the decimal, for 10-30 seconds at a time. The level 2 ask was paper thin, yet it was stuck there
What you could have seen though was IMMENSE selling and buying on the time and sales. This is an example of a whale getting out / one accumulating before the stock rips. After that, It proceeded to go berserk
4. General. When I'm scalping, I don't even care about the chart (aside from my technical patterns) - I'm primarily watching level 2. If I'm long and see huge bids getting whacked, I know to cut because the selling pressure is too strong and will likely cause the price to tumble
On the contrary, if I see huge asks getting smashed and showing on the time and sales, it signals the bulls are winning and to hold
5. Knife bounce plays. If I'm playing a bounce scalp, before I watch the tape, I'm watching to see if the body of the candle is swallowing the wick or not. When I see the wick, I shift to level 2 and check if the bids are moving up and asks are getting eaten
This, tied in with my own support levels, signals my scalp. I would not advise knife catching though. It is very risky and can sometimes continue knifing. This is just personally how I, if I do, play them.
6. Stacking / walking down. If I see a big ask move down the ladder and more immediate stacking occurs on that price, I get the signal someone is shorting the stock very heavily and become more cautious with the time and sales to see if it flashes or is getting chipped away
if I see it flash, I'm bullish. Conversely, If I don't see it breaking in large increments, it signals to me that buying is weak and the bears are winning. Similar logic vice versa: if bears see a big bid moving up and not flash or get chipped heavy, they'll start covering
There's probably more stuff, but tough to recall right now. I'll add to the thread later if something crosses my mind. Nonetheless, reading the tape is the most important art in the world of trading. Price action will tell you the move BEFORE the move happens.
You'll struggle with this when you start because there are a million different things going on in plays, but with time, you can get good at it. It's the 10,000 hours rule.
Learn. Read. Execute.
Also, one thing to make note of is that some brokerages don't show full depth of data. Webull, for example, only shows Nasdaq bid/asks. It doesn't show Arca, NYSE, etc. Hence, you may buy into a massive wall without even realizing it because you literally can't see it on level 2
Video I did with Brady.
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Price Action thread, common mistakes, "fake-outs", patterns, etc.
For starters, price action trading is simply trading the concept of highs and lows as pivots for price movement. In an uptrend, a stock continues to make higher highs and higher lows until a HL is breached. In a downtrend, lower lows and lower highs occur until a LH is breached.
There are macro and micro things to note. In an uptrend, a break below the previous higher high is a micro bearish pivot to the downside. The overall trend (macro) will still be bullish until we break the previous low. There are two possible scenarios:
20 EMA is one of my favorite indicators. The smaller the time frame it's riding on, the stronger the trend/momentum. When it breaks below on x timeframe, it signals the momo is getting weaker.
I like using the 5, 10, 3 & 1 min frames.
5-10 can be used for your all-day trend.
Regardless of which timeframe you're on, adhere to the momentum of it. If you're using the 3 minute and get a strong close below it, cut the trade and move on. Stick to the plan of whatever time frame you were trading with it on
I put some arrows at retests of it, but try and focus on how price glided along the indicator the whole way. When it deviates to the upside, that's indicative of stronger momentum
The largest issue from what I've seen for new traders is determining where to enter trades. Most traders get caught chasing or adding in poor areas and then sell for losses. Here's a thread on some areas where you can enter trades for minimal risk and maximum reward:
1. Master trend lines and micro
Enter on confirmation of the master trendline holding with a stop-loss a few cents below the prior wick lows to ensure you don't get wicked out. You can also build smaller micro-trends inside and use those with similar risk/reward.
$XBIO $NAOV
2. Pattern breakout retests
There are tons of great patterns you can use retests for confirmation with: flags, descending wedges, ascending triangles, etc. Learn and utilize them
$NAOV
Something everyone needs to understand is whether there is artificial volume or real volume on a stock. If institutions are behind a move, zones will be respected because there is real demand. Usually when they’re on a ticker, there’s hundreds of million of volume on the day
If it’s a callout by someone on twitter or a chatroom, it’s not real volume and the zones don’t have any REAL demand. Sometimes callouts and artificial volume can lead to real institutional demand coming in, so you have to look at the average volume of a stock and compare it
with the volume on that day and determine whether it’s catching real traction or not. You’ll get burned otherwise trying to buy what you think is a demand zone dip, when in reality it’s the stock crashing after an artificial push
After hours and premarket trading/algorithms and institutions - some insight. I shared this on MTA voice the other day.
To start, AH and PM trading is wonky as is because traders can manipulate prices to an incredible degree. Most algos and institutional trading turn off during PM and AH, and the volume is MUCH thinner, so larger retail traders can actually drag prices as they wish, to a degree.
How this works is through level 2 - they can set up asks that are incredibly far away from the current market price and smash through all the current asks, while also propping up bids higher and higher. Others pile on and this moves the price up significantly.
Why and how 90% of retail traders lose and how you can join the 10% that win. This is by far the most important thread I've made. I truly hope this helps change your lives.
The contents of this thread will go against almost all conventional trading rules/strategies you may have learned through books and videos, but I'm incredibly confident this is how @MrZackMorris and other great traders trade
The concept is simply Supply and Demand. When stocks consolidate in a range, there is an agreement in price and institutional orders are being filled. When it deviates from that range (impulsive), big money orders are left unfilled until the stock reaches that area again
$AMC